Super Bowl Futures Betting Update: Week 13
We are entering the home stretch of the 2022 NFL season. The first playoff-clinching scenarios of the year are in play this coming week, although we are still in the "If and If and If" stage. It won't be long before teams start getting officially eliminated from postseason consideration, either, looking at the current standings.
Until then, however, all 32 teams are still technically alive. As a result, FanDuel Sportsbook still has Super Bowl title odds for all the teams. You can see them below as well as the odds our metrics at numberFire have for each squad.
| Team | Odds | Implied Probability | nF Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Chiefs | +430 | 18.9% | 20.5% |
| Buffalo Bills | +450 | 18.2% | 17.3% |
| Philadelphia Eagles | +650 | 13.3% | 16.2% |
| San Francisco 49ers | +650 | 13.3% | 10.1% |
| Dallas Cowboys | +900 | 10.0% | 8.8% |
| Miami Dolphins | +1500 | 6.3% | 6.7% |
| Baltimore Ravens | +1700 | 5.6% | 3.6% |
| Minnesota Vikings | +1700 | 5.6% | 3.0% |
| Cincinnati Bengals | +1700 | 5.6% | 5.3% |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +2200 | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Tennessee Titans | +3000 | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Los Angeles Chargers | +3500 | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Seattle Seahawks | +6500 | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| New York Jets | +7000 | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Washington Commanders | +8500 | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| New England Patriots | +10000 | 1.0% | 0.8% |
| New York Giants | +12000 | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | +15000 | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Cleveland Browns | +18000 | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Atlanta Falcons | +21000 | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Las Vegas Raiders | +21000 | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Green Bay Packers | +28000 | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| New Orleans Saints | +28000 | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Detroit Lions | +28000 | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Carolina Panthers | +42000 | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Indianapolis Colts | +48000 | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | +48000 | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Los Angeles Rams | +70000 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Arizona Cardinals | +75000 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Denver Broncos | +85000 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chicago Bears | +100000 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Houston Texans | +100000 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
There is a change at the top of the betting market, with the Kansas City Chiefs moving past the Buffalo Bills as favorites to win the Super Bowl. The NFC has two teams with odds of +650 -- the 10-1 Philadelphia Eagles and the surging San Francisco 49ers. The Dallas Cowboys are snapping at the heels of those two, with odds of +900.
The Chiefs take on the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 13, and the Bengals saw their title odds improve drastically after they bested the Tennessee Titans in Week 12. The Bengals improved to +1700, the same odds as the Baltimore Ravens, their AFC North foes. The Week 18 clash between these two looks particularly juicy right about now.
A second straight loss for the Seattle Seahawks dealt their title odds a heavy blow. The Seahawks were available at +3400 heading into Week 10, but they are now out to +6500. According to our metrics, the 49ers' good form is a significant concern for the Seahawks, but Seattle still has a 79% chance of making the postseason by our metrics.
The other two NFC West sides, the Los Angeles Rams and Arizona Cardinals, saw their already-slim championship odds plummet after Week 12. The Rams are all the way out to +70000, while the Cardinals are sitting at +75000. We have the Rams with a 2% chance of earning a postseason berth, but the Cardinals have just a 0.1% shot.
The Houston Texans are somehow still alive but circling the drain at 1-9-1 with title odds of +100000. The powerbrokers in the Texans' front office must surely be weighing up which quarterback they'll be taking with their first overall pick in April, with C.J. Stroud and Bryce Young priced as joint favorites to be the first player taken.
