MLB Betting: Home Run, Strikeout, and Run Total Projections for Thursday 9/22/22
Just how likely is a homer from a certain player tonight? How many runs will Team X score? And can the pitcher you're eying go over his strikeout prop?
To find out, I leveraged numberFire's batter and pitcher projections plus team implied totals to try to answer those questions.
Here are today's results to help us navigate daily fantasy baseball and MLB betting opportunities at MLB odds.
(Please note that these projections are subject to change throughout the day and as lineups are confirmed. To see the most current projections, check out our projections pages.)
Team Run Total Projections
| Team | Opp SP | O/U | Implied Total |
5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF | Jose Urena | 11.5 | 5.84 | 52.8% | 36.8% | 23.4% | 13.7% | 7.3% |
| COL | John Brebbia | 11.5 | 5.66 | 49.8% | 33.9% | 21.1% | 12.0% | 6.3% |
| NYY | Michael Wacha | 8.0 | 4.33 | 26.8% | 14.8% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| TEX | Michael Lorenzen | 8.0 | 4.32 | 26.7% | 14.7% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| SD | Jack Flaherty | 8.0 | 4.28 | 26.0% | 14.2% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| MIN | Jon Heasley | 8.0 | 4.15 | 23.9% | 12.7% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| SEA | Adrian Martinez | 7.0 | 4.14 | 23.7% | 12.6% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| MIL | Hunter Greene | 7.5 | 4.07 | 22.6% | 11.8% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| LAD | Zac Gallen | 7.0 | 4.06 | 22.4% | 11.7% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| ATL | Ranger Suarez | 7.5 | 4.03 | 22.0% | 11.4% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| HOU | Kyle Bradish | 7.0 | 4.00 | 21.5% | 11.1% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| TOR | J.T. Chargois | 7.5 | 3.91 | 20.1% | 10.2% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| KC | Josh Winder | 8.0 | 3.85 | 19.2% | 9.6% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| CLE | Johnny Cueto | 7.0 | 3.72 | 17.3% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| STL | Joe Musgrove | 8.0 | 3.72 | 17.3% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| LAA | Martin Perez | 8.0 | 3.68 | 16.7% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| BOS | Jameson Taillon | 8.0 | 3.67 | 16.6% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| TB | Jose Berrios | 7.5 | 3.59 | 15.5% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| PIT | Hayden Wesneski | 7.0 | 3.55 | 14.9% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| PHI | Max Fried | 7.5 | 3.47 | 13.8% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| CHC | Mitch Keller | 7.0 | 3.45 | 13.6% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| CIN | Brandon Woodruff | 7.5 | 3.43 | 13.3% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| CHW | Shane Bieber | 7.0 | 3.28 | 11.5% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| BAL | Justin Verlander | 7.0 | 3.00 | 8.4% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| ARI | Julio Urias | 7.0 | 2.94 | 7.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| OAK | George Kirby | 7.0 | 2.86 | 7.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Pitcher Strikeout Projections
