3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Friday 7/31/20
Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from taking advantage of them straight up (to the tune of cold hard cash), to measure a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball.
While you can use those odds in fantasy, you can also utilize our fantasy projections and a variety of other tools to help make money betting everyday player props.
For this article, we are using the odds provided at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint three spots where value can be had on a player's stat line, scoring, or even shot type.
Please note that betting lines and our game projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
C.J. McCollum, Over 25.5 Points + Assists (-122)
C.J. McCollum played in two of the Trail Blazers' three scrimmages, recording 20 and 24 minutes of action. He scored 11 and 21 points on 45% or better shooting from the field, 50% shooting from three, and 80% from the free-throw line. He's played well and played with and without running mate Damian Lillard in the two games. Lillard is dealing with foot soreness but is expected to play versus the Memphis Grizzlies. If Lillard is dealing with any discomfort, McCollum will be the leading candidate to facilitate in this offense.
The Grizzlies are one of the worst teams defensively versus shooting guards and have allowed the 5th-most points per game (24.16) and the 10th-most assists per game (4.81). In the lone 2019-20 meeting with the Grizzlies, McCollum posted 23 points and 5 assists to hit the over on this line. For his career, McCollum averages 20.6 points and 2.6 assists in 19 total games versus the Grizzlies. Memphis is one of five teams McCollum averages 20 points or more against for his career. numberFire's model projects McCollum to play 34 minutes tonight and produce 21.8 points and 4.0 assists in his first game back -- narrowly going over here.
Kristaps Porzingis, Over 31.5 Points + Rebounds (-118)
Kristaps Porzingis is projected -- per our algorithm -- to total 21.7 points and 10.6 rebounds versus the Houston Rockets. In their first meeting of the season, he scored 23 points and grabbed 13 rebounds, hitting the over here, and in the second meeting, he went for 35 points and 12 rebounds. Porzingis played in the Mavericks' final scrimmage and totaled 17 points and 12 rebounds in a team-high 26 minutes.
The Rockets allow the eighth-most points per game to the center position (22.30) and the seventh-most rebounds (15.70). With power forwards, the numbers are even worse, making a case for Porzingis to continue to dominate the Rockets. Porzingis is second in usage rate (24.5%) on Dallas to Luka Doncic (35.5%), and he should be a huge mismatch problem for P.J. Tucker and Robert Covington.
Devin Booker Under 26.5 Points (-118)
Devin Booker played in all of the Suns' scrimmages, getting at least 26 minutes in all three. He looked good in his limited time, and his minutes may be restricted down the stretch with the Suns' slim chances of making the playoffs.
Booker attempted nine three-pointers in two of his three scrimmages, hitting three in both of those games, while finishing 1-of-5 from deep in the other game. He scored 9, 17 and 17 in the three exhibitions, but don't expect him to play much more than 26 minutes -- even in a game that counts toward the standings.
In his lone game versus the Washington Wizards during the regular season, he scored 27 points and connected on two triples on six tries. There's a chance the Suns blow out the Wizards, who are very short-handed, which may help cap Booker's minutes. The Wizards are undoubtedly a good matchup for Booker, but he may have a hard time getting to 27 points without big minutes. We project him to record 21.7 points in 31 minutes.