MLB Betting: Home Run, Strikeout, and Run Total Projections for Tuesday 9/6/22
Just how likely is a homer from a certain player tonight? How many runs will Team X score? And can the pitcher you're eying go over his strikeout prop?
To find out, I leveraged numberFire's batter and pitcher projections plus team implied totals to try to answer those questions.
Here are today's results to help us navigate daily fantasy baseball and MLB betting opportunities at MLB odds.
(Please note that these projections are subject to change throughout the day and as lineups are confirmed. To see the most current projections, check out our projections pages.)
Team Run Total Projections
| Team | Opp SP | O/U | Implied Total |
5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIL | Chad Kuhl | 11.0 | 6.23 | 59.1% | 43.1% | 28.8% | 17.7% | 10.1% |
| NYM | Mitch Keller | 8.5 | 4.98 | 38.1% | 23.5% | 13.1% | 6.7% | 3.1% |
| COL | Brandon Woodruff | 11.0 | 4.77 | 34.4% | 20.5% | 11.0% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
| LAA | Eduardo Rodriguez | 8.5 | 4.60 | 31.4% | 18.2% | 9.5% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| HOU | Glenn Otto | 7.5 | 4.59 | 31.3% | 18.1% | 9.4% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| STL | Paolo Espino | 7.5 | 4.51 | 29.9% | 17.0% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| ATL | Cole Irvin | 7.5 | 4.40 | 28.0% | 15.6% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| TOR | Kyle Bradish | 8.5 | 4.32 | 26.7% | 14.7% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| CLE | Kris Bubic | 7.5 | 4.31 | 26.5% | 14.5% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| BAL | Mitch White | 8.5 | 4.18 | 24.4% | 13.0% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| PHI | Jesus Luzardo | 7.0 | 4.15 | 23.9% | 12.7% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| CHC | Justin Dunn | 7.5 | 4.14 | 23.7% | 12.6% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| NYY | Joe Ryan | 7.0 | 4.02 | 21.8% | 11.3% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| DET | Mike Mayers | 8.5 | 3.90 | 19.9% | 10.1% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| SD | Merrill Kelly | 7.0 | 3.89 | 19.8% | 10.0% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| TB | Rich Hill | 7.0 | 3.83 | 18.9% | 9.4% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| SEA | Johnny Cueto | 7.0 | 3.79 | 18.3% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| PIT | Taijuan Walker | 8.5 | 3.52 | 14.5% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| CIN | Wade Miley | 7.5 | 3.36 | 12.4% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| CHW | Logan Gilbert | 7.0 | 3.21 | 10.7% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| KC | Shane Bieber | 7.5 | 3.19 | 10.4% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| BOS | Drew Rasmussen | 7.0 | 3.17 | 10.2% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| ARI | Joe Musgrove | 7.0 | 3.11 | 9.5% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| OAK | Kyle Wright | 7.5 | 3.10 | 9.4% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| WSH | Jose Quintana | 7.5 | 2.99 | 8.3% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| MIN | Gerrit Cole | 7.0 | 2.98 | 8.2% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| TEX | Framber Valdez | 7.5 | 2.91 | 7.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| MIA | Aaron Nola | 7.0 | 2.85 | 7.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Pitcher Strikeout Projections
