MLB Betting: Home Run, Strikeout, and Run Total Projections for Wednesday 8/10/22
Just how likely is a homer from a certain player tonight? How many runs will Team X score? And can the pitcher you're eying go over his strikeout prop?
To find out, I leveraged numberFire's batter and pitcher projections plus team implied totals to try to answer those questions.
Here are today's results to help us navigate daily fantasy baseball and MLB betting opportunities at MLB odds.
(Please note that these projections are subject to change throughout the day and as lineups are confirmed. To see the most current projections, check out our projections pages.)
Team Run Total Projections
| Team | Opp SP | O/U | Implied Total |
5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | Kyle Freeland | 11.5 | 6.31 | 60.3% | 44.3% | 30.0% | 18.6% | 10.7% |
| NYM | T.J. Zeuch | 8.5 | 5.30 | 43.7% | 28.3% | 16.7% | 8.9% | 4.4% |
| COL | Jose Quintana | 11.5 | 5.19 | 41.7% | 26.6% | 15.4% | 8.1% | 3.9% |
| ATL | Nick Pivetta | 9.5 | 5.05 | 39.3% | 24.5% | 13.9% | 7.1% | 3.4% |
| TOR | Dean Kremer | 9.0 | 4.89 | 36.5% | 22.2% | 12.2% | 6.1% | 2.8% |
| CHW | Kris Bubic | 9.0 | 4.79 | 34.7% | 20.8% | 11.2% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| CHC | Josiah Gray | 8.5 | 4.69 | 33.0% | 19.4% | 10.3% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| HOU | Glenn Otto | 7.5 | 4.69 | 33.0% | 19.4% | 10.3% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| SD | Jakob Junis | 8.5 | 4.69 | 33.0% | 19.4% | 10.3% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| BOS | Kyle Wright | 9.5 | 4.45 | 28.9% | 16.3% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| CLE | Drew Hutchison | 8.0 | 4.40 | 28.0% | 15.6% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| ARI | Mitch Keller | 8.0 | 4.39 | 27.8% | 15.5% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| KC | Johnny Cueto | 9.0 | 4.21 | 24.8% | 13.4% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| MIL | Jeffrey Springs | 7.5 | 4.13 | 23.6% | 12.5% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| BAL | Jose Berrios | 9.0 | 4.11 | 23.2% | 12.2% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| NYY | Robbie Ray | 7.5 | 3.97 | 21.0% | 10.8% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| SF | Sean Manaea | 8.5 | 3.81 | 18.6% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| WSH | Justin Steele | 8.5 | 3.81 | 18.6% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| PHI | Sandy Alcantara | 7.0 | 3.66 | 16.4% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| PIT | Madison Bumgarner | 8.0 | 3.61 | 15.7% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| DET | Aaron Civale | 8.0 | 3.60 | 15.6% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| SEA | Nestor Cortes | 7.5 | 3.53 | 14.6% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| TB | Brandon Woodruff | 7.5 | 3.37 | 12.6% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| MIA | Noah Syndergaard | 7.0 | 3.34 | 12.2% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| CIN | Taijuan Walker | 8.5 | 3.20 | 10.5% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| TEX | Justin Verlander | 7.5 | 2.81 | 6.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Pitcher Strikeout Projections
| Pitcher | Opp | K Proj |
