Week 16 Survivor Pool Analysis

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Pick Percent is the distribution of public picks on that particular site's survivor game.

Adjusted Win Probability is based on the probability of a team winning combined with the percentage of the population selecting each game. For example, the Patriots might be the top favorite one week, projected to win 75% of the time, but if 50% of the population is picking them, selecting them will not help you win your pool. Instead, in the one out of four scenario where the Patriots lose, you would survive while half of your pool is eliminated.

 
Team
Buffalo Bills BUF
Green Bay Packers GB
Cincinnati Bengals CIN
Atlanta Falcons ATL
Detroit Lions DET
Baltimore Ravens BAL
Tampa Bay Buccaneers TB
Indianapolis Colts IND
Arizona Cardinals ARI
Kansas City Chiefs KC
San Francisco 49ers SF
Las Vegas Raiders LV
Minnesota Vikings MIN
Los Angeles Rams LA
Philadelphia Eagles PHI
Denver Broncos DEN
Los Angeles Chargers LAC
Washington Commanders WSH
New York Jets NYJ
Seattle Seahawks SEA
Jacksonville Jaguars JAC
Miami Dolphins MIA
Houston Texans HOU
Carolina Panthers CAR
Tennessee Titans TEN
Dallas Cowboys DAL
Pittsburgh Steelers PIT
Chicago Bears CHI
New York Giants NYG
Cleveland Browns CLE
New Orleans Saints NO
New England Patriots NE
OPP   ESPN Yahoo
Team Rank Win Probability Pick Percent Adjusted Win Prob Pick Percent Adjusted Win Prob
NE #28 88.15% 0.00% 88.15% 14.09% 85.25%
NO #19 83.58% 0.00% 83.58% 35.94% 73.33%
CLE #31 78.47% 0.00% 78.47% 8.45% 75.98%
NYG #27 78.03% 0.00% 78.03% 19.57% 71.86%
CHI #24 76.43% 0.00% 76.43% 3.03% 75.52%
PIT #11 70.80% 0.00% 70.80% 0.43% 70.67%
DAL #25 68.03% 0.00% 68.03% 0.86% 67.73%
TEN #26 67.55% 0.00% 67.55% 2.98% 66.48%
CAR #32 65.68% 0.00% 65.68% 6.57% 63.24%
HOU #12 65.24% 0.00% 65.24% 0.38% 65.12%
MIA #21 58.57% 0.00% 58.57% 0.30% 58.48%
JAC #30 56.03% 0.00% 56.03% 0.17% 56.06%
SEA #18 54.35% 0.00% 54.35% 0.50% 54.15%
NYJ #22 53.46% 0.00% 53.46% 5.42% 51.31%
WSH #7 52.67% 0.00% 52.67% 0.28% 52.57%
LAC #14 51.32% 0.00% 51.32% 0.11% 51.42%
DEN #9 48.68% 0.00% 48.68% 0.37% 48.58%
PHI #2 47.33% 0.00% 47.33% 0.02% 47.43%
LA #17 46.54% 0.00% 46.54% 0.02% 48.69%
MIN #4 45.65% 0.00% 45.65% 0.01% 45.85%
LV #29 43.97% 0.00% 43.97% 0.24% 43.94%
SF #13 41.43% 0.00% 41.43% 0.08% 41.52%
KC #8 34.76% 0.00% 34.76% 0.04% 34.88%
ARI #15 34.32% 0.00% 34.32% 0.02% 36.76%
IND #23 32.45% 0.00% 32.45% 0.02% 33.52%
TB #10 31.97% 0.00% 31.97% 0.02% 32.27%
BAL #5 29.20% 0.00% 29.20% 0.04% 29.33%
DET #1 23.57% 0.00% 23.57% 0.01% 24.48%
ATL #20 21.97% 0.00% 21.97% 0.01% 28.14%
CIN #16 21.53% 0.00% 21.53% 0.02% 24.02%
GB #6 16.42% 0.00% 16.42% 0.03% 26.67%
BUF #3 11.85% 0.00% 11.85% 0.00% 14.75%