| Pitcher | Opp | K Proj |
3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Nola | MIA | 8.1 | 96.0% | 90.4% | 81.5% | 69.5% | 55.7% | 41.7% | 29.2% |
| Gerrit Cole | MIN | 7.7 | 94.7% | 88.0% | 77.7% | 64.5% | 50.0% | 36.1% | 24.3% |
| Joe Musgrove | ARI | 6.8 | 91.0% | 81.2% | 67.8% | 52.6% | 37.7% | 25.0% | 15.4% |
| Brandon Woodruff | COL | 6.6 | 89.7% | 79.1% | 65.0% | 49.4% | 34.6% | 22.4% | 13.4% |
| Framber Valdez | TEX | 6.3 | 87.1% | 74.8% | 59.5% | 43.5% | 29.3% | 18.1% | 10.3% |
| Shane Bieber | KC | 6.2 | 86.3% | 73.7% | 58.1% | 42.1% | 28.0% | 17.1% | 9.6% |
| Tyler Anderson | SF | 5.6 | 80.4% | 65.0% | 48.0% | 32.2% | 19.7% | 11.0% | 5.6% |
| Kyle Wright | OAK | 5.5 | 79.3% | 63.5% | 46.2% | 30.6% | 18.4% | 10.1% | 5.1% |
| Logan Gilbert | CHW | 5.3 | 78.0% | 61.7% | 44.3% | 28.9% | 17.1% | 9.3% | 4.6% |
| Drew Rasmussen | BOS | 5.2 | 76.7% | 60.1% | 42.6% | 27.4% | 16.0% | 8.5% | 4.1% |
| Joe Ryan | NYY | 5.2 | 76.3% | 59.6% | 42.1% | 26.9% | 15.6% | 8.3% | 4.0% |
| Merrill Kelly | SD | 4.9 | 72.5% | 54.7% | 37.2% | 22.8% | 12.6% | 6.4% | 2.9% |
| Jesus Luzardo | PHI | 4.9 | 72.4% | 54.5% | 37.0% | 22.6% | 12.5% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
| Jose Quintana | WSH | 4.9 | 71.8% | 53.8% | 36.3% | 22.0% | 12.1% | 6.1% | 2.8% |
| Johnny Cueto | SEA | 4.8 | 69.8% | 51.5% | 34.0% | 20.2% | 10.9% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
| Eduardo Rodriguez | LAA | 4.6 | 67.8% | 49.1% | 31.8% | 18.5% | 9.7% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Kyle Bradish | TOR | 4.6 | 66.6% | 47.7% | 30.6% | 17.5% | 9.1% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Taijuan Walker | PIT | 4.4 | 63.7% | 44.5% | 27.7% | 15.4% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Cole Irvin | ATL | 4.2 | 60.8% | 41.4% | 25.0% | 13.5% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Mitch White | BAL | 4.2 | 59.9% | 40.4% | 24.2% | 12.9% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Mitch Keller | NYM | 4.0 | 57.2% | 37.7% | 22.0% | 11.4% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Rich Hill | TB | 4.0 | 56.7% | 37.1% | 21.5% | 11.1% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Glenn Otto | HOU | 3.9 | 55.1% | 35.6% | 20.2% | 10.3% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Kris Bubic | CLE | 3.9 | 54.1% | 34.6% | 19.5% | 9.8% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Justin Dunn | CHC | 3.9 | 53.9% | 34.4% | 19.3% | 9.7% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Chad Kuhl | MIL | 3.8 | 52.9% | 33.4% | 18.6% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Mike Mayers | DET | 3.5 | 47.0% | 28.0% | 14.6% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Paolo Espino | STL | 3.4 | 43.9% | 25.4% | 12.8% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Wei-Chieh Huang | LAD | 3.4 | 43.3% | 24.8% | 12.4% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Wade Miley | CIN | 3.2 | 40.4% | 22.5% | 10.9% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
Daily Batter Home Run Projections
You can view all MLB game and prop odds at MLB odds.
Notes: The "Split Adv?" column refers to whether a batter is starting the game against a pitcher of the opposite handedness. "Home Run PF" refers to home run park factor for the batter's handedness; data from FanGraphs. "xHR Odds" indicate what a player's home run odds should be given the home run probability; this helps seek value.
