MLB Betting: Home Run, Strikeout, and Run Total Projections for Friday 7/1/22
Just how likely is a homer from a certain player tonight? How many runs will Team X score? And can the pitcher you're eying go over his strikeout prop?
To find out, I leveraged numberFire's batter and pitcher projections plus team implied totals to try to answer those questions.
Here are today's results to help us navigate daily fantasy baseball and MLB betting opportunities at MLB odds.
(Please note that these projections are subject to change throughout the day and as lineups are confirmed. To see the most current projections, check out our projections pages.)
Team Run Total Projections
| Team | Opp SP | O/U | Implied Total |
5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | Merrill Kelly | 11.5 | 5.86 | 53.2% | 37.1% | 23.7% | 13.9% | 7.5% |
| ATL | Mike Minor | 9.5 | 5.79 | 52.0% | 36.0% | 22.8% | 13.2% | 7.0% |
| ARI | Antonio Senzatela | 11.5 | 5.64 | 49.5% | 33.6% | 20.8% | 11.8% | 6.1% |
| MIN | Spenser Watkins | 9.0 | 5.28 | 43.3% | 28.0% | 16.4% | 8.8% | 4.3% |
| STL | Bailey Falter | 9.5 | 5.05 | 39.3% | 24.5% | 13.9% | 7.1% | 3.4% |
| WSH | Trevor Rogers | 9.5 | 5.01 | 38.6% | 23.9% | 13.4% | 6.9% | 3.2% |
| TOR | Corey Kluber | 9.0 | 4.89 | 36.5% | 22.2% | 12.2% | 6.1% | 2.8% |
| NYM | Glenn Otto | 8.5 | 4.86 | 35.9% | 21.8% | 11.9% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
| NYY | Aaron Civale | 8.0 | 4.62 | 31.8% | 18.5% | 9.7% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| MIA | Josiah Gray | 9.5 | 4.49 | 29.5% | 16.8% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| BOS | Adrian Sampson | 8.5 | 4.48 | 29.4% | 16.6% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| PHI | Miles Mikolas | 9.5 | 4.45 | 28.9% | 16.3% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| SEA | James Kaprielian | 8.0 | 4.44 | 28.7% | 16.1% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| HOU | Michael Lorenzen | 8.0 | 4.43 | 28.5% | 16.0% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| MIL | Roansy Contreras | 7.5 | 4.29 | 26.2% | 14.3% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| KC | Michael Pineda | 8.0 | 4.20 | 24.7% | 13.3% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| LAD | Blake Snell | 7.5 | 4.17 | 24.2% | 12.9% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| TB | Jose Berrios | 9.0 | 4.11 | 23.2% | 12.2% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| SF | Lance Lynn | 7.5 | 4.09 | 22.9% | 12.0% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| CHC | Rich Hill | 8.5 | 4.02 | 21.8% | 11.3% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| DET | Brad Keller | 8.0 | 3.80 | 18.4% | 9.1% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| BAL | Joe Ryan | 9.0 | 3.72 | 17.3% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| CIN | Max Fried | 9.5 | 3.71 | 17.1% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| TEX | Chris Bassitt | 8.5 | 3.64 | 16.1% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| LAA | Cristian Javier | 8.0 | 3.57 | 15.2% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| OAK | Marco Gonzales | 8.0 | 3.56 | 15.0% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| CHW | Alex Cobb | 7.5 | 3.41 | 13.1% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| CLE | Gerrit Cole | 8.0 | 3.38 | 12.7% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| SD | Tony Gonsolin | 7.5 | 3.33 | 12.1% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| PIT | Corbin Burnes | 7.5 | 3.21 | 10.7% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
