3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Wednesday 1/11/23

Here, we'll focus on utilizing daily fantasy basketball projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are focusing on the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.

The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.

Please note that betting lines and our daily fantasy basketball projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.

Malik Monk Over 1.5 Made Threes (-128)

Malik Monk is taking on the Houston Rockets, and it's a great spot for him to drop in a couple of threes.

Houston is surrendering a three-point attempt rate of 44.7%. That's the highest mark in the NBA. Shooting guards are getting off a league-high 10.9 three-point attempts per game against Houston.

This game should see a ton of points as both defenses are in the bottom seven in defensive rating. The total is up at 237.0 points.

Monk is shooting an uncharacteristically low 31.8% from three. He's made 39.1% and 40.1% of his threes in the previous two seasons, and DARKO has him as an expected 36.9% three-point shooter this season. In short, he's due to make some more three-balls.

We project Monk to go 2.2 of 5.9 from three tonight.

Jalen Brunson Under 23.5 Points (-105)

Jalen Brunson is on a heater. He's netted at least 24 points in four straight games, with outbursts of 44 and 38 during that four-game run.

But that's come with RJ Barrett out, and Barrett has been upgraded to questionable for tonight, putting him in a position to return to the lineup. If that happens, it's a blow to Brunson's scoring outlook.

For the year, Brunson's usage rate is 31.8% with Barrett off the floor, per CourtIQ, and he scores 28.0 points per 36 minutes in the split. With Barrett on the court, Brunson scores 21.8 points per 36 on a 25.8% usage rate. That's a big difference.

Prior to the last four games, Brunson had scored 24-plus points in just two of his previous 14 games.

The matchup is a rough one, too, as the Indiana Pacers have held point guards to 21.2 points per game, the second-fewest.

Given Brunson's recent scoring outputs, if his points prop is set this low, it seems like oddsmakers are counting on Barrett to play tonight. Even with that, our model thinks the under is still a good bet as we have Brunson putting up 22.6 points.

Desmond Bane Over 2.5 Made Threes (-132)

The Memphis Grizzlies should fill it up tonight against the San Antonio Spurs, and their 126.0-point implied total is a slate-best mark by 2.25 points. The Spurs are dead last in defensive rating and play at the 10th-fastest pace.

That has me scanning the Grizzles' player props, and this looks like a good one to pounce on.

Desmond Bane is an elite shooter, hitting 42.9% from beyond the arc this season. He's averaging 3.1 made threes per night. He's sunk at least three trifectas in three of his previous five games, including a three-for-five effort from deep last time out against these same Spurs.

Our projections have Bane making 3.2 treys on 7.6 tries on Wednesday.