| Batter | Team | Split Adv? |
HR PF |
Opp SP |
HR Prob% |
xHR Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | TOR | No | 112 | Kyle Bradish | 31.2% | +220 |
| Aaron Judge | NYY | No | 103 | Joe Ryan | 30.8% | +225 |
| Evan Longoria | SF | Yes | 107 | Tyler Anderson | 27.7% | +260 |
| C.J. Cron | COL | No | 108 | Brandon Woodruff | 27.2% | +270 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | TOR | No | 112 | Kyle Bradish | 26.9% | +270 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | STL | No | 91 | Paolo Espino | 25.2% | +295 |
| George Springer | TOR | No | 112 | Kyle Bradish | 24.6% | +305 |
| Matt Chapman | TOR | No | 112 | Kyle Bradish | 24.6% | +305 |
| Willson Contreras | CHC | No | 103 | Justin Dunn | 24.3% | +310 |
| Willy Adames | MIL | No | 108 | Chad Kuhl | 24.1% | +315 |
| Mike Trout | LAA | Yes | 103 | Eduardo Rodriguez | 23.9% | +320 |
| Anthony Santander | BAL | Yes | 110 | Mitch White | 23.7% | +320 |
| Rhys Hoskins | PHI | Yes | 110 | Jesus Luzardo | 23.4% | +330 |
| Jose Ramirez | CLE | Yes | 92 | Kris Bubic | 22.6% | +345 |
| Austin Riley | ATL | Yes | 94 | Cole Irvin | 22.4% | +345 |
| Hunter Renfroe | MIL | No | 108 | Chad Kuhl | 22.0% | +355 |
| Keston Hiura | MIL | No | 108 | Chad Kuhl | 22.0% | +355 |
| Travis d'Arnaud | ATL | Yes | 94 | Cole Irvin | 21.9% | +355 |
| Mookie Betts | LAD | No | 107 | Wei-Chieh Huang | 21.9% | +355 |
| Danny Jansen | TOR | No | 112 | Kyle Bradish | 21.5% | +365 |
| Nolan Arenado | STL | No | 91 | Paolo Espino | 21.4% | +370 |
| Will Smith | LAD | No | 107 | Wei-Chieh Huang | 21.3% | +370 |
| Eugenio Suarez | SEA | No | 99 | Johnny Cueto | 21.2% | +370 |
| Christopher Morel | CHC | No | 103 | Justin Dunn | 20.8% | +380 |
| Ryan Mountcastle | BAL | No | 112 | Mitch White | 20.3% | +390 |
| Rowdy Tellez | MIL | Yes | 109 | Chad Kuhl | 20.3% | +395 |
| Nolan Gorman | STL | Yes | 97 | Paolo Espino | 20.2% | +395 |
| Mitch Haniger | SEA | No | 99 | Johnny Cueto | 19.6% | +410 |
| Pete Alonso | NYM | No | 92 | Mitch Keller | 19.1% | +425 |
| Carlos Correa | MIN | No | 103 | Gerrit Cole | 19.1% | +425 |
| Kolten Wong | MIL | Yes | 109 | Chad Kuhl | 19.0% | +425 |
| Rafael Devers | BOS | Yes | 92 | Drew Rasmussen | 18.9% | +430 |
| Chas McCormick | HOU | No | 101 | Glenn Otto | 18.8% | +430 |
| Gleyber Torres | NYY | No | 103 | Joe Ryan | 18.5% | +440 |
| Gavin Sheets | CHW | Yes | 96 | Logan Gilbert | 18.4% | +445 |
| Daulton Varsho | ARI | Yes | 95 | Joe Musgrove | 18.3% | +445 |
| Oneil Cruz | PIT | Yes | 95 | Taijuan Walker | 18.3% | +445 |
| Freddie Freeman | LAD | Yes | 102 | Wei-Chieh Huang | 18.1% | +450 |