| Pitcher | Opp | K Proj |
3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Woodruff | CIN | 7.8 | 95.2% | 89.0% | 79.2% | 66.4% | 52.2% | 38.2% | 26.1% |
| Shane Bieber | CHW | 6.5 | 88.8% | 77.6% | 63.1% | 47.3% | 32.7% | 20.8% | 12.3% |
| Hunter Greene | MIL | 6.5 | 88.8% | 77.6% | 63.1% | 47.3% | 32.7% | 20.8% | 12.3% |
| Justin Verlander | BAL | 6.2 | 86.7% | 74.3% | 58.9% | 42.9% | 28.7% | 17.6% | 10.0% |
| Max Fried | PHI | 5.9 | 84.3% | 70.7% | 54.5% | 38.4% | 24.8% | 14.7% | 8.0% |
| Joe Musgrove | STL | 5.9 | 83.7% | 69.7% | 53.3% | 37.3% | 23.8% | 14.0% | 7.5% |
| Ranger Suarez | ATL | 5.8 | 82.8% | 68.4% | 51.8% | 35.8% | 22.6% | 13.1% | 7.0% |
| Julio Urias | ARI | 5.6 | 80.6% | 65.3% | 48.3% | 32.5% | 19.9% | 11.2% | 5.7% |
| Martin Perez | LAA | 5.3 | 77.8% | 61.5% | 44.2% | 28.7% | 17.0% | 9.2% | 4.5% |
| Hayden Wesneski | PIT | 5.2 | 75.9% | 59.1% | 41.6% | 26.5% | 15.3% | 8.0% | 3.9% |
| George Kirby | OAK | 5.0 | 73.8% | 56.3% | 38.8% | 24.1% | 13.5% | 6.9% | 3.3% |
| Zac Gallen | LAD | 5.0 | 73.6% | 56.1% | 38.6% | 23.9% | 13.4% | 6.9% | 3.2% |
| Michael Wacha | NYY | 4.9 | 71.3% | 53.3% | 35.8% | 21.6% | 11.8% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
| Jose Berrios | TB | 4.9 | 71.3% | 53.3% | 35.8% | 21.6% | 11.8% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
| Jameson Taillon | BOS | 4.8 | 70.9% | 52.7% | 35.2% | 21.2% | 11.5% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
| Kyle Bradish | HOU | 4.5 | 66.1% | 47.2% | 30.0% | 17.2% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Johnny Cueto | CLE | 4.2 | 61.2% | 41.8% | 25.3% | 13.7% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Mitch Keller | CHC | 4.1 | 59.3% | 39.8% | 23.7% | 12.6% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Michael Lorenzen | TEX | 4.0 | 56.1% | 36.5% | 21.0% | 10.8% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Jose Urena | SF | 3.9 | 54.7% | 35.2% | 19.9% | 10.1% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Adrian Martinez | SEA | 3.8 | 52.4% | 33.0% | 18.3% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Jon Heasley | MIN | 3.8 | 51.6% | 32.2% | 17.7% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Yarbrough | TOR | 3.7 | 51.0% | 31.7% | 17.3% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Jack Flaherty | SD | 3.6 | 48.9% | 29.7% | 15.9% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Josh Winder | KC | 3.3 | 42.4% | 24.1% | 12.0% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| John Brebbia | COL | 1.0 | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| J.T. Chargois | TOR | 0.9 | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Daily Batter Home Run Projections
