MLB Betting: Home Run, Strikeout, and Run Total Projections for Friday 7/8/22
Just how likely is a homer from a certain player tonight? How many runs will Team X score? And can the pitcher you're eying go over his strikeout prop?
To find out, I leveraged numberFire's batter and pitcher projections plus team implied totals to try to answer those questions.
Here are today's results to help us navigate daily fantasy baseball and MLB betting opportunities at MLB odds.
(Please note that these projections are subject to change throughout the day and as lineups are confirmed. To see the most current projections, check out our projections pages.)
Team Run Total Projections
| Team | Opp SP | O/U | Implied Total |
5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL | Erick Fedde | 9.0 | 5.51 | 47.3% | 31.6% | 19.2% | 10.6% | 5.4% |
| NYY | Connor Seabold | 9.5 | 5.10 | 40.2% | 25.3% | 14.4% | 7.5% | 3.6% |
| LAD | Keegan Thompson | 8.5 | 4.95 | 37.5% | 23.1% | 12.8% | 6.5% | 3.0% |
| ARI | Chad Kuhl | 8.5 | 4.71 | 33.3% | 19.7% | 10.5% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| MIL | JT Brubaker | 8.0 | 4.68 | 32.8% | 19.3% | 10.2% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| KC | Aaron Civale | 9.0 | 4.65 | 32.3% | 18.9% | 9.9% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| BAL | Reid Detmers | 8.5 | 4.52 | 30.0% | 17.2% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| CHW | Tarik Skubal | 8.0 | 4.51 | 29.9% | 17.0% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| TB | Luis Castillo | 8.0 | 4.44 | 28.7% | 16.1% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| BOS | Nestor Cortes | 9.5 | 4.40 | 28.0% | 15.6% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| TOR | George Kirby | 8.5 | 4.37 | 27.5% | 15.3% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| CLE | Brady Singer | 9.0 | 4.35 | 27.2% | 15.0% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| HOU | Paul Blackburn | 7.5 | 4.25 | 25.5% | 13.8% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| NYM | Pablo Lopez | 7.5 | 4.13 | 23.6% | 12.5% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| SEA | Ross Stripling | 8.5 | 4.13 | 23.6% | 12.5% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| SD | Sam Long | 7.5 | 4.09 | 22.9% | 12.0% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| MIN | Jon Gray | 8.0 | 4.06 | 22.4% | 11.7% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| LAA | Tyler Wells | 8.5 | 3.98 | 21.2% | 10.9% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| TEX | Sonny Gray | 8.0 | 3.94 | 20.6% | 10.5% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| PHI | Adam Wainwright | 7.5 | 3.87 | 19.5% | 9.8% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| COL | Zac Gallen | 8.5 | 3.79 | 18.3% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| STL | Zack Wheeler | 7.5 | 3.63 | 16.0% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| CIN | Shane McClanahan | 8.0 | 3.56 | 15.0% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| CHC | Tyler Anderson | 8.5 | 3.55 | 14.9% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| DET | Lucas Giolito | 8.0 | 3.49 | 14.1% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| WSH | Charlie Morton | 9.0 | 3.49 | 14.1% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| SF | Blake Snell | 7.5 | 3.41 | 13.1% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| MIA | Chris Bassitt | 7.5 | 3.37 | 12.6% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| PIT | Aaron Ashby | 8.0 | 3.32 | 12.0% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| OAK | Jose Urquidy | 7.5 | 3.25 | 11.1% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
