DraftKings Daily Fantasy Golf Helper: BMW Championship
Daily fantasy golf requires a new approach for each and every event.
The course and field change week after week, making no two contests alike. That means you need to refine your approach for each PGA Tour event to try to find golfers who are primed to excel for your daily fantasy golf lineups.
Each week, we have a course primer, and our daily fantasy golf projections and lineup builder can help you get started, but these golfers stand out specifically on DraftKings for the BMW Championship at Medinah Country Club's No. 3 Course.
|Key Stats for the BMW Championship at Medinah Country Club (No. 3 Course)|
|Strokes Gained: Ball-striking|
|Birdies or Better Gained|
|Strokes Gained: Par 5s|
|Strokes Gained: Par 3s (200+)|
|Proximity Gained (200+ yards)|
Let's get to the picks. For details on why these stats stand out this week, check out the course primer.
Stats are from Fantasy National Golf Club and are for golfers in the field over the last 50 rounds, unless otherwise noted.
Brooks Koepka (DraftKings Price $11,800 | FanDuel Sportsbook Win Odds 17/2) - Koepka is the co-favorite this week once again, and he should feel right at home in his Medinah debut. He is the top player in the world and plays with the aggressiveness that this course requires. He sets up well statistically, ranking 6th in both opportunities gained and birdies or better gained, 9th in strokes gained: ball-striking (11th off the tee and 15th in approach), and 15th in strokes gained: par 5s. He is one of the best long-iron players in the world, ranking 4th on par 3s measuring between 200 and 225 yards and 19th in proximity gained from 200+ yards.
Rory McIlroy ($11,500 | 17/2) - McIlroy booked another top-10 finish at THE NORTHERN TRUST, his 12th in 16 stroke play events in the 2018-2019 season. With two wins along the way, McIlroy is wrapping up another tremendous season on Tour. Rory has been the model of consistency this year and actually boasts a better statistical profile than Koepka does -- 1st in ball-striking (1st off the tee, 18th approach), 1st in birdies or better gained, 1st on par 3s between 200-225 yards, and 2nd in both strokes gained: par 5s and opportunities gained. He has fond memories at Medinah, having played in the Ryder Cup here in 2012 when he was famously escorted by police to make his singles match on time. He defeated Keegan Bradley basically without a warm up.
Dustin Johnson ($10,700 | 16/1) - Another confounding weekend tumble for Johnson last week as he held the 36-hole lead at Liberty National before turning in rounds of 74 and 73 and falling to T24. It might feel like a disappointing season for DJ, but recall he had two second-place finishes in majors and a fifth at THE PLAYERS, not to mention a win in a loaded field at the WGC-Mexico. Statistically he still rates out just fine, ranking 2nd in birdies or better gained, 3rd in ball-striking (4th off the tee, 13th approach), 7th in opportunities gained, and 12th on par 5s. As he showed last week, his game is still plenty good enough to contend, and it's been a long time since he was the fourth-highest priced golfer on DraftKings.
Adam Scott ($9,200 | 22) - A missed cut at The Open aside, Scott has turned in a terrific season playing a limited schedule made up mostly of the Tour's strongest events. He is 1st in strokes gained: par 5s, 5th in birdies or better gained, 5th in approach, and 13th in proximity from 200+ yards. Scott is sixth in total strokes gained over his last 50 rounds. He's done well at long courses over his career, and this year is no exception. Chronologically, he finished 2nd at the Farmers, T7 at the Genesis Open, T18 at The Masters, T8 at the PGA Championship, and 2nd at The Memorial.
Paul Casey ($8,400 | 45) - Casey took last week off to spend some time with the family, and he returns to action having fallen only to 13th place in the FedEx Cup Standings. Casey is precisely the type of ball-striker we are looking for this week -- seventh off the tee and eighth on approach -- and he has historically played well at these longer tracks. He has won the Valspar Championship in back-to-back years and has two top-five finishes at the Wells Fargo Championship the past two years.
