DraftKings Daily Fantasy Golf Helper: AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am
Daily fantasy golf requires a new approach for each and every event.
The course and field change week after week, making no two contests alike. That means you need to refine your approach for each PGA Tour event to try to find golfers who are primed to excel for your daily fantasy golf lineups.
Each week, we have a course primer, and our daily fantasy golf projections and lineup builder can help you get started, but these golfers stand out specifically on DraftKings for the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am.
|Key Stats for the AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am|
|Strokes Gained: Tee to Green|
|Strokes Gained: Approach|
|Birdies or Better Gained|
|Strokes Gained: Par 4s|
|Strokes Gained: Par 5s|
Let's get to the picks. For details on why these stats stand out this week, check out the course primer.
Stats are from Fantasy National Golf Club and are for golfers in the field over the last 50 rounds, unless otherwise noted.
Dustin Johnson (DraftKings Price: $11,600 | PaddyPower Win Odds: +550) - DJ returns to the U.S. after a brief cash grab on the European circuit that saw him most recently finish runner up in Saudi Arabia. He rather enjoys the Pro-Am experience at Pebble, having finished T7 or better in 8 of his 12 tries, including wins in 2009 and 2010. After offseason knee surgery and terrific years from a slew of the world's other elite players, Johnson gets into the swing of the first full season in a very long time in which he is not comfortably either the number 1 or 1-A player in the world. He'll set up just fine this week, as he ranks 2nd in birdies or better gained, 4th in strokes gained: tee to green, 16th in strokes gained: approach and par 4 performance, and 20th in par 5 performance.
Patrick Cantlay ($10,900 | +1000) - Cantlay has already made the leap into conversation of top 10 players, and after his breakthrough win at the Memorial last year, he is no longer always a bridesmaid come Sunday evening. He'll look to capitalize on some stellar form, and he is well suited to do so this week. He ranks first in strokes gained: tee to green and birdies or better gained, second in strokes gained: approach, and fourth on both par 4s and par 5s.
Matthew Fitzpatrick ($9,700 | +2200) - The course history buffs will look to pretty much everyone else in this range besides Fitzy, and we can gladly capitalize on reduced ownership for a golfer who should set up well at these short courses. His time on the European Tour makes his 50-round sample a bit longer in the tooth than the typical golfer in this field, but he shows well, ranking 9th on par 5s, 12th tee to green, 17th on par 4s, and 19th in approach. He missed the cut in his Pebble Pro-Am debut last year, and in 26 events worldwide since then, he has just one other event where he failed to play all four rounds. Over that span, he racked up five runner-up finishes, and if the wind gets blowing this week, Fitzpatrick will surely benefit.
Viktor Hovland ($9,100 | +3000) - We go back to the well after a missed cut at the Waste Management Phoenix Open. Normally a reliable tee-to-green player, he got off just fine (11th in strokes gained: off the tee in the event) before collapsing on his second and third shots. He gained just half a stroke with his irons and lost almost three strokes around the greens. Both were his worst performances since his T54 at the Travelers Championship, and he bounced back from that one by rattling off eight straight finishes of T16 or better between the PGA Tour, the Korn Ferry Tour, and the European Tour. His recent form also includes some unmeasured events overseas, but in his last 50 on the PGA Tour, he ranks 2nd in strokes gained: tee to green, 3rd in both strokes gained: approach and strokes gained: par 4s, 6th in birdies or better gained, and 18th on par 5s.
Alexander Noren ($8,700 | +3500) - This time last year, Noren was a borderline top-20 player who had displayed an affinity for the West Coast the prior season. In early 2018, he posted a T2 at the Farmers Insurance Open and T16 at the Genesis Open. He managed just three top 20s in stroke play on the PGA Tour the rest of the season, including a T12 at the short field WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitation and a T15 at the alternate field Bermuda Championship. The form is finally turning, though, as he has finishes of T14, T32, and T10 in his last three events, all of which -- importantly -- came on the PGA.
Russell Knox ($8,600 | +4000) - Knox is an elite iron player, and he won't mind windy conditions if it happens to pick up. He has finished inside the top 15 each of the past two years, and in this field, he ranks fourth in strokes gained approach and ninth in strokes gained on par 4s. He's played well through his January and early February schedule in each of the past two years, making 9 of 10 cuts including six top-30 finishes.
Tom Hoge ($7,900 | +4500) - Hoge has been on fire lately, racking up four straight top 25s to start 2020. He's been riding a hot putter for sure, but he has also gained both on approach and around the greens in each of those four events. He's lost only off the tee, but with three short tracks to carve up, we are not too concerned with driving performance this week. He missed four straight cuts prior to this current stretch, but the longer-term form is still solid -- he ranks 6th in strokes gained: approach, 12th tee to green, and 13th in both birdies or better gained and strokes gained: par 4s.
Vaughn Taylor ($7,700 | +5500) - Taylor had a nightmare start last week, losing 6.4 strokes tee to green in just the first round en route to a 77. That he bounced back nicely with a Friday 68 should give us some confidence to roster him this week. Long term he looks solid, ranking 9th in birdies or better gained, 14th on par 4s, and 24th in approach. He is capable of going low and is a former winner at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, having won in 2016 by a single stroke after a Sunday 65.
Kevin Streelman ($7,400 | +8000) - Streelman lines up nicely this week, ranking 6th in strokes gained: tee to green, 7th in strokes gained: approach, and 15th on par 5s over his last 50 rounds. He has four straight top 20s at this event, and spotty recent form (MC, T45, MC, MC) should not be too much of a deterrent for him. Leading into Streelman's T7 finish last year, he had failed to crack the top 20 even once since the prior July. He had two strong finishes this past fall -- T12 at the CJ CUP and T4 at the Sanderson Farms -- and will always be someone who can succeed on tracks that suit his game.
Xin-Jun Zhang ($7,200 | +9000) - Zhang has recovered from an ugly stretch of three straight missed cuts with a T55 at the Farmers Insurance Open and T25 last week in Phoenix. He played some great golf in the fall and should be able to get back to something close to that form on these short courses. He is 5th in birdies or better gained, 17th in strokes gained: tee to green, 26th in strokes gained: approach, and 27th on par 5s.
Cameron Tringale ($7,000 | +12500) - Tringale has been a consistent cut maker for the better part of the past year, so while the MC last week at the WMPO is concerning, it by no means invalidates his otherwise stellar form. He is 5th in strokes gained: tee to green, 9th in strokes gained: approach, 11th on par 4s, and 12th in birdies or better gained. He has a lot of experience at this event but just a single top 20 in eight tries. He's never been playing this well leading into the event, and he missed last week due to just an awful putting round on Thursday. He shot 74 and lost 4.8 strokes on the green, which, according to stats on Fantasy National, was the second-worst measured round of his career. He played well enough on Friday to nearly make the cut anyway, missing it on the number.
Doc Redman ($6,700 | +15000) - Redman worked out just fine on DraftKings last week with a T34 finish as the last man in, and he can serve a similar purpose this week in his Pebble debut. He did fine with the Pro-Am format at The American Express a few weeks back, finishing T29 thanks to a Sunday 68 on the Stadium Course.
Ryan Armour ($6,500 | +20000) - Armour is built for short courses and has shown well here in the past, with four top-30 finishes (and two missed cuts, of course). He is inside the top 50 in all our key stats with a high point of 17th in birdies or better gained.
Mike Rodden is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Mike Rodden also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username mike_rodden. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in his articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.