NBA

NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Friday 4/28/23

Here, we'll focus on utilizing daily fantasy basketball projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are focusing on the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.

The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place live in-game props with ease.

Please note that betting lines and our daily projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.

Jordan Poole Over 1.5 Made Threes (-152)

Despite being moved into the starting five for the past three games, Jordan Poole hasn't gotten going from three in this series, hitting just 22.2% of his three-pointers through five games.

Poole -- a 33.9% three-point shooter in his career -- won't keep shooting this poorly.

The attempts have been there as Poole has taken at least six triples in the three games in which he's started, and the minutes have been there, too -- an average of 25.8 in those starts.

The Sacramento Kings gave up the 10th-most three-point shots per night to shooting guards in the regular season.

We project Poole to go 2.1 of 6.1 from three. As long as Poole is in the starting lineup again, this is a prop I'll be on.

Desmond Bane Under 24.5 Points (-113)

Desmond Bane has ripped off two straight outstanding scoring performances, netting 36 points in Game 4 and 33 points in Game 5. But I think there are good reasons to back the under on his points prop today.

One of the biggest is that Bane isn't likely to sustain his incredibly high shot volume.

Over those past two games, he's averaged 25.0 shots per night, including 10.5 three-point tries. In the regular season, Bane averaged 16.2 shots per night, 7.0 of which came from beyond the arc. For the first three games of the series, one of which Ja Morant missed, Bane was right near those averages, putting up 16.7 shots and 7.7 threes. We project him to be in that range tonight --17.8 attempts and 7.9 threes.

On top of that, the Los Angeles Lakers ended the year playing good D on two-guards, holding the position to the eighth-fewest points per game over the final 30 contests.

All in all, our model has Bane scoring 22.2 points today.