Hideki Matsuyama ($8,200 | 45) - Matsuyama's DFS value at a typical event includes some of the best cut equity on the entire Tour. Even in no-cut events like the BMW, though, Hideki can serve as either a key cog in a balanced build or a bargain who can round out an otherwise stars-and-scrubs construction. He will likely be popular at this price, and with good reason. Matsuyama is a terrific long-iron player, ranking 3rd in opportunities gained, 6th in proximity gained from 200+ yards, 12th in strokes gained: approach, and 20th on par 5s. He can handle long par 3s, as well, and is 17th on par 3s 200-225 and 6th on 225+.
Low Priced Options
Collin Morikawa ($7,900 | 50) - The last man standing among the superstar newcomers, Morikawa will need a strong finish to play his way into the Tour Championship. Amidst the Koepka dominance in majors and culmination of Tiger Woods' comeback at The Masters, the accomplishments of Morikawa and his fellow rookies have been overshadowed but should not be forgotten. This price point should temper his ownership, but we can't count out this kid until we see him fail. He is 17th in total ball-striking, composed of a stellar 11th in approach and an acceptable 33rd off the tee. He is also 17th in birdies or better gained.
Jason Kokrak ($7,800 | 65) - Kokrak's ball-striking is back to its early-season form, and he's gained both off the tee and with his irons in four straight events. Since an historically bad putting performance at the Travelers Championship (he lost 6.9 strokes putting in the first round alone), he has been inconsistent but not abominable on the greens. In 13 measured rounds since that fateful Thursday in Connecticut, Kokrak has gained strokes putting in 7 rounds and lost strokes putting in 6. If he just treads water with the flat stick, he will find himself firmly in contention given how solid his tee-to-green game is right now. He is sixth off the tee and seventh on approach -- good for fifth in total ball-striking in this field. He fits well with the course layout, ranking 3rd in par 3s between 200-225 yards and 24th in strokes gained on par 5s.
Joaquin Niemann ($7,300 | 80) - The track record is now long enough that we can begin to trust Niemann on bentgrass. It is easy to forget he is more than a year younger than Morikawa and will keep getting better, and the ball-striking has been solid all year. He is the class of the weak fields he has dominated in his short career, but even in this loaded event, Niemann is 25th in ball-striking. He is also 11th in proximity gained from 200+ yards. He missed the cut at The Open but has finished T31 or better in nine straight events this side of the Atlantic.
Lucas Glover ($7,100 | 120) - The former U.S. Open champion will need a solid finish to jump into the top 30 and book his ticket to East Lake, and what a comeback story it would be. This time last year, Glover was toiling on the Web.com Tour (now known as the Korn Ferry Tour) and prepping for the fall swing to try to claw his way back onto the main circuit. He has gotten there with vast improvements in his entire tee-to-green game, and he ranks 31st in ball-striking. He is 14th on par 3s between 200-225 yards and 18th in proximity gained from 200+.
Emiliano Grillo ($6,700 | 180) - Grillo has one of the widest chasm's between ball-striking and putting on the entire Tour. He is 3rd in strokes gained: approach and 21st in strokes gained: off the tee, good for 8th in total ball-striking. He is 4th on par 3s between 200-225 yards and 20th in opportunities gained. But he is very difficult to trust on the greens and is 67th in strokes gained: putting in this small field and 195th out of 205 golfers on the entire Tour. He showed in 2018 that he is capable of rolling a few in, and he is worth jumping on with no cut sweat to worry about.
Nate Lashley ($6,100 | 320) - At the very bottom of the board, we find 2019 PGA Tour winner Lashley, who gets it done with long approaches and a hot putter. He is 14th in proximity gained from 200+ and 22nd in strokes gained: approach. His recent finishes are MC, T20, MC, T28, MC, 1st. He is definitely not missing the cut this week, so that means he must be headed for at least a top 30 -- right?
Mike Rodden is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Mike Rodden also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username mike_rodden. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in his articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.