Bundesliga DFS: FanDuel Helper for Matchday 29
In these times, we're all making adjustments. FanDuel is no different, and they are now offering Bundesliga daily fantasy.
Finally, some good news.
The slate kicks off at 9:30 a.m. EST on Saturday. Lineups will be announced at 8:30 a.m. EST. All betting lines come from FanDuel Sportsbook, and they may change after the article is published.
|Eintracht Frankfurt at Wolfsburg||Wolfsburg (-105)||-148||Weghorst (+105)|
|Werder Bremen at Schalke||Schalke (+155)||-104||Burgstaller (+220)|
|Augsburg at Hertha Berlin||Hertha Berlin (-115)||-128||Piatek (+125)|
|Hoffenheim at Mainz||Hoffenheim (+140)||-194||Skov (+125)|
|Dusseldorf at Bayern Munich||Bayern (-1500)||-500||Lewandowski (-550)|
This slate revolves around Bayern Munich, who are monster home favorites (-1500) against Dusseldorf. The match is -500 to go over 2.5 goals, and the most likely scoreline, per oddsmakers, is 3-0 in favor of Bayern (+600), with 4-0 Bayern at just +750. Obviously, Bayern Munich should roll.
In a study I did recently, I found that attacker-attacker stacks work best when the team you're stacking has win odds of at least 70%. At a line of -1500, Bayern's implied win odds are 93.8%. Feel free to stack away. Do note, however, that Bayern are in the late match, meaning we won't know their lineup when the other four games lock. That might make it tough for us to adjust if Bayern rotate their squad, which is a very real possibility on Saturday.
You have to at least consider fading Robert Lewandowski ($23). Yes, Lewa is -550 to score anytime, which is a laughably massive number. But he's likely to be incredibly highly owned -- probably in more than half of all lineups -- and fading him could give you a leg up on a big chunk of the field if he underwhelms. Timo Werner was in a similar type of spot on Wednesday and flopped at huge ownership. Of course, Lewa could score five and break the slate. #decisions
Priced just a buck cheaper, Thomas Muller ($22) is a pivot away from Lewandowski, and Serge Gnabry ($19) -- who has nine goals and 11 assists in 21 league starts -- is at -175 to score. Leon Goretzka ($14) finally got a salary bump after starting in every game since the restart, but he's still a cheaper way to get exposure to Bayern. And it wouldn't surprise me to see Ivan Perisic ($13) get a start.
The Hoffenheim-Mainz match is another great place to look. It's an even matchup, with Hoffenheim a slight favorite (+140), and is -198 to go over 2.5 goals, the best mark outside of the Bayern match.
This is a great spot for Hoffenheim's attackers as Mainz have shipped a league-worst 61 goals in league play. Christoph Baumgartner ($13) is fresh off a 52.6-FanDuel-point outburst on Wednesday, a match in which he netted two goals with an assist. That explosion and his friendly price should make him popular. Pivoting to Munas Dabbur ($13) or Ihlas Bebou ($15) has its appeal. These two have split starts at striker in the three games back, with Dabbur's first start coming on Wednesday. I'd roll with whomever Hoffenheim starts in the number-nine role. Dabbur is +140 to score anytime while Bebou is +175, both better than Baumgartner's +200 clip.
Mainz have been meh in attack for most of the year, but in a relegation scrap, they have every reason to bring it in this home fixture. Taiwo Awoniyi ($14; +280 to score anytime), Jean-Paul Boetius ($9: +310), Robin Quaison ($17; +150) and Jean-Philippe Mateta ($11; +220) started in the four front spots midweek in a 4-2-3-1 formation. Mateta was the striker and put a shot on target. His salary fits perfectly for lineups that plug in multiple Bayern studs. Quaison has the best goal odds and won't see much ownership at his price, making him ideal for GPPs.
Hertha Berlin (-115) and Wolfsburg (-105) are the two biggest favorites outside of Bayern Munich.
Hertha BSC is home to an Augsburg side that's allowed the fourth-most goals in the league. Krzysztof Piatek ($15) took a penalty on Wednesday, cashing it, and now has two goals in five Bundesliga starts. He has the best anytime goal odds (+125) in the match, but he hasn't started since in any of Hertha's last three games as he works back to full fitness. Matheus Cunha ($18) showed off his insane dribbling ability last time out at Leipzig and had a goal in each of the first two games after the break. At his cost, which puts him up near Bayern's stars, Cunha might slip through the cracks.
Wolfsburg host Eintracht Frankfurt, and Wout Weghorst ($15) could go overlooked. Despite his side scoring four midweek, Weghorst finished with zero FanDuel points in a match in which he played every minute. That's hard to do. But he leads the team with 11 league goals and has added three assists while also taking all of Wolfsburg's penalties. He's going to have a big game eventually, and he's got the top anytime goal odds (+105) in this match.
Whoever Dusseldorf starts on their back line against Bayern is worth using. All of their defenders will be high-floor plays. Unfortunately, we won't know their lineup until the first four games lock, since they're in the late game. Their probable lineup includes Kaan Ayhan ($9), Markus Suttner ($8), Andre Hoffmann ($11) and Matthias Zimmermann ($10) on the back line. Each of them should be well worth their salary in a game in which Dusseldorf will be under seige.
Bayern full-backs Benjamin Pavard ($15; +700) and Alphonso Davies ($16; +500) are expensive but have pretty nice anytime goal odds for defenders. They make for good stacking partners with any of Bayern's attackers.
Robert Skov ($15) continues to be a loophole. Listed as a defender but playing as a winger, Skov is averaging 18.8 FanDuel points per game since the restart, recording a goal and an assist. He actually has the best anytime goal odds (+125) on Hoffenheim, a side facing a Mainz team that's been leaking goals all season. Skov is averaging four crosses per game and can be stacked with any Hoffenheim attacker.
Paying up for Manuel Neuer ($15) likely isn't worth it. He does, however, have -- by far -- the best win odds on the slate, and his clean-sheet chances are good, too, against a Dusseldorf team with just 31 goals in 28 Bundesliga matches. The negative with Neuer is that he probably won't get much save volume, so he has to keep the clean sheet to be worth this cost.
I'll probably have a lot of Koen Casteels ($11). His price is friendly, and Wolfsburg are -105 to win, third-best win odds on the slate. He should see a good amount of ownership, which isn't ideal, but his salary comes in handy on a slate where we're probably spending big on at least one Bayern stud.
Rune Jarstein ($13) has the second-best win odds but may go overlooked a bit priced between Casteels and Neuer. Hertha Berlin are -115 to beat Augsburg, and the match should be a low-scoring one as it's just -128 to go over 2.5 goals.