NBA

NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Tuesday 12/6/22

Here, we'll focus on utilizing daily fantasy basketball projections and a slew of other tools to help you make money through betting player props. For this article, we are focusing on the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.

The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.

Please note that betting lines and our daily fantasy basketball projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.

Anthony Davis Under 27.5 Points (-120)

Anthony Davis is playing unbelievably well lately. Over his past nine games, he's averaging 35.3 points, 15.6 boards and 4.1 combined blocks/steals. He's been insane.

However, he's not going to keep shooting as well as he has been, especially during this recent tear. For the year, he's hitting 61.0% of his two-pointers and 33.3% of his threes. DARKO projects him to make 58.1% of his twos and 30.1% from deep.

His shooting percentages have gone through the roof during his nine-game run of MVP-level play, making 64.8% of his shots overall, including 45.5% of his three-pointers. That just won't last.

Davis is due to slow down in the scoring department, and it could come tonight versus a Cleveland Cavaliers team that ranks second in defensive rating and plays at the league's slowest pace. The Los Angeles Lakers, meanwhile, operate at the league's fastest pace, so it's as big of a slow-down spot as there is for LA.

The Cavs have been particularly tough on centers, limiting the position to just 19.4 points per night, the fourth-fewest, and Cleveland may get Jarrett Allen back for this one.

All in all, our model projects Davis to net 24.5 points tonight.

Nikola Jokic Over 10.5 Rebounds (-130)

Nikola Jokic has gone for 11-plus rebounds in three of his last five games, including a 16-board outing in his most recent contest.

He's due for an uptick in rebounds, too. For the year, he's snagged just 15.3 rebounds per 100 possessions. He was at 20.2 boards per 100 possessions a season ago, and DARKO projects him at 17.5 rebounds per 100 possessions.

Jokic also benefits from the absence of Michael Porter Jr. With MPJ off the floor, Jokic totals 1.88 more rebounds per 36 minutes, according to RogoGrinders' CourtIQ.

The matchup shouldn't be an issue, as the Dallas Mavericks are just 16th in rebound rate as a team.

We have Jokic pulling down 11.8 rebounds on Tuesday.