3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Woodruff | TB | 6.7 | 89.9% | 79.5% | 65.5% | 50.0% | 35.2% | 22.9% | 13.8% |
| Justin Verlander | TEX | 6.6 | 89.4% | 78.5% | 64.2% | 48.6% | 33.9% | 21.8% | 13.0% |
| Robbie Ray | NYY | 6.5 | 89.0% | 78.0% | 63.5% | 47.8% | 33.2% | 21.2% | 12.5% |
| Sandy Alcantara | PHI | 6.3 | 87.0% | 74.7% | 59.4% | 43.4% | 29.1% | 18.0% | 10.2% |
| Kyle Wright | BOS | 6.0 | 85.2% | 72.0% | 56.1% | 40.0% | 26.2% | 15.7% | 8.7% |
| Nestor Cortes | SEA | 5.8 | 82.6% | 68.2% | 51.5% | 35.5% | 22.4% | 12.9% | 6.8% |
| Sean Manaea | SF | 5.7 | 82.0% | 67.3% | 50.5% | 34.6% | 21.6% | 12.3% | 6.5% |
| Jose Berrios | BAL | 5.7 | 81.5% | 66.5% | 49.7% | 33.8% | 20.9% | 11.9% | 6.2% |
| Nick Pivetta | ATL | 5.5 | 79.4% | 63.6% | 46.4% | 30.8% | 18.6% | 10.2% | 5.2% |
| Jeffrey Springs | MIL | 5.2 | 76.1% | 59.2% | 41.7% | 26.6% | 15.4% | 8.1% | 3.9% |
| Justin Steele | WSH | 5.2 | 75.9% | 59.1% | 41.6% | 26.5% | 15.3% | 8.0% | 3.9% |
| Madison Bumgarner | PIT | 5.1 | 75.1% | 58.0% | 40.5% | 25.6% | 14.6% | 7.6% | 3.6% |
| Josiah Gray | CHC | 5.1 | 74.7% | 57.5% | 40.0% | 25.1% | 14.3% | 7.4% | 3.5% |
| Taijuan Walker | CIN | 4.8 | 71.2% | 53.1% | 35.6% | 21.5% | 11.7% | 5.8% | 2.6% |
| Noah Syndergaard | MIA | 4.8 | 71.0% | 52.9% | 35.4% | 21.3% | 11.6% | 5.8% | 2.6% |
| Touki Toussaint | OAK | 4.5 | 65.9% | 47.0% | 29.9% | 17.0% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Glenn Otto | HOU | 4.4 | 63.7% | 44.5% | 27.7% | 15.4% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Paul Blackburn | LAA | 4.4 | 63.2% | 43.9% | 27.2% | 15.0% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Johnny Cueto | KC | 4.3 | 63.0% | 43.7% | 27.0% | 14.9% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Ryan Pepiot | MIN | 4.3 | 62.3% | 43.0% | 26.3% | 14.4% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Sonny Gray | LAD | 4.3 | 62.1% | 42.8% | 26.2% | 14.3% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Jose Quintana | COL | 4.2 | 61.0% | 41.6% | 25.2% | 13.6% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Kris Bubic | CHW | 4.2 | 60.6% | 41.2% | 24.8% | 13.4% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Kyle Freeland | STL | 4.1 | 59.3% | 39.8% | 23.7% | 12.6% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Jakob Junis | SD | 4.0 | 56.3% | 36.7% | 21.2% | 10.9% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Mitch Keller | ARI | 3.9 | 54.3% | 34.8% | 19.6% | 9.9% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Dean Kremer | TOR | 3.7 | 50.6% | 31.3% | 17.0% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Drew Hutchison | CLE | 3.6 | 48.9% | 29.7% | 15.9% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Aaron Civale | DET | 3.4 | 43.7% | 25.2% | 12.7% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| T.J. Zeuch | NYM | 2.8 | 31.5% | 15.7% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Daily Batter Home Run Projections
You can view all MLB game and prop odds at MLB odds.
Notes: The "Split Adv?" column refers to whether a batter is starting the game against a pitcher of the opposite handedness. "Home Run PF" refers to home run park factor for the batter's handedness; data from FanGraphs. "xHR Odds" indicate what a player's home run odds should be given the home run probability; this helps seek value.