You can view all MLB game and prop odds at MLB odds.
Notes: The "Split Adv?" column refers to whether a batter is starting the game against a pitcher of the opposite handedness. "Home Run PF" refers to home run park factor for the batter's handedness; data from FanGraphs. "xHR Odds" indicate what a player's home run odds should be given the home run probability; this helps seek value.
| Batter | Team | Split Adv? |
HR PF |
Opp SP |
HR Prob% |
xHR Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joc Pederson | SF | Yes | 109 | Jose Urena | 29.2% | +245 |
| Hunter Renfroe | MIL | No | 111 | Hunter Greene | 26.3% | +280 |
| Kyle Tucker | HOU | Yes | 110 | Kyle Bradish | 25.7% | +290 |
| Anthony Rizzo | NYY | Yes | 109 | Michael Wacha | 25.5% | +290 |
| David Villar | SF | No | 108 | Jose Urena | 25.5% | +295 |
| Willy Adames | MIL | No | 111 | Hunter Greene | 25.5% | +295 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | STL | No | 96 | Joe Musgrove | 24.9% | +300 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | TOR | Yes | 94 | Ryan Yarbrough | 23.9% | +320 |
| Aaron Judge | NYY | No | 103 | Michael Wacha | 23.8% | +320 |
| Jose Ramirez | CLE | Yes | 111 | Johnny Cueto | 23.4% | +330 |
| J.D. Martinez | BOS | No | 103 | Jameson Taillon | 23.3% | +330 |
| Mookie Betts | LAD | No | 107 | Zac Gallen | 22.9% | +335 |
| Bryan Reynolds | PIT | Yes | 95 | Hayden Wesneski | 22.9% | +335 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | TOR | Yes | 94 | Ryan Yarbrough | 22.4% | +345 |
| Emmanuel Rivera | ARI | Yes | 107 | Julio Urias | 22.4% | +345 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | NYY | No | 103 | Michael Wacha | 22.3% | +350 |
| Jeremy Pena | HOU | No | 112 | Kyle Bradish | 22.1% | +355 |
| Cal Raleigh | SEA | Yes | 92 | Adrian Martinez | 21.9% | +355 |
| Yordan Alvarez | HOU | Yes | 110 | Kyle Bradish | 21.6% | +365 |
| Rowdy Tellez | MIL | Yes | 113 | Hunter Greene | 21.4% | +365 |
| Jake Fraley | CIN | Yes | 113 | Brandon Woodruff | 21.4% | +365 |
| Anthony Santander | BAL | Yes | 110 | Justin Verlander | 21.0% | +375 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | SF | Yes | 109 | Jose Urena | 20.9% | +380 |
| Trea Turner | LAD | No | 107 | Zac Gallen | 20.8% | +380 |
| Nolan Arenado | STL | No | 96 | Joe Musgrove | 20.7% | +380 |
| Salvador Perez | KC | No | 92 | Josh Winder | 20.6% | +385 |
| Rhys Hoskins | PHI | Yes | 110 | Max Fried | 20.4% | +390 |
| Nathaniel Lowe | TEX | Yes | 101 | Michael Lorenzen | 20.3% | +395 |
| Jonah Heim | TEX | Yes | 101 | Michael Lorenzen | 20.3% | +395 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | SF | Yes | 109 | Jose Urena | 20.3% | +395 |
| Patrick Wisdom | CHC | No | 92 | Mitch Keller | 20.1% | +395 |
| Josh Jung | TEX | No | 95 | Michael Lorenzen | 20.1% | +400 |
| Jose Altuve | HOU | No | 112 | Kyle Bradish | 19.7% | +405 |
| William Contreras | ATL | Yes | 110 | Ranger Suarez | 19.2% | +420 |