Pitcher Strikeout Projections
| Pitcher | Opp | K Proj |
3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane McClanahan | CIN | 7.1 | 92.5% | 83.9% | 71.7% | 57.1% | 42.2% | 28.9% | 18.4% |
| Charlie Morton | WSH | 7.0 | 91.7% | 82.4% | 69.5% | 54.6% | 39.7% | 26.7% | 16.6% |
| Chris Bassitt | MIA | 6.9 | 91.2% | 81.6% | 68.4% | 53.2% | 38.3% | 25.5% | 15.8% |
| Zack Wheeler | STL | 6.6 | 89.3% | 78.4% | 64.1% | 48.4% | 33.8% | 21.7% | 12.9% |
| Lucas Giolito | DET | 6.6 | 89.2% | 78.3% | 64.0% | 48.3% | 33.6% | 21.6% | 12.8% |
| Jon Gray | MIN | 6.1 | 85.7% | 72.8% | 57.0% | 41.0% | 27.0% | 16.3% | 9.1% |
| Blake Snell | SF | 6.0 | 85.2% | 72.0% | 56.1% | 40.0% | 26.2% | 15.7% | 8.7% |
| Aaron Ashby | PIT | 6.0 | 85.1% | 71.9% | 55.9% | 39.9% | 26.0% | 15.6% | 8.6% |
| Luis Castillo | TB | 5.9 | 84.2% | 70.5% | 54.3% | 38.2% | 24.6% | 14.6% | 7.9% |
| Nestor Cortes | BOS | 5.6 | 80.7% | 65.5% | 48.5% | 32.7% | 20.0% | 11.3% | 5.8% |
| Tyler Anderson | CHC | 5.5 | 80.3% | 64.9% | 47.8% | 32.0% | 19.5% | 10.9% | 5.6% |
| Tarik Skubal | CHW | 5.5 | 79.9% | 64.4% | 47.3% | 31.6% | 19.2% | 10.6% | 5.4% |
| Pablo Lopez | NYM | 5.4 | 78.7% | 62.7% | 45.4% | 29.8% | 17.8% | 9.7% | 4.9% |
| Adam Wainwright | PHI | 5.4 | 78.3% | 62.2% | 44.9% | 29.4% | 17.5% | 9.5% | 4.7% |
| Zac Gallen | COL | 5.4 | 78.1% | 61.9% | 44.5% | 29.1% | 17.2% | 9.3% | 4.6% |
| JT Brubaker | MIL | 5.2 | 75.7% | 58.7% | 41.2% | 26.2% | 15.1% | 7.9% | 3.8% |
| Sonny Gray | TEX | 4.9 | 72.5% | 54.7% | 37.2% | 22.8% | 12.6% | 6.4% | 2.9% |
| Brady Singer | CLE | 4.8 | 70.3% | 52.0% | 34.6% | 20.6% | 11.1% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| George Kirby | TOR | 4.7 | 68.6% | 50.0% | 32.6% | 19.1% | 10.1% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Jose Urquidy | OAK | 4.6 | 67.4% | 48.7% | 31.4% | 18.2% | 9.5% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| Aaron Civale | KC | 4.6 | 66.8% | 47.9% | 30.7% | 17.7% | 9.2% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Paul Blackburn | HOU | 4.4 | 63.4% | 44.1% | 27.3% | 15.1% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Chad Kuhl | ARI | 4.3 | 61.9% | 42.6% | 26.0% | 14.2% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Connor Seabold | NYY | 3.9 | 54.5% | 35.0% | 19.8% | 10.0% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Tyler Wells | LAA | 3.8 | 52.9% | 33.4% | 18.6% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Keegan Thompson | LAD | 3.8 | 52.7% | 33.2% | 18.4% | 9.1% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Reid Detmers | BAL | 3.7 | 50.6% | 31.3% | 17.0% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Erick Fedde | ATL | 3.7 | 50.2% | 30.9% | 16.7% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Ross Stripling | SEA | 3.7 | 49.7% | 30.5% | 16.4% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Sam Long | SD | 2.2 | 18.7% | 7.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Daily Batter Home Run Projections
You can view all MLB game and prop odds at MLB odds.
