3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Friday 2/28/20
Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from taking advantage of them straight up (to the tune of cold hard cash), to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball.
While you can use those odds in fantasy, you can also utilize our fantasy projections and a variety of other tools to help make money betting everyday player props.
For the purposes of this article, we are using the odds provided at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint three spots where value can be had on a player's stat line, scoring, or even shot type.
Please note that betting lines and our game projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Paul George, Under 18.5 Points
Paul George has averaged 8.2 points in his last four games for the Los Angeles Clippers, and his poor stretch of shooting won't get any easier when the Denver Nuggets come to town. George has made 12 of his last 46 shot attempts for an abysmal 26% from the field -- that includes 4 for 17 from three (23.5%). The Nuggets are surrendering the 10th-fewest points per game to small forwards, at 19.85.
George has yet to play Denver, but in two games following All-Star Weekend, George has scored 18 total points in 49 minutes of action. He's shooting 29.1% from the field in those two contests, going 7 for 24 from the floor and 3 for 11 from deep (27.2%). He hasn't played over 28 minutes in his last three games, and numberFire's model projects George to record 18.1 points in 27:43 minutes of action -- which results in him hitting the under.
Zion Williamson, Over 24.5 Points
Zion Williamson has now hit his over in points in five straight games, recording anywhere between 25 and 32 versus quality opponents. Zion and the New Orleans Pelicans are back at home after a three-game road trip following the break. Williamson scored 25 points or more in all three, including 29 on the Los Angeles Lakers Tuesday night. Zion has had two days of rest for his second meeting versus the Cleveland Cavaliers.
In the first meeting in Cleveland, Zion scored 14 points, tied for the lowest of his young career, and he then went on to score 20 or more in each of the next nine games. At home, Williamson is averaging 23.6 points -- he's also shot 50% or better from the field in 11 of his first 13 career games. Keep betting on the No. 1 overall pick until he slumps, and it doesn't seem like that will be anytime soon.
Rudy Gobert, Over 30.5 Points + Rebounds
Rudy Gobert has fallen into a slump post-All-Star break, hitting his overs in just one out of four games for the Utah Jazz. He's failed to register a double-double or even sniff 30 combined points and rebounds, but this should be his breakout game. The Jazz host the Washington Wizards, who he met once this year and recorded 21 points and 14 rebounds in that one. The Wizards are playing terrible defense out of the All-Star break, allowing 123 points per game over their last three outings (28th), as well as 46 rebounds per game over that stretch.
Gobert has gone over 30.5 points and rebounds in 6 of his last 10 games versus Eastern Conference opponents. He's hit 30 on the nose twice in his last 10, and he's projected to come very close to that again by numberFire's model. He's predicted to record 15.3 points and 14.1 rebounds -- barely hitting the under. I expect Gobert to break out of his slump against a Wizards team he's owned in his past three games. It definitely helps that Washington allows the most rebounds per game to centers (17.93). This is Gobert's bounce-back night.