| Alex Bregman | HOU | No | 112 | Kyle Bradish | 19.1% | +425 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | KC | No | 92 | Josh Winder | 19.1% | +425 |
| Andrew McCutchen | MIL | No | 111 | Hunter Greene | 19.0% | +425 |
| Mike Trout | LAA | Yes | 95 | Martin Perez | 18.9% | +430 |
| Isaac Paredes | TB | No | 94 | Jose Berrios | 18.9% | +430 |
| Rodolfo Castro | PIT | Yes | 95 | Hayden Wesneski | 18.8% | +430 |
| Christian Walker | ARI | Yes | 107 | Julio Urias | 18.8% | +435 |
| Gavin Sheets | CHW | Yes | 111 | Shane Bieber | 18.7% | +435 |
| Joey Bart | SF | No | 108 | Jose Urena | 18.6% | +440 |
| Gunnar Henderson | BAL | Yes | 110 | Justin Verlander | 18.5% | +440 |
| Adolis Garcia | TEX | No | 95 | Michael Lorenzen | 18.5% | +440 |
| Rafael Devers | BOS | Yes | 109 | Jameson Taillon | 18.4% | +445 |
| Julio Rodriguez | SEA | No | 94 | Adrian Martinez | 18.3% | +445 |
| Oneil Cruz | PIT | Yes | 95 | Hayden Wesneski | 18.3% | +445 |
| Jack Suwinski | PIT | Yes | 95 | Hayden Wesneski | 18.3% | +445 |
| Albert Pujols | STL | No | 96 | Joe Musgrove | 18.1% | +455 |
| Corey Seager | TEX | Yes | 101 | Michael Lorenzen | 18.0% | +455 |
| Daulton Varsho | ARI | No | 102 | Julio Urias | 17.8% | +460 |
| Austin Riley | ATL | Yes | 110 | Ranger Suarez | 17.8% | +460 |
| Sean Murphy | OAK | No | 94 | George Kirby | 17.8% | +460 |
| Luis Urias | MIL | No | 111 | Hunter Greene | 17.7% | +465 |
| TJ Friedl | CIN | Yes | 113 | Brandon Woodruff | 17.6% | +470 |
| Manny Machado | SD | No | 96 | Jack Flaherty | 17.5% | +470 |
| Josh Donaldson | NYY | No | 103 | Michael Wacha | 17.3% | +480 |
| Matt Olson | ATL | No | 106 | Ranger Suarez | 17.3% | +480 |
| Seth Brown | OAK | Yes | 92 | George Kirby | 17.3% | +480 |
| Kyle Farmer | CIN | No | 111 | Brandon Woodruff | 17.0% | +485 |
| Aristides Aquino | CIN | No | 111 | Brandon Woodruff | 17.0% | +485 |
| Tyrone Taylor | MIL | No | 111 | Hunter Greene | 17.0% | +485 |
| Danny Jansen | TOR | Yes | 94 | Ryan Yarbrough | 17.0% | +490 |
| Christian Yelich | MIL | Yes | 113 | Hunter Greene | 16.9% | +490 |
| Victor Caratini | MIL | Yes | 113 | Hunter Greene | 16.9% | +490 |
| Wilmer Flores | SF | No | 108 | Jose Urena | 16.7% | +500 |
| Chas McCormick | HOU | No | 112 | Kyle Bradish | 16.5% | +505 |
| Brandon Crawford | SF | Yes | 109 | Jose Urena | 16.4% | +510 |
| J.T. Realmuto | PHI | Yes | 110 | Max Fried | 16.4% | +510 |
| Joey Gallo | LAD | Yes | 102 | Zac Gallen | 16.2% | +515 |
| Ty France | SEA | No | 94 | Adrian Martinez | 16.1% | +520 |
| Randy Arozarena | TB | No | 94 | Jose Berrios | 16.1% | +520 |
| Zack Collins | PIT | Yes | 95 | Hayden Wesneski | 15.9% | +530 |
| Mike Toglia | COL | Yes | 109 | John Brebbia | 15.7% | +535 |
| Stuart Fairchild | CIN | No | 111 | Brandon Woodruff | 15.6% | +540 |
| Bryce Harper | PHI | No | 106 | Max Fried | 15.6% | +540 |
| Michael Harris II | ATL | No | 106 | Ranger Suarez | 15.6% | +540 |
| Freddie Freeman | LAD | Yes | 102 | Zac Gallen | 15.6% | +545 |
| Tommy Pham | BOS | No | 103 | Jameson Taillon | 15.4% | +550 |