Notes: The "Platoon?" column refers to whether a batter is starting the game against a pitcher of the opposite handedness. "Home Run PF" refers to home run park factor for the batter's handedness; data from FanGraphs. "xHR Odds" indicate what a player's home run odds should be given the home run probability; this helps seek value.
| Batter | Team | Platoon? | HR PF |
Opp Pitcher |
HR Prob% |
xHR Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | NYY | No | 99 | Connor Seabold | 29.3% | +240 |
| Ryan Mountcastle | BAL | Yes | 112 | Reid Detmers | 24.7% | +305 |
| Rowdy Tellez | MIL | Yes | 101 | JT Brubaker | 24.3% | +310 |
| Jared Walsh | LAA | Yes | 110 | Tyler Wells | 24.2% | +315 |
| Mike Trout | LAA | No | 112 | Tyler Wells | 23.7% | +325 |
| Willy Adames | MIL | No | 103 | JT Brubaker | 23.3% | +330 |
| Austin Hays | BAL | Yes | 112 | Reid Detmers | 23.1% | +335 |
| Yordan Alvarez | HOU | Yes | 92 | Paul Blackburn | 22.4% | +345 |
| Matt Olson | ATL | Yes | 100 | Erick Fedde | 22.2% | +350 |
| Adolis Garcia | TEX | No | 95 | Sonny Gray | 22.0% | +355 |
| Isaac Paredes | TB | No | 111 | Luis Castillo | 21.9% | +355 |
| Mookie Betts | LAD | No | 107 | Keegan Thompson | 21.9% | +355 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | TOR | No | 99 | George Kirby | 21.7% | +360 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | TOR | No | 99 | George Kirby | 21.7% | +360 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | NYY | No | 99 | Connor Seabold | 21.7% | +360 |
| Anthony Rizzo | NYY | Yes | 93 | Connor Seabold | 21.6% | +365 |
| Joc Pederson | SF | No | 95 | Blake Snell | 21.0% | +375 |
| Taylor Ward | LAA | No | 112 | Tyler Wells | 20.3% | +390 |
| Bo Bichette | TOR | No | 99 | George Kirby | 20.2% | +395 |
| Anthony Santander | BAL | Yes | 112 | Reid Detmers | 20.1% | +400 |
| Cal Raleigh | SEA | Yes | 96 | Ross Stripling | 20.1% | +400 |
| Jose Ramirez | CLE | Yes | 92 | Brady Singer | 20.0% | +400 |
| Travis d'Arnaud | ATL | No | 97 | Erick Fedde | 19.9% | +405 |
| Ronald Acuna | ATL | No | 97 | Erick Fedde | 19.9% | +405 |
| Austin Riley | ATL | No | 97 | Erick Fedde | 19.9% | +405 |
| Shohei Ohtani | LAA | Yes | 110 | Tyler Wells | 19.8% | +405 |
| Corey Seager | TEX | Yes | 101 | Sonny Gray | 19.7% | +405 |
| Darick Hall | PHI | Yes | 97 | Adam Wainwright | 19.7% | +410 |
| Dansby Swanson | ATL | No | 97 | Erick Fedde | 19.3% | +415 |
| Max Muncy | LAD | Yes | 102 | Keegan Thompson | 19.3% | +420 |
| Will Smith | LAD | No | 107 | Keegan Thompson | 19.1% | +425 |
| Cedric Mullins | BAL | Yes | 112 | Reid Detmers | 18.7% | +435 |
| George Springer | TOR | No | 99 | George Kirby | 18.5% | +440 |
| Jesus Aguilar | MIA | No | 98 | Chris Bassitt | 18.4% | +445 |
