Fantasy Football: 5 Historical Vegas Trends You Should Know for Week 12

Start Andy Dalton as a Favorite of More Than a Touchdown

The Cincinnati Bengals are favored by eight points over the Cleveland Browns. It's not often that a 4-6 team is favored by more than a touchdown but the Browns are usually an exception to the rule. Andy Dalton has done well over his career in this particular situation.

According to Fantasy Labs, in eight games where Dalton was favored by 7.5 points or more, he has averaged 18.3 fantasy points per game. That average is just 0.11 fantasy points behind Tom Brady's average from the previous slide.

Back in Week 8, the Bengals were favored by 11 points against the Colts and Dalton posted 18.72 fantasy points.

Dalton's FanDuel price is $7,300, which ranks 13th among quarterbacks. If he hits his average of 18.3, he will hit just below 2.5 times his salary. However, Dalton has been favored by more than a touchdown versus the Browns twice over the past three seasons. In those games, he scored 20.3 and 21.86 fantasy points. He's a safe start in all formats.