3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Wednesday 1/20/21
Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from taking advantage of them straight up (to the tune of cold hard cash) to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball. Here we'll focus on utilizing our projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props.
For this article, we are using the odds provided at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.
Please note that betting lines and our game projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Clint Capela Over 13.5 Rebounds (-128)
Over the last 10 games, Clint Capela has posted 11 or more rebounds per game and 15 in each of his previous two games. Capela is also on a scoring streak, recording 23 and 25 points in his last two games, and a double-double in his last four and seven of the previous nine. Matched up with the Detroit Pistons, Capela has a favorable matchup for his fifth straight double-double. In wins this season, Capela has averaged 13.5 points, 11.5 rebounds, and 2.5 assists per game.
Detroit has struggled versus opposing centers recently. The Pistons allowed Bam Adebayo to go for 28 points, 7 rebounds, and 6 assists, and in the next game, 28 points, 11 rebounds, and 5 assists. Rudy Gobert had 19 rebounds, but only 4 points versus Detroit while Deandre Ayton recorded 14 points and 13 rebounds. Capela should be the next center to wreak havoc on the Pistons' interior.
Kawhi Leonard Over 25.5 Points (-110)
The Los Angeles Clippers are riding a four-game winning streak, and Kawhi Leonard has been a main catalyst in why. He scored 17 in his latest outing on only 13 attempts, but Leonard totaled 27, 28, and 35 points in the three previously. Overall, in the last seven games, Leonard has scored 27 or more in four games and 20 or more in six. In the first meeting with Sacramento, Leonard recorded 27 points on 10 of 15 shooting (66.7%), his best field-goal percentage of the season, and in his fewest minutes played (28).
Leonard played 31 minutes in a second straight blowout win versus the Indiana Pacers, so 59 total minutes played over the previous two games. That's his lowest back-to-back minute total on the season, so Leonard will be ready to play extended minutes if Sacramento hangs around in their second meeting over the past week. Leonard has only played five games of 35 or more minutes, and he's averaged 24.8 points scoring 26 or more points in 6 of 12 games.
Leonard is also a focal point in the Clippers' passing without a true point guard. I played Paul George assist props a few times before the books caught on and Leonard's numbers are constant. Leonard has led the Clippers in assists six times, points five times, and rebounds once over the last 10 games.
Nikola Vucevic Over 39.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-120)
The Orlando Magic are on a six-game losing streak, but that hasn't stopped Nikola Vucevic from playing his game. Vucevic averaged 25.5 points, 11.6 rebounds, and 3.5 assists (40.6 PRA) during that span and played at least 36 minutes in the previous two games and 32 or more in four. The Minnesota Timberwolves lost Karl-Anthony Towns for an undisclosed time because of COVID and without him, the Timberwolves' paint is open for business.
Hawks' Clint Capela recorded 23 points, 15 rebounds, and 2 assists (40 PRA) in 39 minutes. Before that, Memphis Grizzlies' center, Jonas Valanciunas went for 24 points, 16 rebounds, and 1 assist (41 PRA) in 30 minutes. The Timberwolves allow the most points (27.91), seventh-most rebounds (15.92), and the most assists per game (5.85) to centers. Vucevic is in a more than favorable position, and on the road, he's averaging higher numbers. Vucevic is at 23.8 points, 11.5 rebounds, and 3.5 assists per game (38.8 PRA) in eight road contests compared to 21.8 points, 10.3 rebounds, and 3.5 assists (35.6 PRA) in six home games.
This is a winnable game for both squads, but Vucevic has battled hard trying to will the Magic to victory this season. Vuc is averaging 25.3 points, 11.6 rebounds, and 3.8 assists per game (40.7 PRA) over 31.5 minutes in the Magic's eight losses this season.