NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Monday 3/20/23
Here, we'll focus on utilizing daily fantasy basketball projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are focusing on the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.
The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.
Please note that betting lines and our daily fantasy basketball projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Stephen Curry Over 4.5 Made Threes (-106)
Stephen Curry has a dream matchup tonight to rain in threes.
The Golden State Warriors are playing at the Houston Rockets. Houston has allowed gobs of three-point tries all season, and things have been no different of late as they've given up the league's second-highest three-point attempt rate across the past 15 games (44.4%). For the year, they've surrendered a league-high 9.9 three-point attempts per night to point guards.
Curry usually doesn't need much of an invitation to fire away. He's put up at least 13 three-point shots three times over the past five games, and he's torched the Rockets this campaign, going 7 for 14 and 8 of 17 from three in two previous meetings with Houston this season.
Blowout risk is a legit concern with Golden State a 10.5-point favorite. However, given the Warriors' road struggles, the Rockets should be able to keep it fairly competitive.
Our model projects Curry to go 5.1 for 12.9 from three tonight. Getting this at close to plus-money looks like a really nice deal.
Nikola Vucevic Under 16.5 Points (-110)
Nikola Vucevic draws a difficult matchup today against Joel Embiid and the Philadelphia 76ers.
Philly has been stingy against bigs this year. For the season, centers are scoring just 19.9 points per game versus the 76ers, the third-fewest. The Sixers give up only 13.8 shots per game to the position, tied for the sixth-fewest.
Vucevic has been on a tear of late, scoring at least 17 points in four of his last five outings. But before that run, he'd netted 16 or fewer points in five of six games.
We project Vucevic to score 16.2 points on Monday, a tick under this line.