MLB

3 Daily Fantasy Baseball Value Plays for 7/25/18

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Joey Gallo, OF, Texas Rangers

Price: $2,600

Tonight's matchup between the Texas Rangers and Oakland Athletics carries a huge 12-run over/under, which is 2 clear of any other game on Wednesday. These two teams sport the day's two highest implied totals, including a hefty 5.84 for Texas.

Oakland will be starting right-hander Edwin Jackson. Jackson has only pitched in five Major League games after opening the season in the Minors, and his 4.48 skill-interactive ERA (SIERA) is shaky at best. That inspires especially little confidence after he finished with a 5.03 SIERA in 2017 and 5.23 in 2016. He also struggled to the tune of a 5.29 xFIP in his 5 Triple-A games for Oakland and a 4.44 in his 10 starts in the Washington Nationals' Minor League system this year.

Joey Gallo doesn't have much of a floor, but his upside against right-handed pitchers (especially those struggling like Jackson) is huge. He ranks top-10 in both average exit velocity and batted-ball distance among hitters with at least 50 batted-balls against righties this season, and that comes on a 48.6% hard-hit, 9.9% soft-hit and 52.1% fly-ball rate.

He has a huge .297 isolated slugging (ISO) against righties over his career, making him one of the night's top values at this price tag.