Pitcher Strikeout Projections
| Pitcher | Opp | K Proj |
3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corbin Burnes | PIT | 8.2 | 96.3% | 91.1% | 82.6% | 70.9% | 57.3% | 43.4% | 30.7% |
| Gerrit Cole | CLE | 7.0 | 91.8% | 82.6% | 69.8% | 54.9% | 40.0% | 27.0% | 16.8% |
| Cristian Javier | LAA | 6.9 | 91.2% | 81.7% | 68.5% | 53.4% | 38.5% | 25.7% | 15.9% |
| Chris Bassitt | TEX | 6.9 | 91.1% | 81.5% | 68.2% | 53.1% | 38.2% | 25.4% | 15.7% |
| Blake Snell | LAD | 5.8 | 83.2% | 69.0% | 52.5% | 36.5% | 23.2% | 13.5% | 7.2% |
| Max Fried | CIN | 5.5 | 79.8% | 64.2% | 47.1% | 31.4% | 19.1% | 10.6% | 5.4% |
| Tony Gonsolin | SD | 5.5 | 79.4% | 63.6% | 46.4% | 30.8% | 18.6% | 10.2% | 5.2% |
| Josiah Gray | MIA | 5.4 | 78.6% | 62.5% | 45.2% | 29.7% | 17.7% | 9.7% | 4.8% |
| Joe Ryan | BAL | 5.4 | 78.6% | 62.5% | 45.2% | 29.7% | 17.7% | 9.7% | 4.8% |
| Miles Mikolas | PHI | 5.3 | 77.2% | 60.7% | 43.3% | 28.0% | 16.4% | 8.8% | 4.3% |
| Alex Cobb | CHW | 5.1 | 74.6% | 57.3% | 39.8% | 25.0% | 14.2% | 7.3% | 3.5% |
| Lance Lynn | SF | 5.0 | 73.5% | 56.0% | 38.4% | 23.8% | 13.3% | 6.8% | 3.2% |
| Jose Berrios | TB | 4.9 | 72.5% | 54.7% | 37.2% | 22.8% | 12.6% | 6.4% | 2.9% |
| Aaron Civale | NYY | 4.8 | 70.4% | 52.2% | 34.7% | 20.8% | 11.2% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Trevor Rogers | WSH | 4.7 | 69.7% | 51.3% | 33.9% | 20.1% | 10.8% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
| Mike Minor | ATL | 4.7 | 68.9% | 50.4% | 33.0% | 19.4% | 10.3% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Rich Hill | CHC | 4.6 | 67.9% | 49.2% | 31.9% | 18.6% | 9.8% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Corey Kluber | TOR | 4.4 | 64.4% | 45.3% | 28.3% | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Adrian Sampson | BOS | 4.4 | 64.4% | 45.3% | 28.3% | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Merrill Kelly | COL | 4.4 | 63.9% | 44.7% | 27.8% | 15.5% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Bailey Falter | STL | 4.3 | 63.0% | 43.7% | 27.0% | 14.9% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Michael Pineda | KC | 4.3 | 62.6% | 43.3% | 26.7% | 14.7% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Marco Gonzales | OAK | 4.3 | 61.9% | 42.6% | 26.0% | 14.2% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Michael Lorenzen | HOU | 4.2 | 61.0% | 41.6% | 25.2% | 13.6% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Roansy Contreras | MIL | 4.2 | 60.1% | 40.6% | 24.4% | 13.0% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Brad Keller | DET | 4.0 | 57.2% | 37.7% | 22.0% | 11.4% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Antonio Senzatela | ARI | 3.9 | 54.7% | 35.2% | 19.9% | 10.1% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Glenn Otto | NYM | 3.8 | 53.3% | 33.8% | 18.9% | 9.4% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| James Kaprielian | SEA | 3.8 | 51.6% | 32.2% | 17.7% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Spenser Watkins | MIN | 2.9 | 31.9% | 16.0% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Daily Batter Home Run Projections
You can view all MLB game and prop odds at MLB odds.
Notes: The "Platoon?" column refers to whether a batter is starting the game against a pitcher of the opposite handedness. "Home Run PF" refers to home run park factor for the batter's handedness; data from FanGraphs. "xHR Odds" indicate what a player's home run odds should be given the home run probability; this helps seek value.