| Gleyber Torres | NYY | No | 103 | Michael Wacha | 15.4% | +550 |
| Chris Taylor | LAD | No | 107 | Zac Gallen | 15.2% | +560 |
| Adley Rutschman | BAL | Yes | 110 | Justin Verlander | 15.1% | +560 |
| George Springer | TOR | Yes | 94 | Ryan Yarbrough | 15.1% | +565 |
| Oscar Gonzalez | CLE | No | 106 | Johnny Cueto | 15.1% | +565 |
| Marcus Semien | TEX | No | 95 | Michael Lorenzen | 15.0% | +565 |
| Jake Cave | MIN | Yes | 92 | Jon Heasley | 14.9% | +570 |
| Dermis Garcia | OAK | No | 94 | George Kirby | 14.9% | +570 |
| Max Muncy | LAD | Yes | 102 | Zac Gallen | 14.9% | +570 |
| Juan Soto | SD | Yes | 95 | Jack Flaherty | 14.7% | +580 |
| Jose Miranda | MIN | No | 92 | Jon Heasley | 14.6% | +585 |
| Ketel Marte | ARI | Yes | 107 | Julio Urias | 14.6% | +585 |
| Josh Naylor | CLE | Yes | 111 | Johnny Cueto | 14.5% | +590 |
| Andres Gimenez | CLE | Yes | 111 | Johnny Cueto | 14.5% | +590 |
| Kyle Schwarber | PHI | No | 106 | Max Fried | 14.4% | +595 |
| Ryan Mountcastle | BAL | No | 112 | Justin Verlander | 14.3% | +600 |
| Ronald Acuna | ATL | Yes | 110 | Ranger Suarez | 14.1% | +610 |
| Lars Nootbaar | STL | Yes | 95 | Joe Musgrove | 14.0% | +615 |
| Jordan Luplow | ARI | Yes | 107 | Julio Urias | 13.8% | +625 |
| Justin Turner | LAD | No | 107 | Zac Gallen | 13.8% | +625 |
| Matt Chapman | TOR | Yes | 94 | Ryan Yarbrough | 13.7% | +625 |
| Nick Gordon | MIN | Yes | 92 | Jon Heasley | 13.7% | +630 |
| Austin Hays | BAL | No | 112 | Justin Verlander | 13.6% | +640 |
| Charlie Blackmon | COL | Yes | 109 | John Brebbia | 13.5% | +640 |
| Cody Bellinger | LAD | Yes | 102 | Zac Gallen | 13.5% | +640 |
| Jonathan India | CIN | No | 111 | Brandon Woodruff | 13.5% | +645 |
| Carlos Correa | MIN | No | 92 | Jon Heasley | 13.4% | +645 |
| Christopher Morel | CHC | No | 92 | Mitch Keller | 13.4% | +645 |
| Jurickson Profar | SD | Yes | 95 | Jack Flaherty | 13.4% | +650 |
| Josh Bell | SD | Yes | 95 | Jack Flaherty | 13.4% | +650 |
| Travis d'Arnaud | ATL | Yes | 110 | Ranger Suarez | 13.3% | +650 |
| Dansby Swanson | ATL | Yes | 110 | Ranger Suarez | 13.3% | +650 |
| Brandon Drury | SD | No | 96 | Jack Flaherty | 13.2% | +655 |
| Luis Rengifo | LAA | Yes | 95 | Martin Perez | 13.2% | +660 |
| Elehuris Montero | COL | No | 108 | John Brebbia | 13.1% | +660 |
| Bo Bichette | TOR | Yes | 94 | Ryan Yarbrough | 13.1% | +665 |
| Carson Kelly | ARI | Yes | 107 | Julio Urias | 13.0% | +670 |
| Abraham Toro | SEA | Yes | 92 | Adrian Martinez | 13.0% | +670 |
| Christian Bethancourt | TB | No | 94 | Jose Berrios | 13.0% | +670 |
| A.J. Pollock | CHW | No | 106 | Shane Bieber | 12.9% | +675 |
| Gio Urshela | MIN | No | 92 | Jon Heasley | 12.8% | +685 |
| P.J. Higgins | CHC | No | 92 | Mitch Keller | 12.8% | +685 |
| Oswaldo Cabrera | NYY | Yes | 109 | Michael Wacha | 12.7% | +685 |
| Michael Brosseau | MIL | No | 111 | Hunter Greene | 12.7% | +690 |
| Alejandro Kirk | TOR | Yes | 94 | Ryan Yarbrough | 12.4% | +710 |
| Will Smith | LAD | No | 107 | Zac Gallen | 12.3% | +715 |