| Max Muncy | LAD | Yes | 102 | Wei-Chieh Huang | 18.1% | +450 |
| Joey Gallo | LAD | Yes | 102 | Wei-Chieh Huang | 18.1% | +450 |
| Tyler O'Neill | STL | No | 91 | Paolo Espino | 17.9% | +460 |
| Cal Raleigh | SEA | Yes | 96 | Johnny Cueto | 17.8% | +460 |
| Kyle Schwarber | PHI | No | 106 | Jesus Luzardo | 17.8% | +460 |
| Justin Turner | LAD | No | 107 | Wei-Chieh Huang | 17.8% | +460 |
| Jack Suwinski | PIT | Yes | 95 | Taijuan Walker | 17.7% | +465 |
| Max Stassi | LAA | Yes | 103 | Eduardo Rodriguez | 17.6% | +470 |
| Taylor Ward | LAA | Yes | 103 | Eduardo Rodriguez | 17.6% | +470 |
| Adolis Garcia | TEX | Yes | 101 | Framber Valdez | 17.3% | +480 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | SF | No | 102 | Tyler Anderson | 17.3% | +480 |
| Ian Happ | CHC | Yes | 96 | Justin Dunn | 17.3% | +480 |
| Trea Turner | LAD | No | 107 | Wei-Chieh Huang | 17.2% | +480 |
| Alex Bregman | HOU | No | 101 | Glenn Otto | 17.0% | +485 |
| Brandon Drury | SD | No | 96 | Merrill Kelly | 17.0% | +490 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | KC | No | 92 | Shane Bieber | 17.0% | +490 |
| Lewis Brinson | SF | Yes | 107 | Tyler Anderson | 16.7% | +500 |
| Jesse Winker | SEA | Yes | 96 | Johnny Cueto | 16.7% | +500 |
| Rougned Odor | BAL | Yes | 110 | Mitch White | 16.5% | +505 |
| Bo Bichette | TOR | No | 112 | Kyle Bradish | 16.5% | +505 |
| Christian Yelich | MIL | Yes | 109 | Chad Kuhl | 16.4% | +510 |
| Marcell Ozuna | ATL | Yes | 94 | Cole Irvin | 16.3% | +510 |
| J.D. Martinez | BOS | No | 94 | Drew Rasmussen | 16.1% | +520 |
| Trevor Story | BOS | No | 94 | Drew Rasmussen | 16.1% | +520 |
| Shea Langeliers | OAK | No | 94 | Kyle Wright | 16.1% | +520 |
| Ramon Urias | BAL | No | 112 | Mitch White | 15.8% | +535 |
| Christian Walker | ARI | No | 96 | Joe Musgrove | 15.8% | +535 |
| J.T. Realmuto | PHI | Yes | 110 | Jesus Luzardo | 15.6% | +540 |
| Bryce Harper | PHI | No | 106 | Jesus Luzardo | 15.6% | +540 |
| Kyle Tucker | HOU | Yes | 102 | Glenn Otto | 15.6% | +545 |
| Josh Donaldson | NYY | No | 103 | Joe Ryan | 15.4% | +550 |
| Manny Machado | SD | No | 96 | Merrill Kelly | 15.1% | +560 |
| Jose Altuve | HOU | No | 101 | Glenn Otto | 15.1% | +560 |
| Ronald Acuna | ATL | Yes | 94 | Cole Irvin | 15.1% | +565 |
| Matt Olson | ATL | No | 92 | Cole Irvin | 14.9% | +570 |
| Eloy Jimenez | CHW | No | 99 | Logan Gilbert | 14.9% | +570 |
| Luis Robert | CHW | No | 99 | Logan Gilbert | 14.9% | +570 |
| Andrew Vaughn | CHW | No | 99 | Logan Gilbert | 14.9% | +570 |
| Brian Anderson | MIA | No | 110 | Aaron Nola | 14.8% | +575 |
| Franmil Reyes | CHC | No | 103 | Justin Dunn | 14.7% | +580 |
| Josh Bell | SD | Yes | 95 | Merrill Kelly | 14.7% | +580 |