| Batter | Team | Platoon? | HR PF |
Opp Pitcher |
HR Prob% |
xHR Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | NYY | No | 99 | Aaron Civale | 29.0% | +245 |
| Dansby Swanson | ATL | Yes | 111 | Mike Minor | 27.0% | +270 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | NYY | No | 99 | Aaron Civale | 24.5% | +310 |
| Sean Murphy | OAK | Yes | 99 | Marco Gonzales | 24.2% | +315 |
| Willy Adames | MIL | No | 92 | Roansy Contreras | 24.2% | +315 |
| Travis d'Arnaud | ATL | Yes | 111 | Mike Minor | 23.5% | +325 |
| Rhys Hoskins | PHI | No | 110 | Miles Mikolas | 23.4% | +330 |
| Ronald Acuna | ATL | Yes | 111 | Mike Minor | 23.0% | +335 |
| J.D. Martinez | BOS | No | 103 | Adrian Sampson | 22.8% | +340 |
| Matt Olson | ATL | No | 113 | Mike Minor | 22.3% | +350 |
| Jorge Soler | MIA | No | 106 | Josiah Gray | 21.7% | +360 |
| Byron Buxton | MIN | No | 98 | Spenser Watkins | 21.6% | +365 |
| Willson Contreras | CHC | Yes | 103 | Rich Hill | 21.2% | +370 |
| Jesus Aguilar | MIA | No | 106 | Josiah Gray | 21.2% | +370 |
| Rafael Devers | BOS | Yes | 96 | Adrian Sampson | 21.1% | +375 |
| Mike Trout | LAA | No | 101 | Cristian Javier | 21.0% | +375 |
| Yordan Alvarez | HOU | Yes | 102 | Michael Lorenzen | 21.0% | +375 |
| Trevor Story | BOS | No | 103 | Adrian Sampson | 20.8% | +380 |
| Eugenio Suarez | SEA | No | 99 | James Kaprielian | 20.7% | +385 |
| Anthony Rizzo | NYY | Yes | 103 | Aaron Civale | 20.6% | +385 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | TOR | No | 101 | Corey Kluber | 20.5% | +390 |
| Shohei Ohtani | LAA | Yes | 102 | Cristian Javier | 20.4% | +390 |
| Trea Turner | LAD | Yes | 107 | Blake Snell | 20.0% | +400 |
| Rowdy Tellez | MIL | Yes | 95 | Roansy Contreras | 19.9% | +400 |
| Kyle Schwarber | PHI | Yes | 106 | Miles Mikolas | 19.9% | +405 |
| Patrick Wisdom | CHC | Yes | 103 | Rich Hill | 19.5% | +415 |
| George Springer | TOR | No | 101 | Corey Kluber | 19.4% | +415 |
| Marcell Ozuna | ATL | Yes | 111 | Mike Minor | 19.3% | +420 |
| Austin Riley | ATL | Yes | 111 | Mike Minor | 19.3% | +420 |
| Josh Donaldson | NYY | No | 99 | Aaron Civale | 19.1% | +425 |
| Anthony Santander | BAL | Yes | 99 | Joe Ryan | 18.9% | +430 |
| Chris Taylor | LAD | Yes | 107 | Blake Snell | 18.8% | +435 |
| Will Smith | LAD | Yes | 107 | Blake Snell | 18.8% | +435 |
| Joc Pederson | SF | Yes | 87 | Lance Lynn | 18.6% | +435 |
| Josh Bell | WSH | Yes | 106 | Trevor Rogers | 18.6% | +435 |
| Nolan Arenado | STL | Yes | 110 | Bailey Falter | 18.5% | +440 |
| Adolis Garcia | TEX | No | 98 | Chris Bassitt | 18.4% | +445 |
| Chad Pinder | OAK | Yes | 99 | Marco Gonzales | 18.3% | +445 |
| Luis Urias | MIL | No | 92 | Roansy Contreras | 18.0% | +455 |
| Jesus Sanchez | MIA | Yes | 104 | Josiah Gray | 17.8% | +465 |
| Taylor Ward | LAA | No | 101 | Cristian Javier | 17.6% | +465 |
| Hunter Dozier | KC | No | 99 | Michael Pineda | 17.4% | +475 |
| Christian Walker | ARI | No | 108 | Antonio Senzatela | 17.3% | +480 |
