PGA Betting Guide for the Wyndham Championship
Picking winners of a golf tournament is hard. Doing it consistently is downright impossible. But finding value is something all bettors must practice in order to give themselves the best chance to make hay when the day finally comes that they ping a champion.
Below we will cover the best bets for the Wyndham Championship based on current form, course fit, and, of course, the value of their odds over at FanDuel Sportsbook. In weaker fields, we tend to see some eye-popping odds next to unexpected names at the top of the market. Golfers who are often north of 35/1 are among the favorites, and despite overall better form and fit it is still difficult to pull the trigger on short odds. We'll be looking to find value in the mid-range and long shots -- golfers who are priced close to where they might be in a stronger field.
For more info on Sedgefield Country Club and the key stats this week, check out the Course Primer.
At the Top
Patrick Reed (+1800) - After an mid-season slog that saw him fail to post a top 25 between the beginning of March and the end of May, Reed has flashed some good form of late with five straight top-30 finishes including a T12 last week at the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Classic and a T10 at The Open the week prior. Over the course of his career, Reed's high finishes are clumped together, signaling that when his game is clicking over the span of a few events he is on the cusp of taking down a tournament. He had two straight top 10s before his Masters win; his last PGA Tour win before that was the 2016 Northern Trust, and his lead in form was T22 (at the Wyndham), T11, T13, and T12. He won the Wyndham in 2012 on the heels of consecutive top 10s. Reed is on the cusp and the stars are aligning for him to find the winner's circle for the first time since his Augusta triumph.
Paul Casey (+2000) - Casey is the only golfer in the field currently inside the Wyndham Rewards Top 10 in the FedEx Cup Standings. A high finish will secure his share of the bonus money for finishing in the top 10 and give him a little more cushion heading into the Playoffs with a higher probability of earning credited strokes in the Tour Championship. Aside from a few aberrational, terrible finishes at some high profile events, Casey has turned in another solid year with a repeat win at the Valspar Championship and three other top 5s. Wunderkind Collin Morikawa won the Barracuda Championship last week, but Casey is in the only man offered at shorter than 25/1 with a stroke play win since this event last year.
Viktor Hovland (+2900) - Hovland has strung together an incredible stretch of events to start his career, undermined only by the fact that his two fellow rock star rookies have already banked their first career win. So the top amateur at the two most prestigious events in the United States finds himself almost double the odds of Morikawa, winner of one of the not so prestigious events. But a win is a win and Morikawa has been excellent, and so Hovland comes at a nice value this week. He has finished T16, T13, and T13 in his last four events, and while his advantages off the tee are mitigated somewhat at Sedgefield he has shown a propensity to go low that should serve him well once again this week.
Abraham Ancer (+5500) - Ancer was at his best during the swing season, and a gettable course with a lackluster field could be just what he needs to get back into contention. He has the game to win if it all clicks -- he is something of a poor man's Reed, not elite in any one area but solid enough that when he plays well he plays really well. He finished inside the top 20 at both THE PLAYERS (12th) and the PGA Championship (16th), and while Sedgefield isn't in the same stratosphere as Sawgrass or Bethpage those finishes indicate that Ancer's been in decent form this year.
Andrew Landry (+12000) - Landry was third at the John Deere Classic, and he is the kind of golfer who spikes for high finishes a few times per year. He has just one such finish this year, and he comes to a course that should reward his accuracy off the tee and mitigate his lack of distance. He is not a great putter but he is prone to hot streaks where he rolls in everything. At these odds we are hoping to walk into just such a week from a long shot, and Landry is someone who has won before and shown that when he plays his best it's good enough even on the PGA Tour. He is 112th in the FedEx Cup Standings and needs a strong week to ensure his spot in the playoffs.
Joey Garber (+32000) and Satoshi Kodaira (+42000) - There are a couple of BOMB bets that are worth a sprinkle offered at just as long of odds as you'd see in a loaded event. Garber was inside the top 30 4 times in his last 6 events, including a 7th at the 3M Open. Kodaira hasn't had a high finish in a while, but he has three wins and two seconds in the last two years worldwide, with one of those wins coming on the PGA Tour at the RBC Heritage in 2018. The leaderboard that week featured several golfers who have also had success at the Wyndham, including Si Woo Kim (2nd at the 2018 Heritage; won the 2016 Wyndham), Webb Simpson (T5), Billy Horschel (T5), Kevin Kisner (T7), and Bill Haas (T7).