| Batter | Team | Split Adv? |
HR PF |
Opp SP |
HR Prob% |
xHR Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | STL | Yes | 108 | Kyle Freeland | 26.1% | +285 |
| Austin Riley | ATL | No | 99 | Nick Pivetta | 25.8% | +290 |
| Anthony Santander | BAL | Yes | 110 | Jose Berrios | 25.7% | +290 |
| Aaron Judge | NYY | Yes | 99 | Robbie Ray | 25.1% | +300 |
| Pete Alonso | NYM | No | 98 | T.J. Zeuch | 24.8% | +305 |
| Byron Buxton | MIN | No | 107 | Ryan Pepiot | 24.4% | +310 |
| Matt Olson | ATL | Yes | 93 | Nick Pivetta | 24.3% | +310 |
| Danny Jansen | TOR | No | 112 | Dean Kremer | 24.2% | +315 |
| Yordan Alvarez | HOU | Yes | 102 | Glenn Otto | 24.0% | +315 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | STL | Yes | 108 | Kyle Freeland | 23.6% | +325 |
| Willson Contreras | CHC | No | 103 | Josiah Gray | 23.3% | +330 |
| Rougned Odor | BAL | Yes | 110 | Jose Berrios | 22.7% | +340 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | TOR | No | 112 | Dean Kremer | 22.6% | +340 |
| Trea Turner | LAD | No | 107 | Sonny Gray | 22.4% | +345 |
| Eugenio Suarez | SEA | Yes | 99 | Nestor Cortes | 22.2% | +350 |
| Jared Walsh | LAA | Yes | 92 | Paul Blackburn | 21.4% | +365 |
| Luke Voit | WSH | Yes | 103 | Justin Steele | 21.2% | +370 |
| Mookie Betts | LAD | No | 107 | Sonny Gray | 20.8% | +380 |
| Anthony Rizzo | NYY | No | 96 | Robbie Ray | 20.7% | +385 |
| Matt Chapman | TOR | No | 112 | Dean Kremer | 20.3% | +390 |
| Carlos Correa | MIN | No | 107 | Ryan Pepiot | 20.2% | +395 |
| Rhys Hoskins | PHI | No | 110 | Sandy Alcantara | 20.1% | +400 |
| Seth Brown | OAK | Yes | 92 | Touki Toussaint | 20.0% | +400 |
| Jeremy Pena | HOU | No | 101 | Glenn Otto | 19.9% | +400 |
| Patrick Wisdom | CHC | No | 103 | Josiah Gray | 19.7% | +410 |
| Will Smith | LAD | No | 107 | Sonny Gray | 19.6% | +410 |
| Cal Raleigh | SEA | Yes | 99 | Nestor Cortes | 19.5% | +415 |
| Shohei Ohtani | LAA | Yes | 92 | Paul Blackburn | 19.4% | +415 |
| Ketel Marte | ARI | Yes | 99 | Mitch Keller | 19.4% | +415 |
| Jose Ramirez | CLE | Yes | 94 | Drew Hutchison | 19.2% | +420 |
| Travis d'Arnaud | ATL | No | 99 | Nick Pivetta | 19.1% | +425 |
| Jose Abreu | CHW | Yes | 92 | Kris Bubic | 19.0% | +425 |
| Taylor Ward | LAA | No | 94 | Paul Blackburn | 18.9% | +430 |
| Willy Adames | MIL | Yes | 103 | Jeffrey Springs | 18.9% | +430 |
| Keston Hiura | MIL | Yes | 103 | Jeffrey Springs | 18.9% | +430 |
| Jose Altuve | HOU | No | 101 | Glenn Otto | 18.8% | +430 |
| Christian Walker | ARI | No | 93 | Mitch Keller | 18.7% | +435 |
| Jorge Polanco | MIN | Yes | 102 | Ryan Pepiot | 18.7% | +435 |
| Seiya Suzuki | CHC | No | 103 | Josiah Gray | 18.5% | +440 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | TOR | No | 112 | Dean Kremer | 18.5% | +440 |
| Ryan Mountcastle | BAL | No | 112 | Jose Berrios | 18.5% | +440 |