| Ryan Mountcastle | BAL | No | 98 | Joe Ryan | 17.2% | +480 |
| Bryan Reynolds | PIT | Yes | 95 | Corbin Burnes | 17.1% | +485 |
| Cedric Mullins | BAL | Yes | 99 | Joe Ryan | 17.1% | +485 |
| Tyrone Taylor | MIL | No | 92 | Roansy Contreras | 17.0% | +490 |
| Kyle Tucker | HOU | Yes | 102 | Michael Lorenzen | 16.9% | +495 |
| Bobby Dalbec | BOS | No | 103 | Adrian Sampson | 16.7% | +500 |
| Evan Longoria | SF | No | 90 | Lance Lynn | 16.7% | +500 |
| Pete Alonso | NYM | No | 98 | Glenn Otto | 16.6% | +500 |
| Ji-Man Choi | TB | Yes | 94 | Jose Berrios | 16.4% | +510 |
| Julio Rodriguez | SEA | No | 99 | James Kaprielian | 16.2% | +520 |
| Austin Hays | BAL | No | 98 | Joe Ryan | 16.0% | +525 |
| Randal Grichuk | COL | No | 108 | Merrill Kelly | 16.0% | +525 |
| Oneil Cruz | PIT | Yes | 95 | Corbin Burnes | 15.9% | +530 |
| Joey Votto | CIN | No | 113 | Max Fried | 15.8% | +530 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | TOR | No | 101 | Corey Kluber | 15.8% | +535 |
| Adam Duvall | ATL | Yes | 111 | Mike Minor | 15.8% | +535 |
| Jose Ramirez | CLE | Yes | 103 | Gerrit Cole | 15.7% | +540 |
| Trey Mancini | BAL | No | 98 | Joe Ryan | 15.4% | +550 |
| Corey Seager | TEX | Yes | 95 | Chris Bassitt | 15.3% | +555 |
| Brandon Drury | CIN | Yes | 111 | Max Fried | 15.0% | +565 |
| Charlie Blackmon | COL | Yes | 109 | Merrill Kelly | 15.0% | +565 |
| David Peralta | ARI | Yes | 109 | Antonio Senzatela | 15.0% | +565 |
| Javier Baez | DET | No | 99 | Brad Keller | 14.9% | +570 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | STL | Yes | 110 | Bailey Falter | 14.9% | +570 |
| Juan Soto | WSH | No | 104 | Trevor Rogers | 14.8% | +575 |
| Gio Urshela | MIN | No | 98 | Spenser Watkins | 14.8% | +575 |
| Gary Sanchez | MIN | No | 98 | Spenser Watkins | 14.8% | +575 |
| Darick Hall | PHI | Yes | 106 | Miles Mikolas | 14.7% | +580 |
| Jorge Polanco | MIN | Yes | 99 | Spenser Watkins | 14.5% | +590 |
| Manny Machado | SD | No | 107 | Tony Gonsolin | 14.5% | +590 |
| Maikel Franco | WSH | Yes | 106 | Trevor Rogers | 14.4% | +590 |
| Lane Thomas | WSH | Yes | 106 | Trevor Rogers | 14.4% | +590 |
| Josh Naylor | CLE | Yes | 103 | Gerrit Cole | 14.3% | +600 |
| Ketel Marte | ARI | Yes | 109 | Antonio Senzatela | 14.3% | +600 |
| Starling Marte | NYM | No | 98 | Glenn Otto | 14.1% | +610 |
| Carlos Correa | MIN | No | 98 | Spenser Watkins | 14.1% | +610 |
| Juan Yepez | STL | Yes | 110 | Bailey Falter | 14.1% | +610 |
| Jonah Heim | TEX | Yes | 95 | Chris Bassitt | 14.0% | +615 |
| Matt Chapman | TOR | No | 101 | Corey Kluber | 13.8% | +625 |
| Luke Voit | SD | No | 107 | Tony Gonsolin | 13.8% | +625 |
| Cal Raleigh | SEA | Yes | 96 | James Kaprielian | 13.5% | +640 |
| Jared Walsh | LAA | Yes | 102 | Cristian Javier | 13.5% | +640 |
| Jose Miranda | MIN | No | 98 | Spenser Watkins | 13.5% | +645 |
| Michael Perez | PIT | Yes | 95 | Corbin Burnes | 13.4% | +650 |
| Ian Happ | CHC | Yes | 103 | Rich Hill | 13.4% | +650 |
