NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Friday 1/27/23
Here, we'll focus on utilizing daily fantasy basketball projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are focusing on the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.
The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.
Please note that betting lines and our daily fantasy basketball projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Gary Trent Jr. Over 2.5 Made Threes (-132)
Gary Trent Jr. and the Toronto Raptors are on the road to take on the Golden State Warriors, and it's a good spot for Trent to get going from three.
On the year, the Warriors have allowed a three-point attempt rate of 40.1%, the 10th-highest mark.
The game environment should help, too, as this matchup carries a 235.0-point total and a 5.0-point spread.
Trent has made at least three triples in 9 of his last 15 games. He's been a slightly better three-point shooter on the road (37.0%) than at home (36.4%), and he's been a lock for big minutes lately, logging at least 35 minutes in six straight games with outings of 43 and 41 minutes in that time.
Our model has Trent hitting 3.0 of 8.0 three-point attempts today.
D'Angelo Russell Over 6.5 Assists (+102)
Another game that's expected to be fast-paced and tight is a clash between the Minnesota Timberwolves and Memphis Grizzlies. It features a 238.5-point total and 3.0-point spread. Both teams are in the top six in pace.
In short, this game should be an over-friendly environment. The books know that, of course, and adjust lines accordingly, but our model sees value on D'Angelo Russell's assist prop.
Russell is averaging 6.7 assists over his previous six games, notching at least seven dimes in four of those contests. His assist totals could be even higher as he's averaging 11.7 potential assists per night over that time.
Our model and the betting market don't see eye to eye on this one. Not only do we project Russell for 7.4 assists, this over comes at plus money. Yes, please.