Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks For Thursday 5/6/21
It's a great time to dive into horse racing, and FanDuel Racing gives you the chance to do just that.
Starting at 3:05 p.m. EST, we have nine races at Belmont Park. Using numberFire’s projections as a guide, here are some of the best bets.
As always, check for scratches and changes, and monitor the weather and track conditions'.
(I will reference Equibase's Speed Figure in selected races, which tells you how fast a horse has been running in each of its races -- adjusted for track, distances, and conditions.)
Bingo John and Too Early, Race 3
FanDuel Racing Odds: 8/1 and 7/2
Race 3 is an Allowance race for state-bred three-year-olds going 1 1/8 miles. The top pick of numberFire is the favorite, Tiergan (8/5), with Luis Saez riding. Too Early (7/2) is also a projected board hitter with leading jockey Jose Ortiz riding.
Tiergan has displayed improved form through the first portion of this season, especially since the claim by EPO trainer Rudy Rodriguez. But he’s lost twice as a favorite at this level, and it’s better to pass at low odds and going a longer distance. Too Early is a better option and proven at the distance.
Bingo John (10/1) was heavily supported at the windows when he broke his maiden going a mile in February against a good group, He closed well to finish a very close third against winners in his last race with an improved speed figure. He’s improving and should like the stretch-out with trainer Brad Cox giving him the needed EPO boost, which is more beneficial with added distance.
Moonlight Now, Race 5
FanDuel Racing Odds: 6/1
Race 5 is a Claiming race at 1 mile. numberFire's algorithm projects a strong run by the favorite, Advance Notice (6/5), and projects Brazillionaire (4/1) and Dangerous Edge (5/2) to also hit the board. Brazillionaire is a likely scratch as he raced on Sunday.
Advance Notice has generally been a disappointment since his surprising debut win at Saratoga last summer. He’s not worth the risk/reward at even shorter odds with top jockey Irad Ortiz, Jr. riding for EPO trainer Mike Maker in a likely five-horse field.
A horse to consider at better odds is Moonlight Now (6/1) with the meet's winningest jockey thus far, Manny Franco, riding. He can break to the lead, and the gelding drops in for this claiming race off an Allowance after breaking his maiden the previous race with an 87 speed figure. His second start off a layoff could see even more improvement.
Milliean (6/1) is also an option at a better price.
I Am The Law and Proven Innocent, Race 6
FanDuel Racing Odds: 5/2 and 8/1
Race 6 drew 11 Maidens going 1 3/8 miles on the inner turf. numberFire projects favorite I Am The Law (5/2) to win and finish in front of Prayer Book (5/1) and Royale (3/1). Guaranteed Tip Sheet also makes I Am The Law a best bet. I Am The Law finished a close second in his second start in March going 1 mile on the dirt. He switches to turf for the stretch-out and had a recent bullet session on his work tab.
Royal makes his four-year-old debut and owns some of the best speed figures in the field. Leading jockey and strong stretch rider Joel Rosario is aboard for trainer Christophe Clement.
Connagh’s Quay (7/2) will take money with Irad Ortiz, Jr. riding for distance turf specialist and EPO trainer Chad Brown. He wants more distance and can definitely handle the added ground. Proven Innocent (8/1) is intriguing, as he’s yet to hit the board in three starts but showed a good run late last race and galloped out very well past the finish, indicating more ground may be to his liking.