PGA Betting Guide for the RBC Heritage
Picking winners of a golf tournament is hard. Doing it consistently is downright impossible. But finding value is something all bettors must practice in order to give themselves the best chance to make hay when the day finally comes that they ping a champion.
Below, we will cover the best bets for the RBC Heritage based on current form, course fit, and -- of course -- the value of their odds over at FanDuel Sportsbook.
With the strongest field to ever land at Hilton Head, South Carolina, we can expect another stacked leaderboard this week. Like Colonial last week, many golfers at the top of the market are making their debut at Harbour Town Golf Links. While they arrived to pristine conditions and receptive greens in Fort Worth, they'll likely encounter more characteristic winds and some of the smallest greens on Tour this week.
Sunday charges are the norm at the Heritage, with Cheng-Tsung Pan coming back from two down last year, Satoshi Kodaira charging from six back in 2018, and Wesley Bryan from four back in 2017. Note well that all those names would have been very long shots, but leaderboards here are consistently dotted with elite names and randos. It's a good week to get funky, but with more top names in the mix, don't be surprised to see someone with short odds storm the course.
For more info on Harbour Town Golf Links, along with this week's key stats and comparable courses, check out the course primer.
At the Top
Bryson DeChambeau (+1500) - The odds are a bit short for comfort, but DeChambeau has absolutely buzzing current form and the course history to boot. He has two top-five finishes in the past four years, though his other results were both missed cuts. He will try his darnedest to overpower Harbour Town as he continues his quest to bend every course to his will, and while this is quite possibly the one course on Tour where that won't work, we have to give him respect for the work we know he will put in going into the event.
Jon Rahm (+1900) - Another unnatural fit given his propensity to fire off the tee, but Rahm was in terrific form heading into the break, and we now get him a good bit cheaper after a missed cut for a classic buy-low opportunity. Rahm is unquestionably one of the most talented golfers in the world, and while his trophy case is notable bare when it comes to PGA Tour hardware, it is a matter of when, not if, that he fills it up. He won on the European Tour coming off his last missed cut, and was T3 at the U.S. Open off consecutive MC's last summer.
Sungjae Im (+3000) - Im was so dialed in for the weeks leading up to the layoff that it seemed likely he'd win again soon, and even after a long layoff, he picked up right where he left off. He showed his bona fides in the toughest of windy conditions at Bay Hill earlier this year, and his accuracy off the tee is rewarded this week, while his lack of distance is not punished nearly as much as it is at most tracks. Even in this loaded field, the 22-year-old FedEx Cup Standings points leader stands out. If he gets another win, we may not see him above 20/1 for the rest of the year.
Gary Woodland (+3500) - Woodland conquered a short course with tiny greens and coastal winds en route to a U.S. Open Championship last year at Pebble Beach. He was very much in the mix at Colonial before shooting 70 in the final group, while everyone else in front of him fired low numbers. He stumbled after winning his first career major but has been rock solid since the Asian swing, with six top-12 finishes in his last eight PGA events. Woodland will recall fondly his last Father's Day, and he is a great value at this number.
Abraham Ancer (+6000) - A quiet T14 gave Ancer his 12th consecutive made cut, with a daring Presidents Cup performance thrown in for good measure. We have not seen his best yet, and he has some good Pete Dye vibes with strong finishes at TPC River Highlands and TPC Sawgrass the past couple years. His inspired play for the International Team shows he is not afraid to stare down the world's best, but time will tell if his game can rise to the challenge. He gets an advantage at a course where he can't get driven off the course.
Billy Horschel (+7500) - Another steady hand who shows every year in the FedEx Cup Playoffs that he can go toe to toe with the elite golfers, Horschel is also one of the Tour's legitimately good eggs. He has not picked up a Tour win in over three years, and when he does, it will be on bermuda greens and against tough competition. He was T5 at Harbour Town in 2018.