3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Monday 12/5/22
Here, we'll focus on utilizing daily fantasy basketball projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are focusing on the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.
The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.
Please note that betting lines and our daily fantasy basketball projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Dillon Brooks Over 2.5 Made Threes (+140)
Miami is allowing a three-point attempt rate of 44.4%, the highest clip in the league.
Brooks has taken at least seven threes in 7 of his last 10 games, so when you add in the matchup, three-point volume shouldn't be an issue for him today. Brooks has made at least three triples in four of the last seven games, so he's hitting them at a good clip, too.
Admittedly, our model projects Brooks to make only 2.3 triples on Monday. But with the over priced at +140, I'm willing to roll the dice on Brooks hitting at least three shots from deep.
Jayson Tatum Under 8.5 Rebounds (-108)
Across his last three games, Jayson Tatum has snagged 11, 12 and 11 rebounds, but this line is where it is -- and the pricing is fairly even on each side (-118 on the over) -- for a reason.
Tatum is averaging 8.1 rebounds per night for the campaign, and that's actually a career-best mark. He's averaging 10.7 rebounds per 100 possessions, but DARKO has him projected at 10.2 boards per 100 possessions, so he may be due for a slight downtick in rebounding.
He's facing the Toronto Raptors on Monday, and Toronto is solid on the glass. They rank eighth in rebound rate for the year, and they are giving up just 9.3 rebounds per game to the power forward position, the ninth-fewest.
Our model pegs Tatum to total 7.9 rebounds tonight.
Luka Doncic Under 2.5 Made Threes (-104)
Luka Doncic cooked the Suns in that series, averaging 32.6 points, 9.9 rebounds, 7.0 assists and 2.1 steals. But the Suns mostly kept him in check from deep as Doncic made three-plus treys in only three of the seven games, shooting 33.8% from three in the series.
This should be another difficult matchup for Luka when it comes to threes. The Suns are giving up a 35.2% three-point attempt rate, the third-lowest. They're holding the point guard position to only 6.9 three-point tries per game, the fifth-lowest.
All that has me leaning toward the under on Doncic's made threes prop.