DraftKings Daily Fantasy Basketball Helper: Monday 11/4/19
Monday's six-game slate is highlighted by the New Orleans Pelicans at Brooklyn Nets, and the Portland Trail Blazers at the Golden State Warriors on NBATV. This slate leaves us with a lot of options in DFS, so let's take a look at how to narrow down all those possibilities tonight.
Here are some of the top plays and sleepers on DraftKings. As always, good luck.
Ben Simmons ($9,300) -- Joel Embiid is still serving the last game of his two-game suspension tonight versus the Phoenix Suns. Simmons had a near triple-double in the one-point overtime win in Portland in the first game of Embiid's suspension. Simmons ended the game with season-highs in points (18) and rebounds (11), while dishing out 8 assists as well. Our model projects Simmons at 17.9 points, 8.7 rebounds, and 8.2 assists. I love Simmons' upside tonight with Ricky Rubio ($7,900) drawing the defensive assignment.
Damian Lillard ($8,900) -- Lillard has been money this season, averaging nearly 30 points a game (29.8). Lillard is inside the top 10 in three-pointers made and attempts on the season, and should get his fair share of looks tonight regardless of whether D'Angelo Russell ($8,600) or Draymond Green ($7,500) take the court. Lillard is seventh in player efficiency rating (PER), at 29.46. He's also third in the league points per game. Lillard and C.J. McCollum ($6,100) will most likely draw Ky Bowman ($4,300) and Jordan Poole ($4,100) if Russell is out. This feels like a game that could be over by halftime, so consider Kent Bazemore ($3,600) and Anfernee Simons ($3,100) as sleeper guards -- but Lillard will get his.
Devin Booker ($7,900) -- Booker is top-20 in shot attempts (T-14th), 16th in scoring (23.8), 14th in field goals made, and 17th in minutes played. The 23-year-old guard has been putting a together a very good season, considering the Suns are 4-2, and nobody outside of Phoenix expected that. Booker averaged 37 points and 8 assists in two games versus the 76ers last season. Philadelphia and Phoenix both allow 106 points a game and are without their starting centers, so expect both teams to attempt a bunch of threes tonight. Our model projects Booker's totals at 25.8 points, 6.9 assists on 9.1 field goals made.
Caris LeVert ($6,000) -- LeVert' has been looking good to start the season, averaging 18.5 points, 4.5 rebounds, and 3.5 assists alongside Kyrie Irving ($9,500). Our model projects LeVert at 20.6 points, 5.6 assists, and 4.6 rebounds and Irving at 28.8 points, 6.3 assists, and 4.2 rebounds. LeVert has three games of 20 points or more and four of six games with 32 or more minutes played. Lonzo Ball ($7,100) will defend Irving, so give me LeVert and his upside in a high-scoring affair. LeVert's usage rating is at a career-high 26.7%, and that's a rather surprising number considering Irving has the fifth-highest usage rate (33.6%) in the NBA (among players with 100 minutes or more).
Andrew Wiggins ($6,700) -- Without starting center Karl-Anthony Towns, Wiggins has tremendous value at $6,700. He's almost guaranteed to score 20 points any game Towns doesn't suit up for. The question is, will the rest of Wiggins' game show up? He's averaged 20.4 points and 5.6 rebounds, and with Towns out on Saturday, Simmons scored 21 points to go with 6 rebounds and 5 assists. Wiggins will have the freedom to shoot at will against a 4-2 Milwaukee Bucks team at home.
Tobias Harris ($7,000) -- The value on Harris and Al Horford ($6,900) after their performances without Embiid in Portland is worth snatching up. Harris had 23 points and 7 rebounds on 10-of-15 shooting. Versus the Suns, Harris averaged 22.7 points and 6.7 rebounds last season. Our model projects him at 18.6 points and 7.6 rebounds. Harris is averaging 38.5 fantasy points and has a higher ceiling tonight than Kelly Oubre ($6,300) and Khris Middleton ($6,800) for a slightly steeper price.
Al Horford ($6,900) -- Horford, much like teammate Ben Simmons, is a triple-double threat without Embiid. He posted a team-high 25 points without Embiid and added 7 assists and 5 rebounds. He also attempted a game-high 24 shots on Saturday, more than both Damian Lillard (16) and C.J. McCollum (15). The over/under in this game is currently 223. Expect two teams that rank fifth (76ers) and 11th (Suns) in pace factor to take shots and push the ball in transition, much like Philadelphia did against Portland with 33 three-point attempts and a season-high 36 assists.
Brandon Ingram ($7,200) -- Ingram left the Pelicans' loss to the Oklahoma City Thunder on Saturday with a head injury after having concussion-like symptoms. He isn't even included on the injury report ahead of Monday's showdown in Brooklyn. Ingram will be a must-play tonight if he suits up. Both teams are top-10 in pace factor and bottom-five in points allowed per game. Expect Ingram to surpass his average of 16.8 shots per game in his return, as his usage rate is at a career-high 27.3%. Welcome back to the Pelicans lineup, B.I.
Andre Drummond ($10,400) -- Last week against the Bulls, I said that Drummond was a serious threat to have a 20-20 game, and he did just that with 25 points and 24 rebounds in a 112-106 loss. Drummond followed that performance up with his third-straight 20-20 game, this time against the Nets, finishing with 25 points and 20 rebounds in a 113-109 loss. Drummond is averaging 57.3 fantasy points after those 67.0 and 74.5-point weekend fantasy performances. Ride with him for a fourth-straight game of 20-20 tonight, this time facing Thomas Bryant (7,400) and the Washington Wizards.
Hassan Whiteside ($6,400) -- Whiteside is questionable tonight but expected to play versus a depleted Warriors team. If Whiteside is good to go, he won't have Draymond Green to compete with for rebounds, as Green is sidelined with a finger injury. All Portland players should be considered tonight, while D'Angelo Russell is the only Warriors player worth targeting if he's good to go. If Whiteside isn't playing, Warriors' Eric Paschall ($5,000) would be an excellent grab tonight, considering his 25-point effort against the Charlotte Hornets on Saturday.
Vaughn Dalzell is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice Vaughn Dalzell also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username vdalzell. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his/her personal views, he/she may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his/her personal account. The views expressed in his/her articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.