DraftKings Daily Fantasy Soccer Helper for Bundesliga Matchday 34
It's the final game in the Bundesliga season, and all the teams are playing at the same time. While the title has been clinched by Bayern Munich, there are still teams who could move into Champions League and Europa League places, as well as a battle to avoid direct relegation. Let's look at the odds for all nine games, courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook:
|Wolfsburg +330||+350||Bayern Munich -145|
|Werder Bremen -170||+330||Köln +410|
|Union Berlin +290||+260||Düsseldorf -110|
|Mönchengladbach -310||+470||Hertha Berlin +700|
|Dortmund -140||+350||Hoffenheim +310|
|Leverkusen -410||+550||Mainz +800|
|Frankfurt -320||+480||Paderborn +750|
|Augsburg +600||+430||RB Leipzig -260|
|Freiburg -120||+280||Schalke +310|
Forwards to Target
Timo Werner ($8,900): Werner's price is the lowest we've seen since the league restarted, and that could be because of all the other star forward options available. Looking at the Bundesliga table, we can see that RB Leipzig will need a win to guarantee that they will be in the Champions League next season. The players priced above Werner all have nothing to play for with the exception of whoever starts for Mönchengladbach, but none of them come close to touching the 26 goals that Werner has scored. Werner's opponents, FC Augsburg, have successfully staved off relegation and don't need to win to ensure their safety. Augsburg have allowed the sixth-most goals and are the worst possession team in the league, according to WhoScored.com. The incentive to win and matchup gives Werner the best anytime goal scoring odds on the slate, ahead of Robert Lewandowski, who is priced at $2,600 more than Werner.
Leon Bailey ($7,500): Bailey plays for the biggest favorite on the slate in Leverkusen. They are fighting for one of the last two Champions League spots, just like Leipzig. Also like Leipzig, they are facing an opponent that is safe from relegation and has little else to play for. Mainz are sitting comfortably in 13th place, and have been a poor defensive team all season. They've conceded the third-most goals and allow the fifth-most crosses per game. This is good news for Bailey, who averages 6.57 crosses per 90 minutes. Bailey's raw goal and assist numbers are down this season, but on a rate basis, he is actually scoring and assisting more often than in his two previous seasons with Leverkusen. His $7,500 price tag fits nicely into most lineups, and his style works in all formats.
Nils Petersen ($5,200): Petersen is a very cheap forward option that could pay off in a big way. His Freiburg team are slight favorites over Schalke. If any team has already packed it in for the season, it's Schalke. They've failed to win in their last 15 Bundesliga matches. Petersen has scored three goals in his last six appearances, with eleven total goals on the season. Surprisingly for a player at this cheap of a price, Petersen is better than even money to score anytime. He's a great punt play at the forward position that could score a goal for a good price.
Midfielders to Target
Filip Kostić ($10,900): Kostić is one of the easiest plays to make every week in Bundesliga DFS. His price hasn't gotten to the point where it's out of control, and his production is so consistent that it makes him in play every game. He has recorded at least 15.4 DraftKings points in his last seven games, with at least eight crosses in each of those. With all those crosses, he basically starts with a goal worth of points in every game. His crosses aren't just hopeless balls into the box as well, as he has the fifth-most assists in the league with 11. He shouldn't have any trouble doing his thing against already relegated Paderborn, who have conceded the most goals in the league. Kostić is not a player to fade in any contest.
Joshua Kimmich ($7,700): Provided that he is in the starting lineup again, Kimmich would be a fine play for Bayern Munich. He gets nearly a monopoly of set pieces, which leads to 7.33 crosses per 90 minutes. He is something of a creative force for Bayern, with 2.4 shot assists per 90 minutes. Kimmich has managed to find a way to produce points in different ways, averaging 17.4 fantasy points per game since the league resumed. Bayern Munich are still -145 favorites despite not having much to play for, and if they are still going for it in this game, Kimmich will likely contribute. He may go overlooked along with the rest of Bayern Munich because of the motivation questions, but if we can get an ownership edge on some of these star players, they are worth taking a shot on.
Kevin Stöger ($5,900): Kevin Stöger has been able to deliver for Düsseldorf, with over ten fantasy points in his last three starts. Düsseldorf need him to deliver at this point in the season. They need a win to guarantee that they won't be relegated. Their need for a win has made them a slight favorite, even on the road at Union Berlin. Stöger gets a share of set pieces to produce his fantasy points. That should be good for him against Union, who allow the eighth-most crosses in the league and have the second-worst possession rate. Stöger stands out in the lower-mid tier of midfielders as one of the best plays in this range.
Be on the lookout for a cheap player in a starting lineup as squad rotation could be heavy on the last day of the season, such as Mickaël Cuisance ($3,700), Dennis Geiger ($3,400), Sapreet Singh ($3,200), or Kingsley Schindler ($3,000).
Defenders to Target
Christian Günter ($5,400): Günter has usually been at the top of the defenders pricing but comes in as the sixth most expensive defender here. He has had an impressive season with 8.17 crosses per 90 minutes, according to Rotowire. Even last match against Bayern Munich, Günter was able to get in seven crosses and create three chances. This matchup against Schalke should be much easier, allowing Günter to get forward even more than usual. Since it's low-scoring Schalke, who have scored the fourth fewest goals in the Bundesliga, Günter also has a decent shot at the clean sheet bonus.
Ludwig Augustinsson ($4,800): Augustinsson is known for being an attacking fullback, and his attacking skills will be much needed on the final day of the season. That's because his Werder Bremen side need a win and some help to have any hope of staying in the league. That desperation has made Werder -170 favorites to get the win against Köln. When he has been in the starting lineup, Augustinsson has been taking some corner kicks and gets 5.6 crosses per 90 minutes. Augustinsson could have added upside in the scenario where Werder Bremen have to push forward for a goal, making him more of an attacker than a defender.
Timo Becker ($2,700): Becker is projected to fill in for the suspended Jonjoe Kenny, according to Bundesliga.com. He hasn't received much game time this season, but that could be a good thing, as the rest of the Schalke team have struggled for a long time. He will line up out wide against Freiburg, who allow the most crosses per game in the league with 24. For $2,700, he won't have to do much to pay off that salary.
Goalkeepers to Target
Frederik Rønnow ($5,700): Rønnow or Kevin Trapp ($5,600) will be in net for Frankfurt and get an easy matchup against Paderborn. Paderborn have only pride left to play for as they glued to the bottom spot in the league. They scored the fewest goals with just 35 this season as well. Whichever keeper gets the start should be able to pick up the win fairly easily, and a clean sheet is certainly in play as well.
Rafal Gikiewicz ($4,100): Gikiewicz and Union Berlin are underdogs, but aren't exactly facing a powerhouse in Düsseldorf. They've scored the second-fewest goals in the league -- 36 total. Gikiewicz won his last two starts and only conceded one goal total in those games. He is a solid keeper in a spot that should see him put up a respectable score as he is unlikely to concede multiple goals.
Nicholas Vazquez is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Nicholas Vazquez also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username hbyanksman. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his/her personal views, he/she may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his/her personal account. The views expressed in his/her articles are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.