3 Under-the-Radar MLB FanDuel Plays for Tuesday 7/6/21
When being contrarian in daily fantasy sports, there's a fine line between taking a calculated risk and being reckless. But differentiating your lineups from everyone else's is the name of the game if you plan on taking down one of those highly lucrative DFS tournaments. Whether it's because of bookmaker totals, other options at a given position, or some gem you've found who everyone is overlooking, we can always find potential under-rostered plays if we look hard enough.
Here are three such players to consider branching out for on FanDuel's main slate.
Merrill Kelly, P, Arizona Diamondbacks ($8,800)
This shouldn't be a shock to anyone but the Colorado Rockies aren't a good team.
I know. A scorching hot take to get started but it's extremely clear they are one of the worst teams in the league versus right-handed pitchers. They come in with a 73 wRC+ (30th in the league), a .145 ISO (25th), a 23.3% strikeout rate (17th), and a 32.7% fly-ball (28th). They are a mess this season and pose very little of a threat on offense. Yet, we shouldn't see Merrill Kelly as a popular pitching option tonight and we all know why.
This is a loaded slate that features the likes of Jacob deGrom, Carlos Rodon, Nathan Eovaldi, and Aaron Nola, among others. There are elite pitching options to pick from and Kelly simply doesn't make the cut compare to those pitchers and the upside they bring. However, the salary relief Kelly offers could allow you to pay up for both the Toronto Blue Jays and the Cincinnati Reds, who should be the top stacks on the slate.
Kyle Seager, 3B, Seattle Mariners ($3,000)
There are 14 games on the slate and a number of teams in the mid-tier are caught in no man's land. They could be okay, maybe they have a decent matchup, but there are clearly better options ahead of them. This is what we have with the Mariners tonight, who are going up against Jameson Taillon, a pitcher you can certainly target. This season, Taillon is allowing a whopping 2.59 HR/9 to lefty hitters, along with a 5.03 xFIP, a 52.1% fly-ball rate, and a 33.7% hard-contact rate. That fly-ball rate is very dangerous if the opposing team has some power bats.
Queue Kyle Seager, who is a lefty power hitter from the Mariners worth targeting. He comes in with a .215 ISO, a 52.5% fly-ball rate, and a 45.3% hard-contact rate versus right-handed pitchers. Those are some massive power numbers and dropping Seager into your lineups as a one-off is a great option tonight.
Yan Gomes, C, Washington Nationals ($2,700)
The Washington Nationals shouldn't be a popular team tonight and are a team you can look to in tournaments.
With a full slate of games tonight, there are going to be several teams overlooked, which should excite all tournament players. The Nationals are on the road to take on the San Diego Padres, who will have Ryan Weathers on the mound. This season, Weathers is allowing 1.59 HR/9, a 5.18 xFIP, a 40.8% fly-ball rate, and a 42.0% hard-contact rate versus right-handed pitchers. Weathers qualifies for the 40-40 line, a mark you can look for when it comes to pitchers who are susceptible to giving up home runs.
This is where we turn to Yan Gomes, who comes in with a 158 wRC+, a surprisingly big .286 ISO, a 42.2% hard-contact rate, and a 26.7% HR/FB ratio versus left-handed pitchers this season. I'll take that type of power in my lineups any day of the week, especially if that player could be at lower rostership rates.