Week 1 Survivor Pool Analysis

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Pick Percent is the distribution of public picks on that particular site's survivor game.

Adjusted Win Probability is based on the probability of a team winning combined with the percentage of the population selecting each game. For example, the Patriots might be the top favorite one week, projected to win 75% of the time, but if 50% of the population is picking them, selecting them will not help you win your pool. Instead, in the one out of four scenario where the Patriots lose, you would survive while half of your pool is eliminated.

 
Team
Tennessee Titans TEN
New Orleans Saints NO
Cincinnati Bengals CIN
Washington Commanders WSH
Indianapolis Colts IND
Baltimore Ravens BAL
San Francisco 49ers SF
Denver Broncos DEN
Philadelphia Eagles PHI
Los Angeles Chargers LAC
Cleveland Browns CLE
Green Bay Packers GB
New England Patriots NE
Dallas Cowboys DAL
Buffalo Bills BUF
Kansas City Chiefs KC
Arizona Cardinals ARI
Los Angeles Rams LA
Tampa Bay Buccaneers TB
Miami Dolphins MIA
Minnesota Vikings MIN
Carolina Panthers CAR
Las Vegas Raiders LV
Detroit Lions DET
Seattle Seahawks SEA
Chicago Bears CHI
New York Jets NYJ
Houston Texans HOU
Jacksonville Jaguars JAC
Pittsburgh Steelers PIT
Atlanta Falcons ATL
New York Giants NYG
OPP   ESPN Yahoo
Team Rank Win Probability Pick Percent Adjusted Win Prob Pick Percent Adjusted Win Prob
NYG #24 81.66% 0.00% 81.66% 17.81% 76.24%
ATL #31 73.01% 0.00% 73.01% 4.83% 71.39%
PIT #22 71.95% 0.00% 71.95% 7.93% 69.22%
JAC #28 68.92% 0.00% 68.92% 4.60% 67.40%
HOU #32 67.25% 0.00% 67.25% 14.13% 61.61%
NYJ #30 67.02% 0.00% 67.02% 11.48% 62.54%
CHI #27 66.81% 0.00% 66.81% 7.70% 63.81%
SEA #29 61.55% 0.00% 61.55% 13.78% 55.87%
DET #25 61.29% 0.00% 61.29% 5.17% 59.20%
LV #17 60.99% 0.00% 60.99% 0.46% 60.94%
CAR #26 60.22% 0.00% 60.22% 0.69% 59.98%
MIN #18 58.48% 0.00% 58.48% 0.34% 58.43%
MIA #20 57.08% 0.00% 57.08% 0.11% 57.61%
TB #2 55.38% 0.00% 55.38% 0.23% 55.52%
LA #4 55.12% 0.00% 55.12% 3.10% 54.63%
ARI #14 50.46% 0.00% 50.46% 1.15% 49.97%
KC #3 49.54% 0.00% 49.54% 0.00% 50.03%
BUF #1 44.88% 0.00% 44.88% 1.95% 45.37%
DAL #8 44.62% 0.00% 44.62% 0.57% 44.48%
NE #19 42.92% 0.00% 42.92% 1.38% 42.39%
GB #5 41.52% 0.00% 41.52% 0.23% 41.57%
CLE #12 39.78% 0.00% 39.78% 0.11% 40.02%
LAC #7 39.01% 0.00% 39.01% 0.34% 39.06%
PHI #15 38.71% 0.00% 38.71% 0.11% 40.80%
DEN #9 38.45% 0.00% 38.45% 0.11% 44.13%
SF #6 33.19% 0.00% 33.19% 0.11% 36.19%
BAL #10 32.98% 0.00% 32.98% 0.23% 37.46%
IND #13 32.75% 0.00% 32.75% 0.00% 38.39%
WSH #23 31.08% 0.00% 31.08% 0.57% 32.60%
CIN #11 28.05% 0.00% 28.05% 0.46% 30.78%
NO #21 26.99% 0.00% 26.99% 0.23% 28.61%
TEN #16 18.34% 0.00% 18.34% 0.11% 23.76%