| Didi Gregorius | PHI | Yes | 106 | Miles Mikolas | 13.2% | +660 |
| Max Kepler | MIN | Yes | 99 | Spenser Watkins | 13.2% | +660 |
| C.J. Cron | COL | No | 108 | Merrill Kelly | 13.1% | +660 |
| Brendan Rodgers | COL | No | 108 | Merrill Kelly | 13.1% | +660 |
| Andrew Vaughn | CHW | No | 90 | Alex Cobb | 13.1% | +660 |
| Jose Altuve | HOU | No | 101 | Michael Lorenzen | 13.1% | +660 |
| Lourdes Gurriel | TOR | No | 101 | Corey Kluber | 13.1% | +660 |
| Nelson Cruz | WSH | Yes | 106 | Trevor Rogers | 12.9% | +675 |
| Daulton Varsho | ARI | Yes | 109 | Antonio Senzatela | 12.7% | +685 |
| Christian Yelich | MIL | Yes | 95 | Roansy Contreras | 12.7% | +685 |
| Nathaniel Lowe | TEX | Yes | 95 | Chris Bassitt | 12.7% | +685 |
| Orlando Arcia | ATL | Yes | 111 | Mike Minor | 12.6% | +695 |
| MJ Melendez | KC | Yes | 94 | Michael Pineda | 12.6% | +695 |
| Curt Casali | SF | No | 90 | Lance Lynn | 12.5% | +700 |
| Dylan Carlson | STL | Yes | 110 | Bailey Falter | 12.5% | +700 |
| Rougned Odor | BAL | Yes | 99 | Joe Ryan | 12.5% | +705 |
| Max Stassi | LAA | No | 101 | Cristian Javier | 12.4% | +705 |
| Bo Bichette | TOR | No | 101 | Corey Kluber | 12.4% | +705 |
| Alejandro Kirk | TOR | No | 101 | Corey Kluber | 12.4% | +705 |
| Chas McCormick | HOU | No | 101 | Michael Lorenzen | 12.4% | +705 |
| Brandon Belt | SF | Yes | 87 | Lance Lynn | 12.4% | +705 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | SF | Yes | 87 | Lance Lynn | 12.4% | +705 |
| Elias Diaz | COL | No | 108 | Merrill Kelly | 12.4% | +705 |
| Franmil Reyes | CLE | No | 99 | Gerrit Cole | 12.2% | +720 |
| Mitch Garver | TEX | No | 98 | Chris Bassitt | 12.1% | +725 |
| Alek Thomas | ARI | Yes | 109 | Antonio Senzatela | 12.0% | +735 |
| Wilmer Flores | SF | No | 90 | Lance Lynn | 11.9% | +740 |
| Luis Robert | CHW | No | 90 | Alex Cobb | 11.9% | +740 |
| Christopher Morel | CHC | Yes | 103 | Rich Hill | 11.8% | +745 |
| Tommy Edman | STL | Yes | 110 | Bailey Falter | 11.7% | +755 |
| Connor Joe | COL | No | 108 | Merrill Kelly | 11.6% | +760 |
| Miguel Rojas | MIA | No | 106 | Josiah Gray | 11.4% | +775 |
| Jorge Mateo | BAL | No | 98 | Joe Ryan | 11.4% | +775 |
| Jace Peterson | MIL | Yes | 95 | Roansy Contreras | 11.3% | +785 |
| Dan Vogelbach | PIT | Yes | 95 | Corbin Burnes | 11.3% | +785 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | SF | Yes | 87 | Lance Lynn | 11.1% | +800 |
| David Bote | CHC | Yes | 103 | Rich Hill | 11.0% | +805 |
| Martin Maldonado | HOU | No | 101 | Michael Lorenzen | 11.0% | +810 |
| Randy Arozarena | TB | No | 101 | Jose Berrios | 11.0% | +810 |
| Jeremy Pena | HOU | No | 101 | Michael Lorenzen | 11.0% | +810 |
| Freddie Freeman | LAD | No | 102 | Blake Snell | 10.9% | +815 |
| Mickey Moniak | PHI | Yes | 106 | Miles Mikolas | 10.9% | +820 |
| Albert Pujols | STL | Yes | 110 | Bailey Falter | 10.8% | +825 |
| Edmundo Sosa | STL | Yes | 110 | Bailey Falter | 10.8% | +825 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | KC | No | 99 | Michael Pineda | 10.8% | +830 |
