3 NBA Prop Bets to Target on 6/6/18
Prop betting odds can be useful in daily fantasy sports to help gauge the potential performance of a player on any given night in the NBA. Likewise, the same principles can be applied in the opposite direction -- by using our fantasy projections and models to help make more informed prop bets.
Please note that Vegas lines and our game projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Golden State Warriors at Cleveland Cavaliers
George Hill Will Have AT LEAST 10 Points (-114)
We swung and missed on George Hill's prop in Game 1, but being back home could be a friendlier environment for Hill to reach double-figure scoring. Hill is averaging 14 points per game over his last five home playoff games, and his offense has been much better at home.
Hill owns a 17.1% usage rate in Cleveland during the playoffs compared to 12.6% on the road. His offensive rating at home is 115.7 compared to 107.8 on the road. Considering this, our models are pretty bullish on Hill, projecting him for 12.4 points.
Kevin Love OVER 10.5 Rebounds (-114)
Kevin Love already has 23 rebounds in the first two games of this series, and 6 of those have been on the offensive end. Love is averaging 11.7 rebounds over the last 6 games he has finished, and our models like him to continue racking up boards at home.
The Warriors have only a 78.8% defensive rebounding rate (DRB) in the postseason, which ranks 9th among playoff teams. Considering Love owns a 35.7% DRB over his last 7 playoff games, our models project him for 11.8 rebounds.
Jeff Green OVER 8.5 Points (+100)
Jeff Green's minutes have been rather unpredictable during the postseason, but he is averaging 31 minutes over the last five games. With that in mind, one look at his per-36 numbers from the playoffs indicate his prop total is a good value tonight.
Green is averaging 8.1 points per playoff game, and he's sporting 12.1 points per 36 minutes in the postseason. Back at home, our models are projecting Green for 13.2 points over 27.9 minutes in Game 3.