3 NBA DraftKings Value Plays to Target on 4/3/18
Ersan Ilyasova, SF/PF, Philadelphia 76ers
DraftKings Salary: $5,600
The most impactful injury situation today is the absence of Joel Embiid and Dario Saric, which opens up big minutes in the Philadelphia 76ers frontcourt -- and just in time for a beautiful matchup against the Brooklyn Nets.
Ersan Ilyasova has been the biggest beneficiary thus far, averaging 36.9 DraftKings points in the two games since Embiid went down. His price has risen $1,600 over that span, which makes him more of a tournament play than cash game lock on such a huge slate. At this salary, Ilyasova needs 28 DraftKings points to reach value, though he has averaged 0.95 DraftKings points per minute with both Embiid and Saric off the court, so he'd need just 30 minutes to hit value at that rate. That efficiency could be boosted even further in an advantageous matchup against the Nets.
If looking for a beneficiary of the injury with a steadier role, Robert Covington ($6,000) stands to benefit from the same matchup and has seen huge boosts in his numbers with Embiid and Saric sidelined. His usage rate is up from 18.6% to 24.9% without those two, while his DraftKings points per minute are up from 0.87 to 1.18. If you have the extra $400 to pay up, Covington is an attractive play tonight, too.