Daily Fantasy Golf: Tournament Targets and Avoids for A Military Tribute at The Greenbrier
Golf can be one of the most exciting DFS sports to follow, as tournaments span four days and allow ample time to prepare each week, but the volatility -- top-tier golfers can miss the cut, and longshots can win outright -- makes it a unique daily fantasy sport.
Ownership won't always matter, and favorites will win and thrive some weeks, but when the chalk struggles and the pivots hit big, you can put yourself in a great position to succeed when playing large tournaments on FanDuel.
Whether you're brand new to the PGA or daily fantasy sports in general, we have you covered -- and we have daily fantasy golf projections and lineup building tools, too.
Let's take a look at some golfers to target this week in GPP tournaments on FanDuel.
|Key Stats for A Military Tribute at The Greenbrier at The Old White TPC|
|Strokes Gained: Tee to Green|
|Strokes Gained: Approach|
|Birdies or Better Gained|
|Par 4s Gained: 400-450 yards|
|Proximity Gained: 125-150 yards|
This track has seen a longer driving distance than the tour average while boasting a higher average in accuracy off the tee, as the fairways are quite large. The course will likely play fairly straightforward, as strokes gained: tee-to-green and strokes gained: approach come into play as key stats. The Old White TPC consists of six par 4s ranging from 400- to 450 yards, and golfers should be able to attack most of the greens with wedges.
Stats cited below come from FantasyNational and include the past 24 rounds on the PGA Tour unless noted. Ranks are among the field.
High-Priced Tier ($12,300 - $10,000)
Target: Viktor Hovland (FanDuel Salary: $12,100) - Expected to be one of the top-owned golfers on the slate, Hovland has finished inside the top-16 in four-straight PGA events while finishing second at the Boise Open on the Korn Ferry Tour two weeks ago. Hovland is clearly one of the best golfers in the field, and his stats and salary back that up. Over the last 24 rounds, Hovland in first in the field in three of the five key stats while his lowest rank comes in at 33rd in Par 4s gained: 400-450 yards. Hovland's ownership will be high, but his win equity is also high, as he has shown great form over recent stint on the PGA Tour. It would surprise no one if Hovland hoisted the trophy on Sunday.
Target: Bubba Watson ($11,400): While the decision won't strictly come down to Watson versus Victor Hovland or Watson versus Joaquin Niemann, whom project to be the top-two highest owned golfers on the slate, DFS players could gain leverage on the field by pivoting to Watson. Strictly an ownership play and not a knock on Hovland or Niemann by any means, Watson may likely come in at sub-five-percent ownership, and then the question becomes: are Hovland or Niemann four-to-five times more likely to outscore Watson? Watson can be hit-or-miss but has had decent success at the Greenbrier, cracking the top-20 in three of his five appearances since 2013. Over the last 24 rounds, Watson is inside the top-30 in three of the five key stats, including sitting seventh in proximity gained: 125-150 yards, but he falls outside the top-45 in stokes gained: tee-to-green (46) and strokes gained: approach (94). At what will likely be extremely low ownership for this tier, targeting Watson in 15 to 20% of your lineups could pay large dividends come Sunday evening.
Avoid: Sungjae Im ($11,200) - Im, who ended last season's PGA Tour in good form, is projected to be one of the top-owned golfers in this tier, likely coming in behind Victor Hovland and Joaquin Niemann. Over his last 10 PGA Tour events, Im has recorded eight top-30 finishes with just one missed cut, but his recent stats do not back up those finishes. Over the last 24 rounds, Im ranks outside the top-30 in four of the five key stats, while sitting 16th in par 4s gained: 400-450 yards. What's most concerning about those numbers is that Im comes in at 92nd in strokes gained: approach and 83rd in proximity gained: 125-150 yards, and at his ownership expectation, Im is a great candidate to fade.
Mid-Priced Tier ($9,900 - $9,000)
Target: Brian Harman ($9,900) - Harman has three top-10 finishes over his last seven PGA Tour events while missing the cut twice over that span, and he currently sits around a 4% ownership projection, according to FanShare Sports. Over the last 24 rounds, Harman sits fourth in strokes gained: tee-to-green while also ranking in the top-15 in birdies-or-better gained (12) and par 4s gained: 400-450 yards (13) and falls just outside the top-50 in proximity gained: 125-150 yards. At the top end of this tier, Harman may be a sneaky play that can pay dividends if "stars and scrubs" constructions become popular.
Avoid: Kevin Streelman ($9,800) - Streelman failed to crack the top-30 over his last five PGA Tour events to finish last season, while missing two straight cuts over that span. Over the last 24 rounds, Streelman's numbers look good, contrary to his results, as he sits inside the top-five in strokes gained: approach and strokes gained: tee-to-green and breaks the top-40 in par 4s gained: 400-450 yards (36) and birdies or better gained (21). While his strokes gained: approach numbers are fantastic, Streelman ranks 92nd in proximity gained: 125-150 yards and that could end up hurting his upside, which puts him on the avoid list at what could come in at above 10% ownership.
Low-Priced Tier ($8,900 and below)
Target: Andrew Landry ($8,500) - Landry is projected as one of the top-owned golfers in this tier and could push 15% ownership. Landry has three-straight top-30 finishes on the PGA Tour, albeit coming at the end of last season, including a third-place finish at the John Deere. Landry's number pop on this course over the last 24 rounds, as he comes inside the top-20 in all five key stats, while sitting second in par 4s gained: 400-450 yards and proximity gained: 125-150 yards. Landry finished last season in good form and DFS players should look to take an overweight stance on the golfer in order to gain leverage in large-field tournaments.
Avoid: Mackenzie Hughes ($8,500) - Hughes, like Andrew Landry and Cameron Tringale, will likely come in as one of the top-owned golfers in this tier, despite not cracking the top-20 in a PGA event since the RBC Canadian Open in June. While Hughes' stats are not bad, coming inside the top-40 in four of the five key stats, they are not great either. He fails to rank inside the top-30 in any of those key stats, and he sits 63rd in strokes gained: tee-to-green. While Hughes may be in the middle of the pack come Sunday evening, he does not carry a large amount of win equity, based on his stats, and DFS players can look to gain an advantage on the field by looking elsewhere in their tier.
Ben Fisher is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Ben Fisher also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username Gvsubrickwall. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his/her personal views, he/she may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his/her personal account. The views expressed in his/her articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.