3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Wednesday 2/26/20
Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from taking advantage of them straight up (to the tune of cold hard cash), to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball.
While you can use those odds in fantasy, you can also utilize our fantasy projections and a variety of other tools to help make money betting everyday player props.
For the purposes of this article, we are using the odds provided at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint three spots where value can be had on a player's stat line, scoring, or even shot type.
Please note that betting lines and our game projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Luka Doncic, Over 45.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists
Luka Doncic is averaging a triple-double versus seven teams in the NBA this season, and the San Antonio Spurs are one of them. In two home meetings for Dallas, he's averaged 33.0 points, 10.5 rebounds, and 10.0 assists versus San Antonio.
Doncic remains third in Player Efficiency Rating (29.13) and second in usage rate (36.1%) while being among the top-16 league leaders in points (28.8), rebounds (9.5), and assists (8.6). In his last three games, he's hit the over on his total points, rebounds, and assists in two of them. Doncic is averaging 27.8 points, 9.6 rebounds, and 9.2 assists in his last five road games, too, earning two double-doubles and one triple-double.
The Spurs rank 22nd in points allowed per game to shooting guards (24.69), 20th in assists (8.24), 29th in three-pointers (3.00), and sixth in rebounds (5.82). If that's the case, we could see Doncic record under 10 rebounds versus the Spurs for the first time this season, but 30 points and 10 assists seems likely.
numberFire's model projects Doncic to total 28.2 points, 9.1 rebounds, and 8.6 assists, hitting the over for his second time in three meetings versus San Antonio.
Spencer Dinwiddie, 23.5 Over Points
Spencer Dinwiddie heads into his second meeting of the season and month versus the Washington Wizards. Dinwiddie scored 26 points in the first meeting of the season, which was also in Washington. The Wizards are allowing 121.3 points per game (28th) in their last five home games and 116.8 (29th) in the last five overall.
Dinwiddie is 20th overall in usage rating (28.9%) among players that qualified in minutes played and heads into this matchup scoring 20 or more points in five of his last six road games. He had five in a row before the Charlotte Hornets held him to 10 points. Dinwiddie's also averaged 18.6 points in his three games since the break, scoring 22 or more twice.
Washington is ranked 21st in points allowed to point guards (24.52), giving Dinwiddie a favorable matchup. The Wizards have allowed 125.6 points per game in their three games out of the All-Star break. Given the Wizards' defense as of late, and the fact Washington is playing their third game in four nights, ride with Dinwiddie.
Nikola Vucevic, Over 20.5 Points
Nikola Vucevic is 40th in usage rate (25.9%) among all players and will certainly get his workload tested tonight versus the Atlanta Hawks. Atlanta ranks 29th in points per game allowed to centers (24.36), and Vucevic has averaged 20.8 points per game in February (nine games). The Magic's big man has recorded 19 or more points in six of his last 10 road games and seven of his last 10 overall.
Vucevic already met the Hawks three times this season, making this the final date between the two. He's averaging 22.3 points in this season's series, and he scored 16 points in Atlanta the second game of the season. In his last two meetings, both in Orlando, he scored 24 and 27 points, hitting his over. The Hawks are allowing 120 points per game in their last three overall (25th) and rank 29th in points allowed in the paint per game (53.8). In their last 10 home games, they've allowed opposing teams to dominate the paint for 56.5 of their 122.3 points per game (46.1%).
According to numberFire's model, Vucevic is projected to record 20.6 points, hitting the line right on the nose.