| Dan Vogelbach | NYM | Yes | 95 | Mitch Keller | 14.7% | +580 |
| Michael Chavis | PIT | No | 92 | Taijuan Walker | 14.6% | +585 |
| Marcus Semien | TEX | Yes | 101 | Framber Valdez | 14.6% | +585 |
| Thairo Estrada | SF | Yes | 107 | Tyler Anderson | 14.6% | +585 |
| Jose Abreu | CHW | No | 99 | Logan Gilbert | 14.2% | +600 |
| Cody Bellinger | LAD | Yes | 102 | Wei-Chieh Huang | 14.2% | +605 |
| Jonathan India | CIN | Yes | 103 | Wade Miley | 14.1% | +610 |
| Seiya Suzuki | CHC | No | 103 | Justin Dunn | 14.0% | +610 |
| Joey Meneses | WSH | Yes | 91 | Jose Quintana | 14.0% | +615 |
| Juan Soto | SD | Yes | 95 | Merrill Kelly | 14.0% | +615 |
| Starling Marte | NYM | No | 92 | Mitch Keller | 14.0% | +615 |
| David Peralta | TB | No | 92 | Rich Hill | 13.9% | +620 |
| Brendan Rodgers | COL | No | 108 | Brandon Woodruff | 13.9% | +620 |
| Jonah Heim | TEX | Yes | 101 | Framber Valdez | 13.9% | +620 |
| Martin Maldonado | HOU | No | 101 | Glenn Otto | 13.8% | +625 |
| Jeremy Pena | HOU | No | 101 | Glenn Otto | 13.8% | +625 |
| J.D. Davis | SF | Yes | 107 | Tyler Anderson | 13.8% | +625 |
| Adley Rutschman | BAL | Yes | 110 | Mitch White | 13.6% | +635 |
| Lars Nootbaar | STL | Yes | 97 | Paolo Espino | 13.6% | +635 |
| Mike Toglia | COL | Yes | 109 | Brandon Woodruff | 13.5% | +640 |
| Shohei Ohtani | LAA | No | 108 | Eduardo Rodriguez | 13.4% | +645 |
| Harold Castro | DET | Yes | 108 | Mike Mayers | 13.4% | +645 |
| Willi Castro | DET | Yes | 108 | Mike Mayers | 13.4% | +645 |
| Salvador Perez | KC | No | 92 | Shane Bieber | 13.4% | +645 |
| Corey Seager | TEX | No | 102 | Framber Valdez | 13.4% | +645 |
| Bryan Reynolds | PIT | Yes | 95 | Taijuan Walker | 13.4% | +650 |
| Rodolfo Castro | PIT | Yes | 95 | Taijuan Walker | 13.4% | +650 |
| Jose Trevino | NYY | No | 103 | Joe Ryan | 13.3% | +650 |
| Spencer Torkelson | DET | No | 103 | Mike Mayers | 13.3% | +650 |
| Elias Diaz | COL | No | 108 | Brandon Woodruff | 13.1% | +660 |
| Dansby Swanson | ATL | Yes | 94 | Cole Irvin | 13.1% | +665 |
| Randy Arozarena | TB | Yes | 94 | Rich Hill | 13.1% | +665 |
| Wilmer Flores | SF | Yes | 107 | Tyler Anderson | 13.0% | +670 |
| Austin Slater | SF | Yes | 107 | Tyler Anderson | 13.0% | +670 |
| Carlos Santana | SEA | Yes | 96 | Johnny Cueto | 12.8% | +680 |
| Yoan Moncada | CHW | Yes | 96 | Logan Gilbert | 12.8% | +680 |
| Ryan McMahon | COL | Yes | 109 | Brandon Woodruff | 12.7% | +685 |
| Luke Voit | WSH | Yes | 91 | Jose Quintana | 12.7% | +685 |
| Francisco Lindor | NYM | Yes | 95 | Mitch Keller | 12.7% | +685 |
| Jeimer Candelario | DET | Yes | 108 | Mike Mayers | 12.6% | +690 |
