3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Monday 1/13/20
Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from taking advantage of them straight up (to the tune of cold hard cash), to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball.
While you can use those odds in fantasy, you can also utilize our fantasy projections and a variety of other tools to help make money on betting everyday player props.
For the purposes of this article, we are using the odds provided at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint three spots where value can be had on a player's stat line, scoring, or even shot type.
Please note that betting lines and our game projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Jaylen Brown, Over 18.5 Points
Jaylen Brown went on a serious 10-game run to end the 2019 year and start 2020 with the Celtics. Brown recorded at least 16 points in 10-straight games and hitting multiple three-pointers in eight of his last 12 games. Brown hasn't scored 19 or more in four games, but a second meeting with the Chicago Bulls is just what Brown needs to get back on track. Our model projects Brown to record 18.8 points on seven made field goals and 0.9 made three-pointers. I like those to go over considering Brown's track record against the Bulls.
In 2017-18 season Brown averaged his most points versus any opponent against the Bulls with 21.5 points per game in four meetings. He also nailed 3.3. triples in those meetings shooting 59.3% from the field and 55.6% from deep. In 2018-19, he averaged 18.3 points in three meetings scoring 18 in Boston, and 37 in two games in Chicago. Brown scored 19 points against the Bulls in Chicago nine days ago and went 7-for-13 with three triples. He's surpassed 19 points in seven of his last 12 games.
Kevin Love, Over 9.5 Rebounds
We might not be getting Kevin Love vs LeBron James tonight in Los Angeles, but if LeBron sits, Love should be in for a big night on the boards. Love finally broke double-digits with 15 rebounds against the Denver Nuggets, after four games of nine or fewer rebounds. Over his last three road games, Love has averaged 11.6 rebounds per game and 11.3 on the road all season. At home, Love averages 9.3 rebounds and with this game being away from Cleveland, it makes me lead more towards double-digits.
The Lakers are 13th in rebounding (45.7) per game and the Cavs are 19th (44.4). The Cavs are 15th in defensive rebounding percentage (73%) while the Lakers are 16th (72.8%). If James is out, this rebounding matchup tilts towards Love and the Cavs. Love is eighth in the league with 9.5 defensive rebounds per game and 11th overall with 10.3 per game. The Cavs are second in offensive rebounding percentage (29.3%) and if Love can get that one or two offensive boards or put backs his over should hit. Our model projects Love to get that key offensive rebound with 1.6 offensive boards and 10.7 rebounds total hitting the over.
Steven Adams, Over 12.5 Points
Steven Adams has opened 2020 with 14.2 points and 12.3 rebounds per game over six contests. Adams has a lot of success against the Minnesota Timberwolves in the past and just this season Adams scored 22 points and grabbed 11 rebounds in an overtime win on December 6. Adams has recorded 12 or more points in nine of his last 12 games against Minnesota dating all the way back to 2016-17. Adams averaged 14 points in 2017-18 and 10.5 points in 2018-19 at the Target Center.
Minnesota ranks among the worst in rebounding, allowing Adams to imitate his 22-point performance in the first meeting. The Timberwolves are last in defensive (38.5) and total rebounds (49.7) per game and Adams averaged 13 rebounds and 14.2 points per game over his last five games. I like Adams to hit his over in points (12.5) and his rebounds (10.5) are very well worth taking a look at tonight as a bonus. He's due for his first double-double after failing to do so in the past two games. Adams is projected to record 12.7 points. 10.7 rebounds, and -- without Karl-Anthony Towns playing -- I like Adams' track record against Minnesota to continue.