Premier League Betting Guide for Matchweek 13
Which Premier League matches offer betting value on FanDuel Sportsbook this week?
Let's see where we can zero in.
Please note that lines are subject to change after this article is published, which impacts betting advice. All betting lines were taken from FanDuel Sportsbook, and you can check here to see the most updated numbers. You can also check out oddsFire to get a feel for the line movement of each match.
Crystal Palace vs. Aston Villa
Crystal Palace to win +120
Crystal Palace have been pretty good this season and are in 10th place at 3W-7D-2L through the first 12 games of the year. Palace have a +1 goal differential and a +2.6 expected goal difference (xGD). They are 2-3-0 in their last five games, so they are in good form at the moment.
Palace face Aston Villa, and Villa are 4-1-7 on the year, which is good enough for 16th place. They own a -4 goal differential and a -4.9 xGD and are behind Palace in both categories. They are also 1-0-4 in their last five games.
Palace have a good chance to get all three points in this one, and at plus odds, they are a good betting opportunity.
Norwich vs. Wolves
Wolves to win +115
Wolves are 6-1-5 to start the year, and they 3-1-1 in their last five matches. Wolves are up to sixth place in the league and are playing well at the moment. They may be slightly outperforming their position in the table given their modest +0.6 xGD, but they appear to be a quality side.
Norwich are 2-2-8 to start the season, but they have won back to back games against Southampton and Brentford. While Norwich did win consecutive games, they were outshot 17-8 and 19-9 in those contests, so their winning ways do not appear to be sustainable. They also have a -12.3 xGD and -20 goal differential, both of which are the worst in the league.
Wolves are the far better side in this matchup, and they should win this game without much difficulty.
Brentford vs. Everton
Everton to win +230
Both of these teams are in terrible form, as they are both 0-1-4 in their last five matches, but Everton have been the better side this season. Everton are 4-3-5 and two points ahead of Brentford in the league table.
Brentford are in their first year up from the Championship, and they may finally be coming down to Earth after a hot start. They’ve gone 0-1-4 in their last five, including losses to Burnley (18th place) and Norwich (19th) and a draw against Newcastle (20th).
Brentford is struggling against the worst teams in the league now, and they face an Everton team that expects to finish the season in the top half of the table. Everton should have a great chance to win, and getting them at +230 provides amazing value.