| Evan Longoria | SF | Yes | 96 | Sean Manaea | 18.5% | +440 |
| Josh Donaldson | NYY | Yes | 99 | Robbie Ray | 18.3% | +445 |
| Hunter Renfroe | MIL | Yes | 103 | Jeffrey Springs | 18.2% | +450 |
| J.D. Martinez | BOS | No | 99 | Kyle Wright | 18.0% | +455 |
| Bo Bichette | TOR | No | 112 | Dean Kremer | 17.8% | +460 |
| Ramon Urias | BAL | No | 112 | Jose Berrios | 17.8% | +460 |
| Gleyber Torres | NYY | Yes | 99 | Robbie Ray | 17.7% | +465 |
| Darick Hall | PHI | Yes | 106 | Sandy Alcantara | 17.4% | +475 |
| Ji-Man Choi | TB | Yes | 101 | Brandon Woodruff | 17.4% | +475 |
| Brandon Lowe | TB | Yes | 101 | Brandon Woodruff | 17.4% | +475 |
| Isaac Paredes | TB | No | 103 | Brandon Woodruff | 17.3% | +480 |
| Christopher Morel | CHC | No | 103 | Josiah Gray | 17.3% | +480 |
| Wilmer Flores | SF | Yes | 96 | Sean Manaea | 17.2% | +480 |
| Rafael Devers | BOS | Yes | 93 | Kyle Wright | 16.8% | +495 |
| Dansby Swanson | ATL | No | 99 | Nick Pivetta | 16.8% | +495 |
| Kyle Schwarber | PHI | Yes | 106 | Sandy Alcantara | 16.7% | +500 |
| Jonathan India | CIN | No | 98 | Taijuan Walker | 16.6% | +500 |
| Jose Miranda | MIN | No | 107 | Ryan Pepiot | 16.5% | +505 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | KC | No | 92 | Johnny Cueto | 16.4% | +510 |
| DJ LeMahieu | NYY | Yes | 99 | Robbie Ray | 16.4% | +510 |
| Ty France | SEA | Yes | 99 | Nestor Cortes | 16.4% | +510 |
| Jesus Aguilar | MIA | No | 110 | Noah Syndergaard | 16.2% | +515 |
| Max Muncy | LAD | Yes | 102 | Sonny Gray | 16.2% | +515 |
| Joey Gallo | LAD | Yes | 102 | Sonny Gray | 16.2% | +515 |
| C.J. Cron | COL | Yes | 108 | Jose Quintana | 16.1% | +520 |
| Ramon Laureano | OAK | No | 94 | Touki Toussaint | 16.1% | +520 |
| Randy Arozarena | TB | No | 103 | Brandon Woodruff | 16.0% | +525 |
| Starling Marte | NYM | No | 98 | T.J. Zeuch | 16.0% | +525 |
| Eduardo Escobar | NYM | Yes | 95 | T.J. Zeuch | 15.9% | +530 |
| Salvador Perez | KC | No | 92 | Johnny Cueto | 15.8% | +530 |
| Manny Machado | SD | No | 96 | Jakob Junis | 15.8% | +535 |
| Jose Trevino | NYY | Yes | 99 | Robbie Ray | 15.7% | +535 |
| Bryan Reynolds | PIT | Yes | 93 | Madison Bumgarner | 15.6% | +540 |
| Freddie Freeman | LAD | Yes | 102 | Sonny Gray | 15.6% | +545 |
| Andrew McCutchen | MIL | Yes | 103 | Jeffrey Springs | 15.5% | +545 |
| Randal Grichuk | COL | Yes | 108 | Jose Quintana | 15.4% | +550 |
| Charlie Blackmon | COL | No | 109 | Jose Quintana | 15.4% | +550 |
| Francisco Lindor | NYM | Yes | 95 | T.J. Zeuch | 15.3% | +555 |
| Mitch Haniger | SEA | Yes | 99 | Nestor Cortes | 15.0% | +565 |
| Michael Chavis | PIT | Yes | 93 | Madison Bumgarner | 14.9% | +570 |
| Luis Urias | MIL | Yes | 103 | Jeffrey Springs | 14.8% | +575 |
