3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Tuesday 1/24/23
Here, we'll focus on utilizing daily fantasy basketball projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are focusing on the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.
The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.
Please note that betting lines and our daily fantasy basketball projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Aaron Nesmith Over 1.5 Made Threes (+112)
Aaron Nesmith is at home tonight versus the Chicago Bulls, and it's a good spot for him to get loose from three. The Bulls are giving up a three-point attempt rate of 41.9% this season, which is the fifth-highest. They are allowing 8.7 three-point shots per game to small forwards, the sixth-most.
Nesmith should be able to fire off a handful of shots from beyond the arc on Tuesday, and with Tyrese Haliburton -- who is still out -- off the court this season, Nesmith has taken an average of 6.6 threes per night, per CourtIQ, making 1.9.
Our model projects Nesmith to play 27.4 minutes and go 1.9 of 5.8 from three. With a +112 price on the over, that's the side I want to be on.
Bradley Beal Under 23.5 Points (-111)
Dallas has been really tough on shooting guards, holding the position to 21.1 points per game, the third-fewest.
Beal comes into this game with 19 or fewer points in four consecutive outings. Per CourtIQ, Beal averages 2.8 more points per 36 minutes sans Kristaps Porzingis -- who is out -- but I think this line more than accounts for KP's absence.
There's also a whiff of blowout risk in this game as the Washington Wizards are 7.0-point road 'dogs.
We project Beal to net 22.5 points.
Kyle Lowry Over 3.5 Rebounds (+110)
This is another plus-money over that's pretty appealing.
Kyle Lowry is averaging 4.4 rebounds per game, and he's snagged at least four boards in three of his last four contests.
The matchup tonight helps, too. He's taking on the Boston Celtics. Boston is sitting a slew of players, including guards Malcolm Brogdon, Marcus Smart and Jaylen Brown. Even at full strength, Boston is giving up 6.6 rebounds per night to point guards, the fourth-most.
Lowry has played the Celtics three times this season, totaling five, four and four rebounds in the three matchups.
Even with Boston sitting players, the spread is only 4.5 points, so there's not much of a reason to worry about a blowout.