What It Means:

Rinne has given up three or more goals in four of his past five outings and the sledding likely won't get much better tonight against the NHL's third-best offense (3.20 goals per game). For the season, he's 26-16-8 with a 2.58 goals-against average and .914 save percentage.

Our models project Rinne for 2.9 goals allowed, 25.9 saves and only a 33.0 percent chance of fending off the first-place Capitals. He's numberFire's second-worst ranked fantasy goalie on Thursday's heavy 12-game slate.