Week 3 Fantasy Football Market Share Report: Darren Waller Is Eating
We're three weeks in, and data starts becoming more and more reliable.
What market share numbers should you take note of as we get into Week 4?
Rushing Market Shares
Against the soft defense of the Kansas City Chiefs, Ingram rushed 16 times for 103 yards and crushed with three touchdowns. He even added four receptions for 32 yards.
Already a monster rushing attack for the Ravens, quarterback Lamar Jackson's willingness this season to go down the field is helping to open up more holes for Ingram.
Ingram is the lead back for one of the league's top offenses, and he's a must-start option each week.
The ride with Devonta Freeman has been anything but steady. Many fantasy owners were enticed by the offseason, preseason and early-season promise of a healthy Freeman and a heavy workhorse workload. But maybe we aren’t far off.
In Week 3, Freeman posted his best line of the year and is competing despite a poor offensive line in front of him. Freeman rushed 16 times for 88 yards and caught three passes for a paltry three yards. But at least he got the receptions.
Receiving Market Shares
Darren Waller's weekly target share is a thing of beauty for fantasy owners. And in Week 3, it was no different. In fact, it was spectacular.
Per Pro-Football Reference, in Week 1, Waller handled 30.77 percent of the Raiders receiving market share. Since it was one week, managing expectations moving forward seemed prudent. In Week 2, an 18.92 percent share helped to tame expectations a little.
But Week 3 might have just sunk any chances of catching a good deal on Waller. He took in a staggering 42.42 percent market share and posted a 13 receptions for 134 yards, on 14 targets.
His 30 percent target share for the year, per airyards.com, paces the Oakland Raiders by a wide margin, with Tyrell Williams' 17% clip sitting second on the team. Not only that but the 30 percent target share is tops among all tight ends. He also holds a solid 26 percent air yards share, second at the position to only Travis Kelce (27 percent).
Waller is going to be a target monster on an Oakland offense without many play-makers.
In Week 3, Tate actually bested Boyd, who hauled in six balls for 67 yards. Tate will be a moderately-warm waiver add this week as receiving talent is deep but unpredictable overall.
According to airyards.com, Tate handled a 28 percent market share for the Bengals in Week 3, including 35 yards after catch. His average depth of target is 8.5, so he's proving to be a nice possession receiver and an interesting add for your bench.
Red Zone Market Shares
Wilson, with a league-leading 13 running back red zone touches, ahead of Ezekiel Elliott (12), has scored four touchdowns thus far. It’s time to act now.
At a 59.1 percent of red zone market share of the 49ers’ touches and 83.3 percent clip inside the five-yard line, Wilson is elite in his red zone production.
Want to steal some elite red zone receiver work, without having to pay the heavy price? See Larry Fitzgerald.
I know things haven’t been great for the Arizona Cardinals so far and Kyler Murray hasn’t completely blown us away, but what’s old is new and Fitzgerald is tied with Keenan Allen and Zach Ertz for red zone targets with six, just behind Emmanuel Sanders (8) and T.Y. Hilton (7).
Fitz is handling 31.6 percent share of the Cardinals' red zone receiving targets and thus far has two touchdowns in three games. He also is netting 60 percent of the targets inside the five.
If a receiver is going to score from the Cardinals, it’s likely to be Larry Fitz, and he’s not going to cost you an extravagant price.