3 NBA FanDuel Studs to Target on 3/15/19

Giannis Antetokounmpo, SF, Milwaukee Bucks

Price: $11,800

You're not getting nearly as good a matchup with Giannis Antetokounmpo, taking on the Miami Heat, but you get some significant savings while also avoiding most of the blowout risk that comes with Harden.

The Milwaukee Bucks are five-point favorites tonight, and while Harden is averaging 54.0 FanDuel points per game since Paul's return (excluding one game in the last 17 that Paul sat out), Giannis has him beat with 55.7 FanDuel points per game in that stretch. That puts Giannis third in the NBA in fantasy scoring since February 1 (second if you remove Harden's game with Paul out), leaving him a little under-priced here.

The Heat have also had some struggles on the defensive end recently, ranking only 23rd in defensive rating since the All-Star break.

The Bucks' 112.5-point implied total is almost 7 points lower than Houston's (119.0), so there's not quite as much upside here, but the close spread means that Giannis comes with less risk than Harden, and with the $700 in savings he's the preferred cash game option, while Harden's upside is more appealing in tournaments.