| Ian Happ | CHC | Yes | 96 | Josiah Gray | 14.8% | +575 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | SF | No | 95 | Sean Manaea | 14.8% | +575 |
| Tyler Naquin | NYM | Yes | 95 | T.J. Zeuch | 14.7% | +580 |
| Trent Grisham | SD | Yes | 95 | Jakob Junis | 14.7% | +580 |
| Albert Pujols | STL | Yes | 108 | Kyle Freeland | 14.7% | +580 |
| Paul DeJong | STL | Yes | 108 | Kyle Freeland | 14.7% | +580 |
| Marcus Semien | TEX | No | 101 | Justin Verlander | 14.5% | +590 |
| Adolis Garcia | TEX | No | 101 | Justin Verlander | 14.5% | +590 |
| Jorge Mateo | BAL | No | 112 | Jose Berrios | 14.3% | +600 |
| Jo Adell | LAA | No | 94 | Paul Blackburn | 14.3% | +600 |
| Javier Baez | DET | No | 99 | Aaron Civale | 14.2% | +600 |
| Andrew Vaughn | CHW | Yes | 92 | Kris Bubic | 14.2% | +605 |
| Josh Bell | SD | Yes | 95 | Jakob Junis | 14.0% | +615 |
| Daulton Varsho | ARI | Yes | 99 | Mitch Keller | 13.8% | +620 |
| Martin Maldonado | HOU | No | 101 | Glenn Otto | 13.8% | +625 |
| Cedric Mullins | BAL | Yes | 110 | Jose Berrios | 13.6% | +635 |
| Marcell Ozuna | ATL | No | 99 | Nick Pivetta | 13.6% | +635 |
| Xander Bogaerts | BOS | No | 99 | Kyle Wright | 13.6% | +635 |
| Tommy Pham | BOS | No | 99 | Kyle Wright | 13.6% | +635 |
| Austin Hays | BAL | No | 112 | Jose Berrios | 13.6% | +640 |
| A.J. Pollock | CHW | Yes | 92 | Kris Bubic | 13.5% | +640 |
| Eloy Jimenez | CHW | Yes | 92 | Kris Bubic | 13.5% | +640 |
| Luis Robert | CHW | Yes | 92 | Kris Bubic | 13.5% | +640 |
| Corey Seager | TEX | Yes | 102 | Justin Verlander | 13.5% | +640 |
| Cody Bellinger | LAD | Yes | 102 | Sonny Gray | 13.5% | +640 |
| Nathaniel Lowe | TEX | Yes | 102 | Justin Verlander | 13.5% | +640 |
| Francisco Mejia | TB | Yes | 101 | Brandon Woodruff | 13.4% | +645 |
| Dan Vogelbach | NYM | Yes | 95 | T.J. Zeuch | 13.4% | +650 |
| Garrett Cooper | MIA | No | 110 | Noah Syndergaard | 13.4% | +650 |
| Josh Naylor | CLE | Yes | 94 | Drew Hutchison | 13.3% | +655 |
| Brandon Drury | SD | No | 96 | Jakob Junis | 13.2% | +655 |
| Gary Sanchez | MIN | No | 107 | Ryan Pepiot | 13.0% | +665 |
| Sean Murphy | OAK | No | 94 | Touki Toussaint | 13.0% | +670 |
| Donovan Solano | CIN | No | 98 | Taijuan Walker | 12.8% | +680 |
| Lane Thomas | WSH | Yes | 103 | Justin Steele | 12.6% | +695 |
| Tyrone Taylor | MIL | Yes | 103 | Jeffrey Springs | 12.6% | +695 |
| Alek Thomas | ARI | Yes | 99 | Mitch Keller | 12.5% | +705 |
| Alex Bregman | HOU | No | 101 | Glenn Otto | 12.4% | +705 |
| Brendan Rodgers | COL | Yes | 108 | Jose Quintana | 12.3% | +710 |
| Chris Taylor | LAD | No | 107 | Sonny Gray | 12.3% | +715 |
| Kyle Tucker | HOU | Yes | 102 | Glenn Otto | 12.0% | +730 |
| Joey Votto | CIN | Yes | 95 | Taijuan Walker | 12.0% | +730 |
| Juan Soto | SD | Yes | 95 | Jakob Junis | 12.0% | +730 |
| Jeimer Candelario | DET | Yes | 94 | Aaron Civale | 11.9% | +740 |
