Premier League Betting Guide for Matchweek 13
Which Premier League matches offer betting value for this week on FanDuel Sportsbook? Let's see where we can zero in.
Please note that lines are subject to change after this article is published, which impacts betting advice. All betting lines were taken from FanDuel Sportsbook, and you can check here to see their most updated numbers.
Brighton vs Leicester City
Leicester City to win +100
Leicester have been off to a flying start to the season, boasting a 8W-2D-2L record that is good enough to put them in 2nd place in the league and they even have a better goal difference than league leading Liverpool. Brighton are off to a decent start at 4-3-5, good enough for 11th place, but even early on in the season it is clear that there is a talent gap between the two sides.
Leicester are not only ahead of Brighton in the league standings but they are equally ahead of Brighton in the WhoScored.com team rankings (2nd place vs 11th). Leicester are averaging 1.8 more shots per game than Brighton and they are conceding 3.4 less shots per game, so unsurprisingly they have been creating more opportunities than Brighton while also conceding less.
The Blue Foxes should be able to take home the full three points this weekend and a +100 bettors are getting favorable odds for this matchup.
Arsenal vs. Southampton
Southampton +1 (no push) +170
Southampton have been dreadful so far this season, sitting at 2-2-8 with a brutal -18 goal differential, mostly due to their 9-0 beatdown at the hands of Leicester City. However, despite this, Southampton are still a decent 2-1-3 away from home, and they should stand a good chance against a dysfunctional Arsenal squad.
Arsenal have been disappointing this year, and although they are sixth in the league table, they are actually 12th in WhoScored.com's team rankings. The Gunners have a negative goal difference and have lost or drawn each of their last four matchups, including home draws against 12th-place Crystal Palace and eighth-place Wolves.
Arsenal are a big club in name only at the moment, and while they are rightfully favored to win this game, Southampton should not be discounted as much as the oddsmakers have indicated here.
West Ham vs. Tottenham
West Ham +1 (no push) +105
If Arsenal have been a disappointment so far this season, then Tottenham has been an absolute disaster. Spurs are currently in 14th in the EPL, and they just parted ways with Mauricio Pochettino and replaced him with the "Special One" Jose Mourinho. Mourinho may very well turn Tottenham around in the long term, but in the short term, Spurs have major problems.
West Ham have performed at a similarly mediocre level as Tottenham, as they are two points below Spurs in the league table and one spot below Spurs in WhoScored's team rankings. Perhaps Tottenham has performed slightly better than the Hammers have so far this year, but West Ham should have a great chance at a win or draw due to their home-field advantage.
Given that the teams have been almost equal so far this season, playing at home should be enough to push West Ham to at least a draw, if not a win.