| Trevor Story | BOS | Yes | 99 | Nestor Cortes | 18.3% | +445 |
| Kyle Schwarber | PHI | Yes | 97 | Adam Wainwright | 18.0% | +455 |
| Max Kepler | MIN | Yes | 101 | Jon Gray | 18.0% | +455 |
| Luis Urias | MIL | No | 103 | JT Brubaker | 17.9% | +460 |
| Pete Alonso | NYM | No | 98 | Pablo Lopez | 17.8% | +460 |
| Alek Thomas | ARI | Yes | 99 | Chad Kuhl | 17.7% | +465 |
| J.D. Martinez | BOS | Yes | 99 | Nestor Cortes | 17.7% | +465 |
| Christian Walker | ARI | No | 93 | Chad Kuhl | 17.7% | +465 |
| Julio Rodriguez | SEA | No | 99 | Ross Stripling | 17.4% | +475 |
| Ramon Urias | BAL | Yes | 112 | Reid Detmers | 17.4% | +475 |
| Josh Bell | WSH | Yes | 100 | Charlie Morton | 17.2% | +480 |
| Bryan Reynolds | PIT | Yes | 103 | Aaron Ashby | 16.9% | +490 |
| Byron Buxton | MIN | No | 95 | Jon Gray | 16.8% | +495 |
| Didi Gregorius | PHI | Yes | 97 | Adam Wainwright | 16.8% | +495 |
| Josh Donaldson | NYY | No | 99 | Connor Seabold | 16.8% | +495 |
| Willson Contreras | CHC | Yes | 107 | Tyler Anderson | 16.7% | +500 |
| Kole Calhoun | TEX | Yes | 101 | Sonny Gray | 16.7% | +500 |
| Josh Naylor | CLE | Yes | 92 | Brady Singer | 16.7% | +500 |
| Luke Voit | SD | Yes | 96 | Sam Long | 16.6% | +500 |
| Jesus Sanchez | MIA | Yes | 95 | Chris Bassitt | 16.5% | +505 |
| Marcell Ozuna | ATL | No | 97 | Erick Fedde | 16.5% | +505 |
| Franmil Reyes | CLE | No | 92 | Brady Singer | 16.4% | +510 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | KC | No | 92 | Aaron Civale | 16.4% | +510 |
| Cody Bellinger | LAD | Yes | 102 | Keegan Thompson | 16.2% | +515 |
| Ji-Man Choi | TB | Yes | 113 | Luis Castillo | 16.2% | +520 |
| Matt Chapman | TOR | No | 99 | George Kirby | 16.2% | +520 |
| Ian Happ | CHC | Yes | 107 | Tyler Anderson | 16.0% | +525 |
| Rhys Hoskins | PHI | No | 91 | Adam Wainwright | 15.7% | +540 |
| Eugenio Suarez | SEA | No | 99 | Ross Stripling | 15.5% | +545 |
| Sean Murphy | OAK | No | 94 | Jose Urquidy | 15.5% | +545 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | TB | Yes | 113 | Luis Castillo | 15.4% | +545 |
| C.J. Cron | COL | No | 93 | Zac Gallen | 15.4% | +550 |
| Austin Slater | SF | Yes | 96 | Blake Snell | 15.3% | +550 |
| Patrick Wisdom | CHC | Yes | 107 | Tyler Anderson | 15.3% | +555 |
| Seiya Suzuki | CHC | Yes | 107 | Tyler Anderson | 15.3% | +555 |
| Tucker Barnhart | DET | Yes | 111 | Lucas Giolito | 15.2% | +555 |
| Charlie Blackmon | COL | Yes | 99 | Zac Gallen | 15.2% | +560 |
| Max Stassi | LAA | No | 112 | Tyler Wells | 15.0% | +565 |
| Gleyber Torres | NYY | No | 99 | Connor Seabold | 14.9% | +570 |
| Jose Altuve | HOU | No | 94 | Paul Blackburn | 14.9% | +570 |
| Diego Castillo | PIT | Yes | 103 | Aaron Ashby | 14.8% | +575 |