| Jake McCarthy | ARI | Yes | 99 | Mitch Keller | 11.7% | +750 |
| MJ Melendez | KC | Yes | 92 | Johnny Cueto | 11.7% | +755 |
| Jonah Heim | TEX | Yes | 102 | Justin Verlander | 11.3% | +785 |
| Tucker Barnhart | DET | Yes | 94 | Aaron Civale | 11.2% | +790 |
| Andres Gimenez | CLE | Yes | 94 | Drew Hutchison | 11.2% | +790 |
| Santiago Espinal | TOR | No | 112 | Dean Kremer | 11.2% | +795 |
| Maikel Franco | WSH | Yes | 103 | Justin Steele | 11.0% | +805 |
| Lewin Diaz | MIA | Yes | 106 | Noah Syndergaard | 10.9% | +820 |
| Hunter Dozier | KC | No | 92 | Johnny Cueto | 10.8% | +825 |
| Gio Urshela | MIN | No | 107 | Ryan Pepiot | 10.8% | +830 |
| Elias Diaz | COL | Yes | 108 | Jose Quintana | 10.7% | +840 |
| Jurickson Profar | SD | Yes | 95 | Jakob Junis | 10.6% | +840 |
| Brandon Nimmo | NYM | Yes | 95 | T.J. Zeuch | 10.6% | +840 |
| Jake Fraley | CIN | Yes | 95 | Taijuan Walker | 10.6% | +840 |
| Jake Cronenworth | SD | Yes | 95 | Jakob Junis | 10.6% | +840 |
| Eric Hosmer | BOS | Yes | 93 | Kyle Wright | 10.4% | +860 |
| Thairo Estrada | SF | Yes | 96 | Sean Manaea | 10.4% | +865 |
| Joey Bart | SF | Yes | 96 | Sean Manaea | 10.4% | +865 |
| Jake Meyers | HOU | No | 101 | Glenn Otto | 10.2% | +880 |
| Cesar Hernandez | WSH | Yes | 103 | Justin Steele | 10.2% | +880 |
| Victor Caratini | MIL | Yes | 103 | Jeffrey Springs | 10.2% | +880 |
| Brandon Marsh | PHI | Yes | 106 | Sandy Alcantara | 10.1% | +890 |
| JJ Bleday | MIA | Yes | 106 | Noah Syndergaard | 10.1% | +890 |
| Kevin Newman | PIT | Yes | 93 | Madison Bumgarner | 10.1% | +890 |
| Albert Almora Jr. | CIN | No | 98 | Taijuan Walker | 10.0% | +905 |
| Jose Barrero | CIN | No | 98 | Taijuan Walker | 10.0% | +905 |
| Nolan Jones | CLE | Yes | 94 | Drew Hutchison | 9.8% | +920 |
| Jose Iglesias | COL | Yes | 108 | Jose Quintana | 9.8% | +920 |
| Tyler O'Neill | STL | Yes | 108 | Kyle Freeland | 9.8% | +920 |
| Max Kepler | MIN | Yes | 102 | Ryan Pepiot | 9.7% | +925 |
| Leody Taveras | TEX | Yes | 102 | Justin Verlander | 9.7% | +925 |
| David Peralta | TB | Yes | 101 | Brandon Woodruff | 9.7% | +935 |
| Stephen Piscotty | OAK | No | 94 | Touki Toussaint | 9.6% | +945 |
| Adley Rutschman | BAL | Yes | 110 | Jose Berrios | 9.6% | +945 |
| Alejandro Kirk | TOR | No | 112 | Dean Kremer | 9.5% | +950 |
| Carson Kelly | ARI | No | 93 | Mitch Keller | 9.5% | +955 |
| Trey Mancini | HOU | No | 101 | Glenn Otto | 9.5% | +955 |
| Luis Garcia | WSH | Yes | 103 | Justin Steele | 9.4% | +965 |
| Alec Bohm | PHI | No | 110 | Sandy Alcantara | 9.4% | +965 |
| Sam Haggerty | SEA | Yes | 99 | Nestor Cortes | 9.1% | +1005 |
| Ehire Adrianza | ATL | Yes | 93 | Nick Pivetta | 9.0% | +1015 |
| Michael Harris II | ATL | Yes | 93 | Nick Pivetta | 9.0% | +1015 |
| Luis Rengifo | LAA | Yes | 92 | Paul Blackburn | 8.9% | +1025 |
