Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday 3/27/21
It's a great time to dive into horse racing, and FanDuel Racing gives you the chance to do just that.
Starting at 11:30 a.m. EST, we have 14 races at Gulfstream Park. Using numberFire’s projections as a guide, here are some of the best bets.
As always, check the program for scratches and changes, and check the weather and track conditions.
(I will reference Equibase's Speed Figure in selected races, which tells you how fast a horse has been running in each of its races -- adjusted for track, distances, and conditions.)
Con Lima, Race 12
FanDuel Racing Odds: 3/1
Race 12 is the $200K Grade II Gulfstream Oaks for three-year-old fillies, and it's racing 1 1/16 miles. The winner earns 100 qualifying points and a spot in the starting gate for the Kentucky Oaks the end of April. The top pick of numberFire’s data is Crazy Beautiful (5/2). She finished a distant second to Vequist in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies and was a distant second again in last month's Davona Dale (G2). Horse Racing Radar notes Crazy Beautiful has hit the board in 5-of-6 starts, but softer fractions may not allow her closing speed to catch up again.
Bow Bow Girl (8/1) and Con Lima (3/1) have the most pace. The top jockey/trainer combo of Irad Ortiz, Jr. and EPO trainer Todd Pletcher team up with Con Lima. Top Race Reports notes in its East Coast Handicapping Report that Con Lima is spotted well and can push to the front with a strong effort expected.
War Like Goddess and Enjoyitwhilewecan, Race 13
FanDuel Racing Odds: 10/1 and 20/1
Race 13 is the $100K Grade III Orchid Stakes for older fillies and mares, and they'll be going 1 3/8 miles on the turf. Morning line favorite Always Shopping (8/5) is the projected winner according to Guaranteed Tip Sheet and numberFire with jockey Irad Ortiz, Jr. riding for trainer Todd Pletcher. Always Shopping should be close to the front, and Horse Racing Radar notes she has some of the best recent late-pace figures. She’s really good and tough to beat. We’ll include but will also take value on others.
War Like Goddess (10/1) breaks from the rail. This lightly raced filly finished a close fifth in her stakes debut here last month. But Top Race Reports notes she was chasing a slow early pace and was not ready to run her best. Now more ground and with distance added, we should expect a better try while likely coming from off the pace. She is at twice the price from her last race as there will be more speed up front to keep others honest.
A big longshot worth a look according to East Coast Handicapping Report is Enjoyitwhilewecan (20/1). She has EPO trainer Mike Maker giving her a boost at a longer distance and will likely running well up front. She’s hit the board in 8-of-14 starts with just one win. But note her last two starts this year over this track, which were both runner-up finishes, including losing by a nose last month while posting her best speed figure of 100.
Known Agenda and Greatest Honor, Race 14
FanDuel Racing Odds: 5/1 and 6/5
Race 14 is the $750K Grade I Florida Derby for three-year-olds, and it's a 1 1/8-mile race. The Kentucky Derby prep race awards the top-four finishers qualifying points (100-40-20-10). The favorite and top pick of numberFire is Greatest Honour (6/5), who won the Holy Bull and Fountain of Youth despite not running his best race last month. Jockey Jose Ortiz rides with a three-race win streak intact for the Shug McGaughey-trained prized colt. He’ll have to close into more speed types through projected moderate fractions.
Known Agenda (5/1) beat Greatest Honour by a nose last November at Aqueduct. He then missed the money in a pair of stakes races but really hit his stride in winning an Allowance race by 11 lengths last month. The top combo of jockey Irad Ortiz, Jr. and trainer Todd Pletcher team up again in what may complete a big day of racing for the dynamic duo. Horse Racing Radar adds more notes and comments on Known Agenda's improvement with added blinkers and Lasix.
Collaborate (6/1), with speed up front, is one to include in exacta and trifecta wagering. Spielberg (4/1) has the class with seven graded stakes races under his belt but is still inconsistent and is not showing enough speed or improved form to match the top two.