5:29 AM

AU - Ascot - Race 4

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
7f
Unknown
Turf
SOFT 5
26.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

MACK MACK (1) looks set for this event after a narrow 0.3L defeat at the mile here last time out. He's won 2/3 third-up and the booking of Carbery who has won on the galloper before is a positive sign. Looks set to peak now third-up and that would see him getting the job done. EL PATRON (3) won comfortably when sitting up on the speed at this course and distance 9 days ago. This is a tougher race, but he draws to be prominent in the run and Campbell's claim means he'll carry less weight. Likely to be in the finish once again. BELGRANO BELLE (2) stuck on well first-up at Albany and boasts a strong second-up record. Drops back in trip which may be a slight concern, but if the pace is on she's sure to be strong at the finish. FORTUNE'S LUCK (6) hasn't been far away her past couple and must be respected after going around as favourite last start.
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3 %Win ProbOdds
1
Mack Mack silk
1st Pick
1

Mack Mack

Jockey: Patrick Carbery

Trainer: Tom Wolfe

J: Patrick Carbery

T: Tom Wolfe

135---13%7/1
2
Belgrano Belle silk
3rd Pick
2

Belgrano Belle

Jockey: Madi Derrick

Trainer: Takahide Ikenushi

J: Madi Derrick

T: Takahide Ikenushi

133---10%10/1
3
El Patron silk
2nd Pick
3

El Patron

Jockey: Luke Campbell

Trainer: Simon A Miller

J: Luke Campbell

T: Simon A Miller

132---17%5/1
4
Major Mario silk
4

Major Mario

Jockey: Troy Turner

Trainer: Ms S Bakranich

J: Troy Turner

T: Ms S Bakranich

138---20%4/1
5
Tenacious Reward silk
5

Tenacious Reward

Jockey: Chris Parnham

Trainer: Paul Roberts

J: Chris Parnham

T: Paul Roberts

92---13%7/1
6
Fortune's Luck silk
6

Fortune's Luck

Jockey: Clint Johnston-Porter

Trainer: Adam Durrant

J: Clint Johnston-Porter

T: Adam Durrant

169---20%4/1
7
Kisses From Kelly silk
7

Kisses From Kelly

Jockey: Brad Parnham

Trainer: Holly Taylor

J: Brad Parnham

T: Holly Taylor

74---3%33/1
8
Lova Session silk
8

Lova Session

Jockey: William Pike

Trainer: Adam Durrant

J: William Pike

T: Adam Durrant

119---12%15/2
9
Big Cities silk
9

Big Cities

Jockey: Laqdar Ramoly

Trainer: Brett Pope

J: Laqdar Ramoly

T: Brett Pope

98---5%20/1
10
De Bang silk
10

De Bang

Jockey: Keshaw Dhurun

Trainer: Martin Knox

J: Keshaw Dhurun

T: Martin Knox

55---1%100/1
11
Valdarena silk
11

Valdarena

Jockey: Jason Whiting

Trainer: Ms S Bakranich

J: Jason Whiting

T: Ms S Bakranich

85---7%14/1

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.