| DJ LeMahieu | NYY | No | 99 | Aaron Civale | 10.8% | +830 |
| Gleyber Torres | NYY | No | 99 | Aaron Civale | 10.8% | +830 |
| Jarren Duran | BOS | Yes | 96 | Adrian Sampson | 10.7% | +835 |
| Christian Bethancourt | OAK | Yes | 99 | Marco Gonzales | 10.7% | +840 |
| Ramon Laureano | OAK | Yes | 99 | Marco Gonzales | 10.7% | +840 |
| Brandon Nimmo | NYM | Yes | 95 | Glenn Otto | 10.6% | +840 |
| Jose Abreu | CHW | No | 90 | Alex Cobb | 10.6% | +845 |
| Justin Turner | LAD | Yes | 107 | Blake Snell | 10.6% | +845 |
| Michael Harris II | ATL | No | 113 | Mike Minor | 10.5% | +850 |
| Yan Gomes | CHC | Yes | 103 | Rich Hill | 10.2% | +880 |
| Nick Castellanos | PHI | No | 110 | Miles Mikolas | 10.2% | +880 |
| J.T. Realmuto | PHI | No | 110 | Miles Mikolas | 10.2% | +880 |
| Spencer Torkelson | DET | No | 99 | Brad Keller | 10.0% | +895 |
| Tommy Pham | CIN | Yes | 111 | Max Fried | 10.0% | +895 |
| Jesse Winker | SEA | Yes | 96 | James Kaprielian | 10.0% | +900 |
| Abraham Toro | SEA | Yes | 96 | James Kaprielian | 10.0% | +900 |
| Tim Anderson | CHW | No | 90 | Alex Cobb | 9.9% | +910 |
| Kolten Wong | MIL | Yes | 95 | Roansy Contreras | 9.9% | +910 |
| Jack Suwinski | PIT | Yes | 95 | Corbin Burnes | 9.9% | +910 |
| Gavin Sheets | CHW | Yes | 87 | Alex Cobb | 9.8% | +920 |
| Andrew Benintendi | KC | Yes | 94 | Michael Pineda | 9.8% | +920 |
| Victor Reyes | DET | Yes | 94 | Brad Keller | 9.8% | +920 |
| Wander Franco | TB | Yes | 94 | Jose Berrios | 9.8% | +920 |
| Andrew Velazquez | LAA | Yes | 102 | Cristian Javier | 9.7% | +925 |
| Luis Rengifo | LAA | Yes | 102 | Cristian Javier | 9.7% | +925 |
| Trent Grisham | SD | Yes | 102 | Tony Gonsolin | 9.7% | +925 |
| Brandon Marsh | LAA | Yes | 102 | Cristian Javier | 9.7% | +925 |
| Max Muncy | LAD | No | 102 | Blake Snell | 9.6% | +940 |
| Ryan McMahon | COL | Yes | 109 | Merrill Kelly | 9.5% | +955 |
| Alex Kirilloff | MIN | Yes | 99 | Spenser Watkins | 9.5% | +955 |
| Alex Bregman | HOU | No | 101 | Michael Lorenzen | 9.5% | +955 |
| Andrew McCutchen | MIL | No | 92 | Roansy Contreras | 9.4% | +965 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes | PIT | No | 92 | Corbin Burnes | 9.4% | +965 |
| Carlos Santana | SEA | Yes | 96 | James Kaprielian | 9.2% | +985 |
| Carson Kelly | ARI | No | 108 | Antonio Senzatela | 9.2% | +985 |
| Marcus Semien | TEX | No | 98 | Chris Bassitt | 9.2% | +985 |
| Eduardo Escobar | NYM | Yes | 95 | Glenn Otto | 9.1% | +995 |
| Kyle Farmer | CIN | Yes | 111 | Max Fried | 9.1% | +995 |
| Garrett Cooper | MIA | No | 106 | Josiah Gray | 9.1% | +1000 |
| Francisco Mejia | TB | Yes | 94 | Jose Berrios | 9.1% | +1005 |
| Sheldon Neuse | OAK | Yes | 99 | Marco Gonzales | 9.1% | +1005 |
| Cody Bellinger | LAD | No | 102 | Blake Snell | 9.0% | +1015 |
| Eric Hosmer | SD | Yes | 102 | Tony Gonsolin | 8.9% | +1020 |
| Trayce Thompson | LAD | Yes | 107 | Blake Snell | 8.8% | +1030 |
| Adley Rutschman | BAL | Yes | 99 | Joe Ryan | 8.7% | +1050 |