| Luis Rengifo | LAA | Yes | 103 | Eduardo Rodriguez | 12.6% | +695 |
| Jo Adell | LAA | Yes | 103 | Eduardo Rodriguez | 12.6% | +695 |
| Xander Bogaerts | BOS | No | 94 | Drew Rasmussen | 12.3% | +710 |
| Chris Taylor | LAD | No | 107 | Wei-Chieh Huang | 12.3% | +715 |
| Jake Fraley | CIN | No | 96 | Wade Miley | 12.1% | +725 |
| Lane Thomas | WSH | Yes | 91 | Jose Quintana | 12.0% | +730 |
| Austin Hays | BAL | No | 112 | Mitch White | 12.0% | +735 |
| Jace Peterson | MIL | Yes | 109 | Chad Kuhl | 12.0% | +735 |
| Gio Urshela | MIN | No | 103 | Gerrit Cole | 11.9% | +740 |
| Nick Pratto | KC | Yes | 92 | Shane Bieber | 11.7% | +755 |
| Yandy Diaz | TB | Yes | 94 | Rich Hill | 11.6% | +760 |
| Randal Grichuk | COL | No | 108 | Brandon Woodruff | 11.6% | +760 |
| Elvis Andrus | CHW | No | 99 | Logan Gilbert | 11.5% | +770 |
| Julio Rodriguez | SEA | No | 99 | Johnny Cueto | 11.5% | +770 |
| Brandon Nimmo | NYM | Yes | 95 | Mitch Keller | 11.3% | +785 |
| Alek Thomas | ARI | Yes | 95 | Joe Musgrove | 11.3% | +785 |
| Jorge Mateo | BAL | No | 112 | Mitch White | 11.2% | +795 |
| Javier Baez | DET | No | 103 | Mike Mayers | 11.2% | +795 |
| Charlie Blackmon | COL | Yes | 109 | Brandon Woodruff | 11.2% | +795 |
| Max Kepler | MIN | Yes | 109 | Gerrit Cole | 11.2% | +795 |
| Jake Cave | MIN | Yes | 109 | Gerrit Cole | 11.2% | +795 |
| Riley Greene | DET | Yes | 108 | Mike Mayers | 11.1% | +805 |
| Francisco Mejia | TB | Yes | 94 | Rich Hill | 10.9% | +815 |
| Cal Mitchell | PIT | Yes | 95 | Taijuan Walker | 10.6% | +840 |
| Michael Harris II | ATL | No | 92 | Cole Irvin | 10.6% | +845 |
| Cedric Mullins | BAL | Yes | 110 | Mitch White | 10.4% | +860 |
| Gary Sanchez | MIN | No | 103 | Gerrit Cole | 10.4% | +860 |
| Nico Hoerner | CHC | No | 103 | Justin Dunn | 10.4% | +860 |
| Santiago Espinal | TOR | No | 112 | Kyle Bradish | 10.4% | +865 |
| Seth Brown | OAK | Yes | 92 | Kyle Wright | 10.3% | +870 |
| Trey Mancini | HOU | No | 101 | Glenn Otto | 10.2% | +880 |
| Spencer Steer | CIN | Yes | 103 | Wade Miley | 10.2% | +880 |
| Garrett Cooper | MIA | No | 110 | Aaron Nola | 10.2% | +880 |
| Tommy Edman | STL | Yes | 97 | Paolo Espino | 10.1% | +895 |
| Ty France | SEA | No | 99 | Johnny Cueto | 10.0% | +895 |
| Amed Rosario | CLE | Yes | 92 | Kris Bubic | 10.0% | +900 |
| Andres Gimenez | CLE | No | 92 | Kris Bubic | 10.0% | +900 |
| Matt Vierling | PHI | Yes | 110 | Jesus Luzardo | 10.0% | +905 |
| Luis Garcia | WSH | Yes | 91 | Jose Quintana | 9.9% | +910 |
| J.J. Matijevic | HOU | Yes | 102 | Glenn Otto | 9.7% | +925 |
| Jose Miranda | MIN | No | 103 | Gerrit Cole | 9.6% | +940 |
