NBA

3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Friday 5/7/21

Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from taking advantage of them straight up (to the tune of cold hard cash) to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball. Here we'll focus on utilizing our projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props.

For this article, we are using the odds provided at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.

Please note that betting lines and our player projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.

Chris Paul Over 1.5 Made Three-Pointers (+106)

The Phoenix Suns are facing the New York Knicks in what is a battle of two of the league's better defensive teams. While the Knicks sit fourth in defensive efficiency for the season, they do give up a 41.5% three-point attempt rate, which is the sixth-highest mark in the NBA.

Chris Paul's made three-pointers prop is a way to take advantage of that. Paul has hit multiple threes in eight of his last 10 games, including two triples against the Knicks back on April 26th.

We project Paul right at 1.5 made threes today. With +106 on the over, compared to a -136 price on the under, the over is the way to go.

Kemba Walker Under 20.5 Points (-110)

With Jaylen Brown ruled out, Kemba Walker's points prop is up at 20.5 points. That's just a bit too high, per our model.

The matchup is a difficult one versus the Chicago Bulls, who rank eighth in defensive rating over their last seven games while playing at the fourth-slowest pace in that span.

Kemba is on a heater -- 32, 20, 32 and 26 points over his last four -- and the absence of Brown should lead to more looks for him, but he'd scored more than 20 points in just one of his last seven games prior to his recent four-game tear.

We project Walker for 18.5 points tonight.

LaMelo Ball Over 6.5 Rebounds (+114)

The Charlotte Hornets are taking on an Orlando Magic squad that has the sixth-lowest rebounding rate over the past seven games (48.2%). For the season, Orlando is allowing the most rebounds per night to opposing backcourts (14.1).

Those things should help LaMelo Ball snag at least seven boards tonight. Ball has done just that in three of his last four outings, and he's also played at least 30 minutes in each of Charlotte's last two non-blowout games -- so he's nearly back to his pre-injury workload.

We have Ball finishing with 6.5 rebounds. Given the +114 price on the over, that's the side I lean.