| Isaac Paredes | TB | No | 101 | Jose Berrios | 8.7% | +1050 |
| Whit Merrifield | KC | No | 99 | Michael Pineda | 8.5% | +1070 |
| Thairo Estrada | SF | No | 90 | Lance Lynn | 8.5% | +1070 |
| Buddy Kennedy | ARI | No | 108 | Antonio Senzatela | 8.4% | +1090 |
| Nicky Lopez | KC | Yes | 94 | Michael Pineda | 8.3% | +1105 |
| Taylor Walls | TB | Yes | 94 | Jose Berrios | 8.3% | +1105 |
| Brian Anderson | MIA | No | 106 | Josiah Gray | 8.2% | +1115 |
| Albert Almora Jr. | CIN | Yes | 111 | Max Fried | 8.2% | +1120 |
| Andres Gimenez | CLE | Yes | 103 | Gerrit Cole | 8.2% | +1120 |
| Nomar Mazara | SD | Yes | 102 | Tony Gonsolin | 8.1% | +1130 |
| Yandy Diaz | TB | No | 101 | Jose Berrios | 7.9% | +1165 |
| Santiago Espinal | TOR | No | 101 | Corey Kluber | 7.9% | +1165 |
| A.J. Pollock | CHW | No | 90 | Alex Cobb | 7.8% | +1180 |
| Michael Taylor | KC | No | 99 | Michael Pineda | 7.7% | +1190 |
| Luke Maile | CLE | No | 99 | Gerrit Cole | 7.7% | +1190 |
| Myles Straw | CLE | No | 99 | Gerrit Cole | 7.7% | +1190 |
| Oscar Gonzalez | CLE | No | 99 | Gerrit Cole | 7.7% | +1190 |
| Yoan Moncada | CHW | Yes | 87 | Alex Cobb | 7.7% | +1190 |
| Alex Verdugo | BOS | Yes | 96 | Adrian Sampson | 7.7% | +1200 |
| Sam Haggerty | SEA | Yes | 96 | James Kaprielian | 7.7% | +1200 |
| Kole Calhoun | TEX | Yes | 95 | Chris Bassitt | 7.6% | +1210 |
| Jeff McNeil | NYM | Yes | 95 | Glenn Otto | 7.6% | +1210 |
| Hoy Park | PIT | Yes | 95 | Corbin Burnes | 7.6% | +1210 |
| Cavan Biggio | TOR | Yes | 94 | Corey Kluber | 7.5% | +1225 |
| Avisail Garcia | MIA | No | 106 | Josiah Gray | 7.4% | +1250 |
| Jake Cronenworth | SD | Yes | 102 | Tony Gonsolin | 7.3% | +1270 |
| Donovan Solano | CIN | Yes | 111 | Max Fried | 7.3% | +1275 |
| Luis Arraez | MIN | Yes | 99 | Spenser Watkins | 7.1% | +1310 |
| Yulieski Gurriel | HOU | No | 101 | Michael Lorenzen | 7.1% | +1310 |
| David MacKinnon | LAA | No | 101 | Cristian Javier | 7.1% | +1310 |
| Tommy La Stella | SF | Yes | 87 | Lance Lynn | 7.0% | +1325 |
| Cesar Hernandez | WSH | Yes | 106 | Trevor Rogers | 7.0% | +1335 |
| Keibert Ruiz | WSH | Yes | 106 | Trevor Rogers | 7.0% | +1335 |
| Josh Rojas | ARI | Yes | 109 | Antonio Senzatela | 6.9% | +1355 |
| Josh VanMeter | PIT | Yes | 95 | Corbin Burnes | 6.8% | +1365 |
| Leody Taveras | TEX | Yes | 95 | Chris Bassitt | 6.8% | +1365 |
| Bligh Madris | PIT | Yes | 95 | Corbin Burnes | 6.8% | +1365 |
| Nico Hoerner | CHC | Yes | 103 | Rich Hill | 6.8% | +1375 |
| P.J. Higgins | CHC | Yes | 103 | Rich Hill | 6.8% | +1375 |
| Tucker Barnhart | DET | Yes | 94 | Brad Keller | 6.8% | +1375 |
| Kris Bryant | COL | No | 108 | Merrill Kelly | 6.7% | +1400 |
| Jacob Stallings | MIA | No | 106 | Josiah Gray | 6.5% | +1430 |
| Jurickson Profar | SD | Yes | 102 | Tony Gonsolin | 6.5% | +1450 |
| Brendan Donovan | STL | No | 106 | Bailey Falter | 6.4% | +1460 |
| Jonathan Arauz | BAL | Yes | 99 | Joe Ryan | 6.3% | +1495 |
| Harold Ramirez | TB | No | 101 | Jose Berrios | 6.3% | +1500 |
