NHL Betting Guide: Monday 1/30/23
There's only one game on Monday, but our model still has a multi-unit recommendation for it.
Which side should we back in Blues-Jets tonight?
Note: Lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published. All ratings are out of five stars. All NHL betting odds and totals come from FanDuel Sportsbook.
St. Louis Blues at Winnipeg Jets
Jets ML (-210) - 2 Stars
I never actively seek out a -210 moneyline in a random sport like hockey. It's similar to UFC as unexpected things can happen, and I've stated I won't exceed a -250 straight moneyline bet to win a unit there.
So, this bet wouldn't have made a full-slate helper, but for those so inclined to wager tonight, I'd agree this is the best side to support. Winnipeg is better than St. Louis, who hasn't made a strong argument lately on this four-game skid.
Per 60 minutes, the Jets (3.18 xGF) score more expected goals than the Blues (2.74). Winnipeg also allows fewer expected goals per 60 (3.11 xGA) than St. Louis (3.29).
If you're wondering if the difference is made up in goal, it's not. Connor Hellebuyck of the Jets sits fourth in the NHL in goals saved above expectation (23.76 GSAx), and Jordan Binnington (-6.68 GSAx) is 60th in the metrics among 89 goalies who have made an appearance this season.
Winnipeg is also at home, and these two sides enter this game on equal rest. Our model has the Jets winning 73.2% of the time against these 67.7% implied odds.