| Jorge Polanco | MIN | Yes | 101 | Jon Gray | 14.8% | +575 |
| Jonah Heim | TEX | Yes | 101 | Sonny Gray | 14.8% | +575 |
| Wilmer Flores | SF | Yes | 96 | Blake Snell | 14.7% | +580 |
| Nelson Cruz | WSH | No | 97 | Charlie Morton | 14.6% | +585 |
| Daulton Varsho | ARI | Yes | 99 | Chad Kuhl | 14.5% | +590 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | STL | No | 91 | Zack Wheeler | 14.5% | +590 |
| Juan Yepez | STL | No | 91 | Zack Wheeler | 14.5% | +590 |
| Andrew Velazquez | LAA | Yes | 110 | Tyler Wells | 14.4% | +595 |
| Jorge Mateo | BAL | Yes | 112 | Reid Detmers | 14.3% | +600 |
| Seth Brown | OAK | Yes | 92 | Jose Urquidy | 14.3% | +600 |
| Jose Trevino | NYY | No | 99 | Connor Seabold | 14.2% | +600 |
| Brandon Drury | CIN | Yes | 111 | Shane McClanahan | 14.2% | +605 |
| Freddie Freeman | LAD | Yes | 102 | Keegan Thompson | 14.2% | +605 |
| Elias Diaz | COL | No | 93 | Zac Gallen | 14.1% | +605 |
| Brendan Rodgers | COL | No | 93 | Zac Gallen | 14.1% | +605 |
| Michael Chavis | PIT | Yes | 103 | Aaron Ashby | 14.1% | +610 |
| Hunter Dozier | KC | No | 92 | Aaron Civale | 14.0% | +615 |
| Manny Machado | SD | Yes | 96 | Sam Long | 14.0% | +615 |
| Wander Franco | TB | Yes | 113 | Luis Castillo | 13.9% | +620 |
| Justin Turner | LAD | No | 107 | Keegan Thompson | 13.8% | +625 |
| Marcus Semien | TEX | No | 95 | Sonny Gray | 13.8% | +625 |
| Jose Abreu | CHW | Yes | 106 | Tarik Skubal | 13.7% | +630 |
| MJ Melendez | KC | Yes | 92 | Aaron Civale | 13.7% | +630 |
| Rougned Odor | BAL | No | 110 | Reid Detmers | 13.6% | +635 |
| Tommy Pham | CIN | Yes | 111 | Shane McClanahan | 13.4% | +645 |
| Brad Miller | TEX | Yes | 101 | Sonny Gray | 13.4% | +645 |
| Nathaniel Lowe | TEX | Yes | 101 | Sonny Gray | 13.4% | +645 |
| Eduardo Escobar | NYM | Yes | 95 | Pablo Lopez | 13.4% | +650 |
| Darin Ruf | SF | Yes | 96 | Blake Snell | 13.3% | +650 |
| Dan Vogelbach | PIT | No | 101 | Aaron Ashby | 13.3% | +655 |
| Trea Turner | LAD | No | 107 | Keegan Thompson | 13.0% | +665 |
| Kyle Tucker | HOU | Yes | 92 | Paul Blackburn | 13.0% | +670 |
| Jeremy Pena | HOU | No | 94 | Paul Blackburn | 13.0% | +670 |
| Andrew Vaughn | CHW | Yes | 106 | Tarik Skubal | 12.9% | +675 |
| Lourdes Gurriel | TOR | No | 99 | George Kirby | 12.9% | +675 |
| Francisco Lindor | NYM | Yes | 95 | Pablo Lopez | 12.7% | +685 |
| Brandon Nimmo | NYM | Yes | 95 | Pablo Lopez | 12.7% | +685 |
| Randy Arozarena | TB | No | 111 | Luis Castillo | 12.7% | +690 |
| Kolten Wong | MIL | Yes | 101 | JT Brubaker | 12.7% | +690 |
| Nolan Arenado | STL | No | 91 | Zack Wheeler | 12.6% | +690 |
| Joey Votto | CIN | No | 113 | Shane McClanahan | 12.6% | +690 |
| Juan Soto | WSH | Yes | 100 | Charlie Morton | 12.6% | +695 |