| Jose Siri | TB | No | 103 | Brandon Woodruff | 8.8% | +1030 |
| Austin Slater | SF | Yes | 96 | Sean Manaea | 8.8% | +1035 |
| Oneil Cruz | PIT | No | 99 | Madison Bumgarner | 8.7% | +1045 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes | PIT | Yes | 93 | Madison Bumgarner | 8.6% | +1070 |
| Michael Brosseau | MIL | Yes | 103 | Jeffrey Springs | 8.5% | +1070 |
| Keibert Ruiz | WSH | Yes | 103 | Justin Steele | 8.5% | +1070 |
| Christian Arroyo | BOS | No | 99 | Kyle Wright | 8.5% | +1070 |
| Amed Rosario | CLE | No | 99 | Drew Hutchison | 8.5% | +1070 |
| Seby Zavala | CHW | Yes | 92 | Kris Bubic | 8.5% | +1080 |
| Brandon Crawford | SF | No | 95 | Sean Manaea | 8.4% | +1090 |
| Jeff McNeil | NYM | Yes | 95 | T.J. Zeuch | 8.4% | +1090 |
| Riley Greene | DET | Yes | 94 | Aaron Civale | 8.3% | +1105 |
| Max Stassi | LAA | No | 94 | Paul Blackburn | 8.1% | +1130 |
| Yadier Molina | STL | Yes | 108 | Kyle Freeland | 8.0% | +1150 |
| J.D. Davis | SF | Yes | 96 | Sean Manaea | 8.0% | +1150 |
| Jarred Kelenic | SEA | No | 96 | Nestor Cortes | 7.8% | +1175 |
| Lourdes Gurriel | TOR | No | 112 | Dean Kremer | 7.8% | +1185 |
| Austin Hedges | CLE | No | 99 | Drew Hutchison | 7.7% | +1190 |
| Nelson Cruz | WSH | Yes | 103 | Justin Steele | 7.7% | +1205 |
| Miguel Rojas | MIA | No | 110 | Noah Syndergaard | 7.7% | +1205 |
| Jacob Stallings | MIA | No | 110 | Noah Syndergaard | 7.7% | +1205 |
| Tony Kemp | OAK | Yes | 92 | Touki Toussaint | 7.4% | +1250 |
| David Fletcher | LAA | No | 94 | Paul Blackburn | 7.4% | +1255 |
| Nate Eaton | KC | No | 92 | Johnny Cueto | 7.2% | +1280 |
| Nick Madrigal | CHC | No | 103 | Josiah Gray | 7.2% | +1285 |
| Jesse Winker | SEA | No | 96 | Nestor Cortes | 7.2% | +1295 |
| Ezequiel Duran | TEX | No | 101 | Justin Verlander | 7.1% | +1310 |
| Bubba Thompson | TEX | No | 101 | Justin Verlander | 7.1% | +1310 |
| Dylan Carlson | STL | Yes | 108 | Kyle Freeland | 7.1% | +1310 |
| Josh Harrison | CHW | Yes | 92 | Kris Bubic | 6.9% | +1350 |
| Yoan Moncada | CHW | Yes | 92 | Kris Bubic | 6.9% | +1350 |
| Zach McKinstry | CHC | Yes | 96 | Josiah Gray | 6.9% | +1350 |
| Christian Yelich | MIL | No | 101 | Jeffrey Springs | 6.8% | +1365 |
| Robbie Grossman | ATL | Yes | 93 | Nick Pivetta | 6.7% | +1390 |
| Eddie Rosario | ATL | Yes | 93 | Nick Pivetta | 6.7% | +1390 |
| Lars Nootbaar | STL | No | 109 | Kyle Freeland | 6.6% | +1420 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | NYY | Yes | 99 | Robbie Ray | 6.5% | +1430 |
| Luis Arraez | MIN | Yes | 102 | Ryan Pepiot | 6.5% | +1450 |
| Nick Gordon | MIN | Yes | 102 | Ryan Pepiot | 6.5% | +1450 |
| Taylor Walls | TB | Yes | 101 | Brandon Woodruff | 6.4% | +1465 |
| Nico Hoerner | CHC | No | 103 | Josiah Gray | 6.4% | +1470 |
| Luis Gonzalez | SF | Yes | 96 | Sean Manaea | 6.3% | +1475 |