| Yoan Moncada | CHW | Yes | 111 | Shane Bieber | 12.2% | +725 |
| Ryan McMahon | COL | Yes | 109 | John Brebbia | 12.0% | +735 |
| Carlos Santana | SEA | Yes | 92 | Adrian Martinez | 11.7% | +755 |
| Matt Wallner | MIN | Yes | 92 | Jon Heasley | 11.7% | +755 |
| Franmil Reyes | CHC | No | 92 | Mitch Keller | 11.5% | +775 |
| Tommy Edman | STL | Yes | 95 | Joe Musgrove | 11.3% | +785 |
| Rougned Odor | BAL | Yes | 110 | Justin Verlander | 11.2% | +790 |
| Jorge Mateo | BAL | No | 112 | Justin Verlander | 11.2% | +795 |
| Jesse Winker | SEA | Yes | 92 | Adrian Martinez | 11.0% | +810 |
| MJ Melendez | KC | Yes | 92 | Josh Winder | 11.0% | +810 |
| Jose Siri | TB | No | 94 | Jose Berrios | 11.0% | +810 |
| Randal Grichuk | COL | No | 108 | John Brebbia | 10.8% | +820 |
| Nelson Velazquez | CHC | No | 92 | Mitch Keller | 10.8% | +825 |
| Dylan Carlson | STL | Yes | 95 | Joe Musgrove | 10.6% | +840 |
| Trey Mancini | HOU | No | 112 | Kyle Bradish | 10.4% | +865 |
| Ramon Urias | BAL | No | 112 | Justin Verlander | 10.4% | +865 |
| Luis Arraez | MIN | Yes | 92 | Jon Heasley | 10.3% | +870 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | KC | Yes | 92 | Josh Winder | 10.3% | +870 |
| Dalton Guthrie | PHI | Yes | 110 | Max Fried | 10.0% | +905 |
| Trent Grisham | SD | Yes | 95 | Jack Flaherty | 9.9% | +910 |
| Zach McKinstry | CHC | Yes | 95 | Mitch Keller | 9.9% | +910 |
| Kole Calhoun | TEX | Yes | 101 | Michael Lorenzen | 9.7% | +935 |
| Steven Kwan | CLE | Yes | 111 | Johnny Cueto | 9.7% | +935 |
| Christian Arroyo | BOS | No | 103 | Jameson Taillon | 9.6% | +940 |
| Jake McCarthy | ARI | No | 102 | Julio Urias | 9.6% | +940 |
| David Peralta | TB | Yes | 92 | Jose Berrios | 9.6% | +940 |
| Sam Haggerty | SEA | Yes | 92 | Adrian Martinez | 9.6% | +940 |
| Triston Casas | BOS | Yes | 109 | Jameson Taillon | 9.5% | +955 |
| Alan Trejo | COL | No | 108 | John Brebbia | 9.2% | +985 |
| Jake Cronenworth | SD | Yes | 95 | Jack Flaherty | 9.1% | +995 |
| Elvis Andrus | CHW | No | 106 | Shane Bieber | 9.1% | +1000 |
| Jose Abreu | CHW | No | 106 | Shane Bieber | 9.1% | +1000 |
| Eloy Jimenez | CHW | No | 106 | Shane Bieber | 9.1% | +1000 |
| Andrew Vaughn | CHW | No | 106 | Shane Bieber | 9.1% | +1000 |
| Yandy Diaz | TB | No | 94 | Jose Berrios | 8.9% | +1025 |
| Connor Wong | BOS | No | 103 | Jameson Taillon | 8.8% | +1030 |
| Stone Garrett | ARI | Yes | 107 | Julio Urias | 8.8% | +1030 |
| Ian Happ | CHC | Yes | 95 | Mitch Keller | 8.4% | +1090 |
| Yadier Molina | STL | No | 96 | Joe Musgrove | 8.3% | +1105 |
| Ha-Seong Kim | SD | No | 96 | Jack Flaherty | 8.3% | +1105 |
| Alec Bohm | PHI | Yes | 110 | Max Fried | 8.1% | +1130 |
| Harold Ramirez | TB | No | 94 | Jose Berrios | 8.1% | +1130 |
| Yu Chang | BOS | No | 103 | Jameson Taillon | 8.0% | +1145 |
| Edward Olivares | KC | No | 92 | Josh Winder | 8.0% | +1155 |
| Yasmani Grandal | CHW | Yes | 111 | Shane Bieber | 7.9% | +1165 |
| Christian Vazquez | HOU | No | 112 | Kyle Bradish | 7.8% | +1185 |
