Super Bowl Futures Betting Update: Week 15
Incredibly, after 14 weeks of the 2021 NFL season, there are zero teams that have clinched a playoff berth. In all, 26 of the 32 teams are a game away from the playoff places across the two conferences, making it -- on paper -- the most wide-open season for many a year.
But according to the latest odds from the NFL odds, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are the favorites to take home the Super Bowl at the end of the campaign.
| Team | Odds | Implied Probability | nF Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +500 | 16.7% | 16.7% |
| Kansas City Chiefs | +550 | 15.4% | 15.5% |
| Green Bay Packers | +650 | 13.3% | 16.4% |
| New England Patriots | +750 | 11.8% | 14.5% |
| Arizona Cardinals | +1000 | 9.1% | 8.9% |
| Los Angeles Rams | +1100 | 8.3% | 6.4% |
| Dallas Cowboys | +1300 | 7.1% | 5.5% |
| Buffalo Bills | +1400 | 6.7% | 3.8% |
| Tennessee Titans | +1900 | 5.0% | 4.6% |
| Los Angeles Chargers | +2200 | 4.3% | 2.7% |
| Baltimore Ravens | +3000 | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Indianapolis Colts | +3000 | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| San Francisco 49ers | +3400 | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Cleveland Browns | +3400 | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Cincinnati Bengals | +4400 | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Philadelphia Eagles | +10000 | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Minnesota Vikings | +10000 | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Denver Broncos | +12000 | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Washington | +13000 | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| New Orleans Saints | +13000 | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Las Vegas Raiders | +15000 | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | +22000 | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Seattle Seahawks | +23000 | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Miami Dolphins | +29000 | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Atlanta Falcons | +39000 | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Carolina Panthers | +100000 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| New York Giants | +100000 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chicago Bears | +100000 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
It's pretty tight at the top, however, with the Kansas City Chiefs, New England Patriots, and Green Bay Packers joining the Buccaneers in the Big Four atop the betting market. All four teams have better than a 10% chance of winning the Super Bowl, according to our metrics.
Two NFC West powers -- the Los Angeles Rams and Arizona Cardinals -- are right on the heels of that group, with Arizona still holding a slight edge over LA despite the Rams' win on Monday night.
The Baltimore Ravens' loss to the Cleveland Browns on Sunday saw a significant shift in their title odds. Going into Week 14, the Ravens were available at +1600, with numberFire odds of 4.7%. Now, they are all the way out at +3000 with nF odds of 1.7%.
The Washington Football Team's first loss in five also saw their odds take a serious hit, as they dropped from +10000 to +13000 after they dropped a compelling clash with the Dallas Cowboys. The Cowboys are still sitting at +1300, but their numberFire title odds have fallen slightly to 5.5%.
FanDuel Sportsbook is no longer offering title odds on the Jacksonville Jaguars, Houston Texans, New York Jets, or Detroit Lions. As we get closer to the end of the season, this list will start to grow. It's going to be a bumpy ride. Strap in.