| Nathaniel Lowe | TEX | No | 102 | Framber Valdez | 9.6% | +940 |
| Enrique Hernandez | BOS | No | 94 | Drew Rasmussen | 9.6% | +945 |
| Dermis Garcia | OAK | No | 94 | Kyle Wright | 9.6% | +945 |
| Raimel Tapia | TOR | Yes | 110 | Kyle Bradish | 9.6% | +945 |
| Kerry Carpenter | DET | Yes | 108 | Mike Mayers | 9.4% | +960 |
| Jose Siri | TB | Yes | 94 | Rich Hill | 9.4% | +960 |
| Kyle Farmer | CIN | Yes | 103 | Wade Miley | 9.4% | +965 |
| Andrew Velazquez | LAA | Yes | 103 | Eduardo Rodriguez | 9.4% | +965 |
| Josh Naylor | CLE | No | 92 | Kris Bubic | 9.4% | +965 |
| Peyton Burdick | MIA | No | 110 | Aaron Nola | 9.4% | +965 |
| Rafael Ortega | CHC | Yes | 96 | Justin Dunn | 9.2% | +985 |
| Sean Bouchard | COL | No | 108 | Brandon Woodruff | 9.2% | +985 |
| Jurickson Profar | SD | Yes | 95 | Merrill Kelly | 9.1% | +995 |
| TJ Friedl | CIN | No | 96 | Wade Miley | 9.1% | +995 |
| Stephen Vogt | OAK | Yes | 92 | Kyle Wright | 8.9% | +1025 |
| Tommy Pham | BOS | No | 94 | Drew Rasmussen | 8.9% | +1025 |
| Hunter Dozier | KC | No | 92 | Shane Bieber | 8.7% | +1050 |
| Yu Chang | TB | Yes | 94 | Rich Hill | 8.6% | +1055 |
| Vaughn Grissom | ATL | Yes | 94 | Cole Irvin | 8.6% | +1055 |
| Nick Gordon | MIN | Yes | 109 | Gerrit Cole | 8.6% | +1060 |
| Oswaldo Cabrera | NYY | Yes | 109 | Joe Ryan | 8.6% | +1060 |
| Corey Dickerson | STL | Yes | 97 | Paolo Espino | 8.6% | +1070 |
| Oscar Gonzalez | CLE | Yes | 92 | Kris Bubic | 8.5% | +1080 |
| Yasmani Grandal | CHW | Yes | 96 | Logan Gilbert | 8.5% | +1080 |
| Keibert Ruiz | WSH | Yes | 91 | Jose Quintana | 8.4% | +1090 |
| Eduardo Escobar | NYM | Yes | 95 | Mitch Keller | 8.4% | +1090 |
| Trent Grisham | SD | Yes | 95 | Merrill Kelly | 8.4% | +1090 |
| Jake McCarthy | ARI | Yes | 95 | Joe Musgrove | 8.4% | +1090 |
| Carson Kelly | ARI | No | 96 | Joe Musgrove | 8.3% | +1105 |
| MJ Melendez | KC | Yes | 92 | Shane Bieber | 8.1% | +1125 |
| Mark Canha | NYM | No | 92 | Mitch Keller | 8.0% | +1155 |
| Omar Narvaez | MIL | Yes | 109 | Chad Kuhl | 7.8% | +1190 |
| Myles Straw | CLE | Yes | 92 | Kris Bubic | 7.7% | +1200 |
| Ketel Marte | ARI | Yes | 95 | Joe Musgrove | 7.6% | +1210 |
| DJ LeMahieu | NYY | No | 103 | Joe Ryan | 7.2% | +1285 |
| Jean Segura | PHI | Yes | 110 | Jesus Luzardo | 7.2% | +1290 |
| Brandon Marsh | PHI | No | 106 | Jesus Luzardo | 7.1% | +1300 |
| Harold Ramirez | TB | Yes | 94 | Rich Hill | 7.0% | +1320 |
| Brendan Donovan | STL | Yes | 97 | Paolo Espino | 7.0% | +1335 |
| Kole Calhoun | TEX | No | 102 | Framber Valdez | 6.9% | +1350 |
| Ben Gamel | PIT | Yes | 95 | Taijuan Walker | 6.8% | +1365 |
| Gilberto Celestino | MIN | No | 103 | Gerrit Cole | 6.4% | +1470 |
