NBA Finals: Player Prop Bets to Target for Game 3
Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from taking advantage of them straight up within the betting market to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball.
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Please note that betting lines and our player projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Robert Williams 2+ Blocks (-136)
Williams' minutes dropped to 14 in Game 2 as his knee appeared to be less than 100%, which is likely the reason we can get this at -136. Obviously, we'd love to see Williams get closer to the 24 minutes he got in Game 1, but his nickname is Time Lord for a reason; Williams has always been able to put up numbers in limited time.
Williams has been a shot-blocking force all playoffs. He failed to block a shot in Game 7 against the Miami Heat, but other than that outlier, he's recorded at least two blocks in each of his previous 10 games this postseason -- three of which have seen him log fewer than 20 minutes.
Stephen Curry Over 5.5 Assists (+104)
Stephen Curry has been very aggressive offensively through two games, taking 46 combined shots -- including 26 three-balls -- and posting a 33.7% usage rate.
He's torched the Boston Celtics' top-level defense, going for 34 and 29 points and serving as the Golden State Warriors' clear-cut number-one option. No other Dubs starter has a usage rate above 22.1%. The second-highest usage rate on the squad belongs to Jordan Poole (27.0%) off the pine.
You have to assume the Celtics will make some tweaks defensively to try to keep Curry from beating them from three. On top of that, Curry is probably due to hoist fewer shots here soon anyway, and you can say the opposite for the rest of the Warriors' starters. In the conference finals, Curry's usage rate was only 28.0%. He took 21 or fewer shots in all five games against the Dallas Mavericks, including 17 or fewer in three contests.
That has me on the over on Curry's assists prop. We project him to dish out 5.9 dimes in Game 3, and you can get this at plus money.