| Carlos Correa | MIN | No | 95 | Jon Gray | 12.5% | +705 |
| DJ LeMahieu | NYY | No | 99 | Connor Seabold | 12.2% | +720 |
| Xander Bogaerts | BOS | Yes | 99 | Nestor Cortes | 12.2% | +720 |
| Maikel Franco | WSH | No | 97 | Charlie Morton | 12.0% | +735 |
| Christian Yelich | MIL | Yes | 101 | JT Brubaker | 11.9% | +735 |
| Jace Peterson | MIL | Yes | 101 | JT Brubaker | 11.9% | +735 |
| Omar Narvaez | MIL | Yes | 101 | JT Brubaker | 11.9% | +735 |
| Adley Rutschman | BAL | Yes | 112 | Reid Detmers | 11.9% | +745 |
| Michael Harris II | ATL | Yes | 100 | Erick Fedde | 11.8% | +745 |
| Gary Sanchez | MIN | No | 95 | Jon Gray | 11.8% | +750 |
| David Peralta | ARI | Yes | 99 | Chad Kuhl | 11.7% | +750 |
| Andres Gimenez | CLE | Yes | 92 | Brady Singer | 11.7% | +755 |
| Martin Maldonado | HOU | No | 94 | Paul Blackburn | 11.7% | +755 |
| Ramon Laureano | OAK | No | 94 | Jose Urquidy | 11.7% | +755 |
| Chas McCormick | HOU | No | 94 | Paul Blackburn | 11.7% | +755 |
| Connor Joe | COL | No | 93 | Zac Gallen | 11.6% | +765 |
| Alejandro Kirk | TOR | No | 99 | George Kirby | 11.5% | +770 |
| Jonathan Schoop | DET | No | 106 | Lucas Giolito | 11.4% | +775 |
| Seby Zavala | CHW | Yes | 106 | Tarik Skubal | 11.3% | +785 |
| Jonathan Villar | LAA | Yes | 110 | Tyler Wells | 11.2% | +790 |
| Trey Mancini | BAL | Yes | 112 | Reid Detmers | 11.0% | +810 |
| Alex Bregman | HOU | No | 94 | Paul Blackburn | 11.0% | +810 |
| Oneil Cruz | PIT | No | 101 | Aaron Ashby | 10.8% | +825 |
| Odubel Herrera | PHI | Yes | 97 | Adam Wainwright | 10.8% | +825 |
| Dylan Moore | SEA | No | 99 | Ross Stripling | 10.8% | +830 |
| Abraham Toro | SEA | Yes | 96 | Ross Stripling | 10.7% | +835 |
| Starling Marte | NYM | No | 98 | Pablo Lopez | 10.7% | +835 |
| Bobby Dalbec | BOS | Yes | 99 | Nestor Cortes | 10.7% | +840 |
| Nico Hoerner | CHC | Yes | 107 | Tyler Anderson | 10.6% | +845 |
| Jake Lamb | LAD | Yes | 102 | Keegan Thompson | 10.5% | +850 |
| Luis Rengifo | LAA | Yes | 110 | Tyler Wells | 10.4% | +860 |
| Gio Urshela | MIN | No | 95 | Jon Gray | 10.4% | +860 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | SF | No | 95 | Blake Snell | 10.3% | +875 |
| Trent Grisham | SD | No | 95 | Sam Long | 10.3% | +875 |
| Ryan McMahon | COL | Yes | 99 | Zac Gallen | 10.3% | +875 |
| Whit Merrifield | KC | No | 92 | Aaron Civale | 10.1% | +890 |
| Edward Olivares | KC | No | 92 | Aaron Civale | 10.1% | +890 |
| Albert Almora Jr. | CIN | Yes | 111 | Shane McClanahan | 10.0% | +895 |
| Nick Castellanos | PHI | No | 91 | Adam Wainwright | 10.0% | +900 |
| Javier Baez | DET | No | 106 | Lucas Giolito | 9.9% | +910 |
| Christian Vazquez | BOS | Yes | 99 | Nestor Cortes | 9.9% | +915 |
