FanDuel World Cup Daily Fantasy Helper: Tuesday 11/22/22
The World Cup is the biggest sporting event on the planet, and FanDuel is offering daily fantasy contests throughout the tournament.
For the first two rounds of the group stage, main slates will start at 8:00 a.m. EST and feature three matches, which are scheduled to start at 8 a.m., 11 a.m. and 2 p.m. EST.
Denmark (-185) vs. Tunisia (+600)
Over 2.5 Goals: +132 | Most Likely to Score: Dolberg (+175)
Mexico (+165) vs. Poland (+195)
Over 2.5 Goals: +156 | Most Likely to Score: Lewandowski (+155)
France (-390) vs. Australia (+850)
Over 2.5 Goals: -138 | Most Likely to Score: Mbappe (-115)
France are the epicenter of Tuesday's three-match slate. They'll be super popular, but they deserve to be as a -390 favorite over Australia. They're -215 to score at least twice and +115 to go over 2.5 goals -- both of which are slate-best marks by a comfortable margin. We project them to score 2.34 goals, another slate-leading clip.
Despite a long (and depressing) injury list, France are still pretty loaded. With Karim Benzema out, Kylian Mbappe ($22; -115 to score) is the clear focal point in attack, and he's going to be insanely popular. I usually lean toward fading mega-chalk in soccer DFS, but Mbappe has remarkable upside and can absolutely destroy the slate. He'll be on pens and has 12 goals and two assists in 13 Ligue 1 starts this season for PSG.
Kingsley Coman ($17; +230), Antoine Griezmann ($19; +140) and Olivier Giroud ($18; +110) are in the mix to start alongside Mbappe. All are quality options in this matchup. If Ousmane Dembele ($18; +185) gets in the lineup, he'd also be an attractive pick.
Denmark are the other side I want a piece of. They're -185 to beat Tunisia and -133 to go over 1.5 goals. We have them scoring 1.68 goals. The Danes don't have one standout attacker, but they do offer several viable forwards, with Andreas Skov Olsen ($17; +230) and Kasper Dolberg ($17: +175) atop the list. Dolberg has team-best goal odds. Midfielder Christian Eriksen ($16; +310) is worth a look, too. He's a creative weapon who should handle plenty of corner and set-piece work.
The Mexico-Poland match is a pretty even affair, and it's an ugly (for fantasy) +156 to go over 2.5 goals. That should lead to it being the least popular match of the slate. The one exception is going to be Poland's Robert Lewandowski ($20; +155).
One of the world's best number-nines, Lewandowski has been killing it for Barcelona this season, tallying 13 goals and four assists in 13 La Liga starts. With the masses sure to load up on France's high-salary stars, Lewa may go a little overlooked. Our model likes Poland, too, projecting them for 1.41 goals.
Elsewhere in that match, Poland's Karol Swiderski ($13; +290) is a nice source of salary relief. In qualifying, he had five goals and one assist in four starts (nine appearances). Mexico's Hirving Lozano ($16; +230) comes at a modest salary and is an attack-minded winger who might be asked to shoulder a lot of the attacking load for his side.
France's Lucas Hernandez ($14) and Benjamin Pavard ($13) are high-upside full-backs who will likely spend a lot of time in attacking areas. Pavard is +250 to score or assist while Hernandez is +180. Those are as good of goal/assist odds as a lot of the attackers on this slate outside of France's forwards.
Denmark's Joakim Maehle ($12) is right there with those two in terms of attacking juice. He's +185 to score/assist, and he probably won't garner the attention that France's full-backs will.
I'm always drawn to modest-salaried center-backs on underdogs. Those players typically have a decent floor due to their ability to rack up defensive actions. On this slate, Tunisia and Australia are the places to look for such plays, with Dylan Bronn ($10), Harry Souttar ($9) and Milos Degenek ($11) fitting the bill. Even though they're full-backs, Australia's Aziz Behich ($8) and Nathaniel Atkinson ($8) should have respectable floors, as well.
The best win (-390) and clean-sheet (-143) odds belong to France's Hugo Lloris ($14). While he's a fine play, I won't use him much. Denmark's Kasper Schmeichel ($12) is just as good of a play at a lower salary. With that said, if the masses go with that line of thinking, Lloris might slip through the cracks.
As for Schmeichel, he's -138 to blank Tunisia and -185 to get the win. Denmark are a sneaky-good sleeper team in this tournament, and they were excellent in defense in qualification, conceding just three goals in 10 matches, with Schmeichel notching eight clean sheets.
Guillermo Ochoa ($10) and Wojciech Szczesny ($11) check a few boxes, too. As we said earlier, the Mexico-Poland match is a slate-worst +156 to go over 2.5 goals. Mexico is +160 to record a clean sheet while Poland's clean-sheet odds are +170.
Mat Ryan ($7) and Aymen Dahmen ($8) are low-salary punts. Both could wind up in the red, but they'll likely see a bunch of save chances. If they can keep the damage to a goal or two, they can pay off.