NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Monday 5/1/23

Here, we'll focus on utilizing daily fantasy basketball projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are focusing on the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.

The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place live in-game props with ease.

Please note that betting lines and our daily projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.

Al Horford Over 2.5 Assists (-174)

Al Horford has notched at least three assists in 11 of his last 12 games, and he recorded three-plus assists in each of the final five games in the first round versus the Atlanta Hawks.

For the regular season, Horford averaged 3.0 assists per night, and he's playing 2.2 more minutes per game so far in the postseason compared to the regular season.

The Philadelphia 76ers are expected to be without Joel Embiid for tonight's Game 1. That's obviously a big blow for Philly on both ends of the floor, and it brings blowout risk into the equation as Boston is a 10.0-point favorite.

That's my biggest worry with this bet, and if you want to stay away from the -178 juice, I get it.

But Philly gave up the 11th-most assists per game to centers (4.6) over the final 15 contests of the regular season, and we project Horford to tally 3.4 assists today.

Devin Booker Under 30.5 Points (-118)

Devin Booker was special in the first round, pouring in 37.2 points per game in the series against the Los Angeles Clippers. While Booker is obviously capable of lighting up any team on any night, there are reasons to expect him to slow down in the points department, and we saw them play out in a 26-point night in Game 1 against the Denver Nuggets.

The Clips, when healthy, are a difficult matchup for guards and wings, but the Clippers weren't healthy. The Nuggets are healthy, and they were tough on two-guards this campaign. Over the final 30 games of the year, Denver kept the position to 22.7 points per game, the seventh-fewest.

Booker also shot the ball a ton in the first round and hit more threes than usual, averaging 23.6 shots per game on a 30.0% usage rate while making an unsustainable 46.7% of his threes. Book averaged 20.1 shots per game in the regular season and shot 35.1% from deep.

Kevin Durant took a back seat against the Clippers, registering a mere 24.1% usage rate -- 6.6 percentage points below his full-season clip. In Game 1 versus Denver, KD had a 34.4% usage rate while Booker held a 28.4% usage rate.

I expect more of the same today in Game 2, and our model does, too, as we forecast Booker to score 28.3 points.