5 NBA FanDuel Value Plays to Target on Wednesday 11/30/22
One of the keys to finding success in daily fantasy basketball is uncovering potential value plays.
If you're looking to roster a stud player or two, you need to consider squeezing one of these lower-salaried options into your lineup.
Let's take a look at some players who can help fill in the gaps in your lineup on FanDuel tonight, using numberFire's daily fantasy basketball projections as a guide.
Zach Collins, PF/C, San Antonio Spurs
FanDuel Salary: $4,500
Zach Collins is projected to be the top value play of any option on the slate, according to numberFire's model. He's expected to put up 33.9 FanDuel points (7.53 per $1,000 in salary).
Why? Collins will get a boost with Jakob Poeltl out. Collins is expected to play 28.1 minutes in this matchup, a 10.1-minute increase from his season average.
The San Antonio Spurs are in a game with a 231.5-point total -- tied for the second-highest total of the evening -- and a reasonably tight 5.0-point spread. In total, Collins has one of the best composite matchups of any player, too.
Kyle Anderson, SF/PF, Minnesota Timberwolves
FanDuel Salary: $4,600
The Minnesota Timberwolves' frontcourt and wing positions are thinned out. Karl-Anthony Towns is out for multiple weeks, Taurean Prince remains sidelined, and Jaden McDaniels is questionable.
Even with McDaniels projected for now (at 32.9 minutes), Anderson would see a big enough role (28.2 minutes) to be considered a top-shelf value play.
Anderson averages 0.95 FanDuel points per minute (across a 116.7-minute sample) without Towns on the floor this season.
Anderson is numberFire's second-highest projected value of the night (6.15 FanDuel points per $1,000).
Jaylen Nowell, PG, Minnesota Timberwolves
FanDuel Salary: $4,200
Let's stick with the Timberwolves here.
Nowell has a 24.7% usage rate when Towns is off the floor this season and averages a steady 0.94 FanDuel points per minute himself. Nowell has played 24.2 and 25.1 minutes over the past two games without McDaniels and Jordan McLaughlin, so he's a bit more dependent on the injury status for the Timberwolves.
My slate simulations show Nowell as 15.1% likely to be the top value play of the night and 35.1% likely to be a top-five value option at the final buzzer.
Only Anderson (18.6% and 46.3%, respectively) rate out better in that department.
Justise Winslow, SF, Portland Trail Blazers
FanDuel Salary: $5,200
Justise Winslow has been a model of consistency in recent games.
He has had exactly 10 field goal attempts and between 26.2 and 29.6 FanDuel points in four straight games while Damian Lillard was out for all of them. The minutes tallies in those games: 28.0, 46.4, 37.2, and 33.7.
Winslow, projected for 36.0 minutes again tonight, maintains a 16.6% usage rate and a per-minute average of 0.85 FanDuel points with Lillard off the court this season.
Collin Sexton, SG, Utah Jazz
FanDuel Salary: $5,100
Collin Sexton should continue to start with Mike Conley out. Sexton has started the past five games. In those five, he has averaged 30.7 minutes, 15.4 points, 6.2 assists, 1.8 rebounds, and 0.8 combined steals and blocks. Not too bad.
His rates without Conley on the floor are a 22.1% usage rate with a per-minute average of 0.91 FanDuel points.
numberFire's model projects Sexton for 31.9 minutes, 17.2 points, 4.1 assists, and 1.2 combined steals and blocks for 28.2 FanDuel points (a value rating of 5.54).
