DraftKings EPL Daily Fantasy Soccer Helper for 11/21/20
The Premier League returns after a busy international break. We’ve got our usual three game slate, all with different start times. Make sure to remember to check if your players are in the starting lineup one hour before kick off. Here are the odds for the games, courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook:
|Aston Villa (+115)||+250||Brighton (+230)|
|Tottenham (+300)||+300||Man City (-125)|
|Manchester United (-320)||+440||West Brom (+800)|
Forwards to Target
Marcus Rashford ($8,500): Rashford had his best goal-scoring output of his career last season, netting 17 goals in the Premier League. He hasn’t been in quite the same scoring form this season in the league, but he does have four goals in three Champions League appearances. He also has three assists in league games this season, so he has been able to contribute in other ways. Rashford should be able to get on track scoring goals in this game. Manchester United are at home and big favorites against West Bromwich Albion. West Brom have not looked like they belong in the Premier League, winning none of their eight matches. They've also conceded the joint-most goals in the league this season with 17. Rashford and company should be able to bag a few. Rashford is a -105 favorite to score at any time. His $8,500 salary is fairly low considering that Man United are the biggest favorites, especially if Rashford leads the line. That makes him a good play in all formats.
Ollie Watkins ($7,800): Ollie Watkins has been a revelation for Aston Villa this season. He joined the club from Championship side Brentford in the offseason after a 26-goal campaign. In seven games this season with Villa, he's scored six goals, so he hasn't shown any problems adjusting to the Premier League. Villa have been one of the more impressive teams in the league so far. They currently sit in sixth place, with one fewer game played than the teams above them. This week they'll take on Brighton, who are down in 16th. Watkins scored three goals against Liverpool and two against Arsenal, so the matchup against Brighton should not be a problem for him. He is more dependent on goals than we would like, but he has shown the upside to score multiple goals in a match.
Karlan Grant ($4,900): The lowest-salary player you could reasonably play would be Grant of West Brom. He's another player who has come up from the Championship, where he scored 19 goals last season. He has just one goal in four appearances this season, but the matchup here is better than most people would think. Manchester United have conceded 14 goals in league play, including 10 at home. Grant's goal-scoring odds of +280 aren't too bad considering his low salary. If you want to jam in expensive players at other positions, Grant is someone you'll have to consider.
Midfielders to Target
Bruno Fernandes ($11,000): Bruno has been a dominant force for United since arriving at the club in January of last season, and he hasn't slowed down this campaign. He has five goals in seven games -- unreal production from a midfielder, with his goal-scoring aided by his penalty duties. He's also added three assists as he remains a creative force. His role on corner kicks has gone from pure monopoly to just a majority, but it hasn't hurt his value too much, as he is still averaging over six crosses per 90 minutes. The thing that gives Fernandes such high upside is said penalty duties. We've seen more penalties being called in the Premier League due to VAR, and Fernandes has benefited from that. He's scored 11 goals from the spot since joining United. With the Red Devils expected to win comfortably, Bruno could get his chance from the spot again as well as contributing his normal accumulation stats. He's one of the best plays on the slate this week.
Kevin De Bruyne ($10,600): A huge decision for fantasy players this week will be whether or not to play Fernandes or Kevin De Bruyne. Trying to fit in both of these elite fantasy assets could be the way to go -- you'll just need to find value at other positions. De Bruyne continues to do his thing, racking up DraftKings points without needing to score goals. His per-90 statistics have him with more than six crosses, three shots and three chances created. That alone is good for more than 10 fantasy points per outing. The only thing that puts him slightly below Fernandes on Saturday is the matchup away to Tottenham, who have been one of the better defensive teams in the league this season. However, City are still favored in this matchup (-125). KDM He's is a great play and will likely come at a lower draft percentage than usual as the masses flock to Bruno.
Trézéguet ($4,600): Trézéguet was huge for Aston Villa down the stretch last season, as he scored crucial goals to help them fight off relegation. He hasn't scored yet this season, but he has averaged 7.6 DK points per game. With Aston Villa being a better attacking side this season, Trézéguet should be able to contribute. We like Villa in this spot against Brighton, and he is a way to get a lower-salary piece of this attack. If you do want to play Fernandes and De Bruyne, Trézéguet is a good way to save salary.
Defenders to Target
Alex Telles ($6,300): Telles has played only one game for Manchester United, but it was an encouraging performance with 9.9 points against PSG. He then tested positive for COVID-19 and hasn't made another appearance, but he was able to make the bench for Brazil in the last week. He should be good to go in this game. The matchup is much easier than his first appearance, which should see him have good upside in this game. He took some corner kicks in that game against PSG, and if he does that in this game, it would make him one of the only defenders on the slate who has set piece duty. That would make him one of the best plays at the position.
Matt Targett ($4,000): Targett has been a solid crosser as a defender for the last few years in the Premier League. His average crosses per 90 is only just over three, but we've seen him reach 10 and seven in two different games this season. Since this matchup is on the easier side for Aston Villa, this should be one of the games where Targett can get plenty of crosses into the box. For just $4,000, that makes him a solid value at defender, a position which is lacking a lot of elite plays on this slate.
Rúben Dias ($2,800): Dias is a young center-back for Manchester City who you can punt with at defender. Man City center-backs tend to get a lot of passes completed due to manager Pep Guardiola's style. At just $2,800, if Dias can get around 80 passes completed to go with a few tackles, interceptions and fouls drawn, he would easily pay off this salary. If you play him and Kevin De Bruyne, you could get a goal-assist double-dip if Dias was to head in a KDB corner.
Goalkeepers to Target
David De Gea ($5,900): De Gea is the clear choice if you want to pay up at keeper. West Brom are the third lowest scoring team in the Premier League and average fewer than nine shots per game, according to WhoScored.com. Manchester United are huge favorites to win and are -110 to keep a clean sheet, so De Gea could easily reach 10 or more points in this game.
Hugo Lloris ($4,200): Lloris comes at a huge discount because of the matchup versus City. He has won five of eight league matches and kept two clean sheets. Tottenham are underdogs in this game, but Jose Mourinho has made a career of playing defensively in these big games. Even if we can't expect a clean sheet or a win in this game, we could see Lloris make a lot of saves if Tottenham are sitting back and letting Man City have the ball. The +300 win odds for Spurs are much better than the +800 odds if you were to drop down to Sam Johnstone of West Brom.
Nicholas Vazquez is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Nicholas Vazquez also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username hbyanksman. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his/her personal views, he/she may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his/her personal account. The views expressed in his/her articles are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.