| David Bote | CHC | Yes | 107 | Tyler Anderson | 9.7% | +930 |
| Jeimer Candelario | DET | Yes | 111 | Lucas Giolito | 9.7% | +935 |
| Josh Harrison | CHW | Yes | 106 | Tarik Skubal | 9.6% | +940 |
| Yoan Moncada | CHW | Yes | 106 | Tarik Skubal | 9.6% | +940 |
| Buddy Kennedy | ARI | No | 93 | Chad Kuhl | 9.5% | +955 |
| Ketel Marte | ARI | Yes | 99 | Chad Kuhl | 9.5% | +955 |
| Avisail Garcia | MIA | No | 98 | Chris Bassitt | 9.2% | +985 |
| Garrett Cooper | MIA | No | 98 | Chris Bassitt | 9.2% | +985 |
| Brian Anderson | MIA | No | 98 | Chris Bassitt | 9.2% | +985 |
| Lane Thomas | WSH | No | 97 | Charlie Morton | 9.1% | +995 |
| Robert Refsnyder | BOS | Yes | 99 | Nestor Cortes | 9.1% | +1005 |
| Jose Miranda | MIN | No | 95 | Jon Gray | 9.0% | +1015 |
| Nicky Lopez | KC | Yes | 92 | Aaron Civale | 8.9% | +1025 |
| Luis Arraez | MIN | Yes | 101 | Jon Gray | 8.9% | +1025 |
| Alex Kirilloff | MIN | Yes | 101 | Jon Gray | 8.9% | +1025 |
| Andrew McCutchen | MIL | No | 103 | JT Brubaker | 8.8% | +1030 |
| Jose Azocar | SD | Yes | 96 | Sam Long | 8.8% | +1035 |
| Carson Kelly | ARI | No | 93 | Chad Kuhl | 8.8% | +1040 |
| Riley Greene | DET | Yes | 111 | Lucas Giolito | 8.8% | +1040 |
| A.J. Pollock | CHW | Yes | 106 | Tarik Skubal | 8.8% | +1040 |
| Luis Robert | CHW | Yes | 106 | Tarik Skubal | 8.8% | +1040 |
| Brandon Marsh | LAA | Yes | 110 | Tyler Wells | 8.7% | +1050 |
| Michael Taylor | KC | No | 92 | Aaron Civale | 8.7% | +1050 |
| Bryson Stott | PHI | Yes | 97 | Adam Wainwright | 8.6% | +1070 |
| Nolan Gorman | STL | Yes | 97 | Zack Wheeler | 8.6% | +1070 |
| Conner Capel | STL | Yes | 97 | Zack Wheeler | 8.6% | +1070 |
| Miguel Rojas | MIA | No | 98 | Chris Bassitt | 8.5% | +1085 |
| Mark Canha | NYM | No | 98 | Pablo Lopez | 8.5% | +1085 |
| Michael Perez | PIT | No | 101 | Aaron Ashby | 8.2% | +1120 |
| Stephen Piscotty | OAK | No | 94 | Jose Urquidy | 8.1% | +1130 |
| Yulieski Gurriel | HOU | No | 94 | Paul Blackburn | 8.1% | +1130 |
| Jonathan Davis | MIL | No | 103 | JT Brubaker | 8.0% | +1145 |
| Jurickson Profar | SD | Yes | 96 | Sam Long | 8.0% | +1150 |
| Yan Gomes | CHC | Yes | 107 | Tyler Anderson | 7.9% | +1160 |
| Christopher Morel | CHC | Yes | 107 | Tyler Anderson | 7.9% | +1160 |
| Robbie Grossman | DET | Yes | 111 | Lucas Giolito | 7.9% | +1165 |
| Tim Anderson | CHW | Yes | 106 | Tarik Skubal | 7.9% | +1170 |
| Santiago Espinal | TOR | No | 99 | George Kirby | 7.7% | +1190 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | NYY | No | 99 | Connor Seabold | 7.7% | +1190 |
| Harold Ramirez | TB | No | 111 | Luis Castillo | 7.7% | +1195 |
| J.P. Crawford | SEA | Yes | 96 | Ross Stripling | 7.7% | +1200 |
| Cavan Biggio | TOR | Yes | 96 | George Kirby | 7.7% | +1200 |
