MLB Betting: Home Run, Strikeout, and Run Total Projections for Friday 9/16/22
Just how likely is a homer from a certain player tonight? How many runs will Team X score? And can the pitcher you're eying go over his strikeout prop?
To find out, I leveraged numberFire's batter and pitcher projections plus team implied totals to try to answer those questions.
Here are today's results to help us navigate daily fantasy baseball and MLB betting opportunities at MLB odds.
(Please note that these projections are subject to change throughout the day and as lineups are confirmed. To see the most current projections, check out our projections pages.)
Team Run Total Projections
| Team | Opp SP | O/U | Implied Total |
5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | Jon Heasley | 9.5 | 5.46 | 46.4% | 30.8% | 18.6% | 10.2% | 5.2% |
| HOU | Adrian Martinez | 7.5 | 4.80 | 34.9% | 20.9% | 11.3% | 5.6% | 2.5% |
| SD | Madison Bumgarner | 8.5 | 4.79 | 34.7% | 20.8% | 11.2% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| NYM | Mitch Keller | 7.5 | 4.53 | 30.2% | 17.3% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| CHC | German Marquez | 8.5 | 4.52 | 30.0% | 17.2% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| SEA | Michael Lorenzen | 8.0 | 4.38 | 27.7% | 15.4% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| ATL | Ranger Suarez | 7.5 | 4.25 | 25.5% | 13.8% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| NYY | Adrian Houser | 8.0 | 4.17 | 24.2% | 12.9% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| MIA | Josiah Gray | 8.0 | 4.15 | 23.9% | 12.7% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| LAD | Logan Webb | 7.5 | 4.13 | 23.6% | 12.5% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| CHW | Matt Manning | 7.5 | 4.07 | 22.6% | 11.8% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| TB | Martin Perez | 7.5 | 4.05 | 22.3% | 11.6% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| KC | Michael Wacha | 9.5 | 4.04 | 22.1% | 11.5% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| CLE | Bailey Ober | 7.5 | 4.00 | 21.5% | 11.1% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| COL | Marcus Stroman | 8.5 | 3.98 | 21.2% | 10.9% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| WSH | Jesus Luzardo | 8.0 | 3.85 | 19.2% | 9.6% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| MIL | Frankie Montas | 8.0 | 3.83 | 18.9% | 9.4% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| ARI | Blake Snell | 8.5 | 3.71 | 17.1% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| LAA | Robbie Ray | 8.0 | 3.62 | 15.9% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| MIN | Triston McKenzie | 7.5 | 3.50 | 14.2% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| TEX | Corey Kluber | 7.5 | 3.45 | 13.6% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| DET | Lucas Giolito | 7.5 | 3.43 | 13.3% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| SF | Dustin May | 7.5 | 3.37 | 12.6% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| PHI | Max Fried | 7.5 | 3.25 | 11.1% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| PIT | Taijuan Walker | 7.5 | 2.97 | 8.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| OAK | Justin Verlander | 7.5 | 2.70 | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Pitcher Strikeout Projections
| Pitcher | Opp | K Proj |
3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Snell | ARI | 6.7 | 89.8% | 79.3% | 65.2% | 49.7% | 34.9% | 22.7% | 13.6% |
| Robbie Ray | LAA | 6.4 | 88.0% | 76.3% | 61.3% | 45.4% | 31.0% | 19.4% | 11.3% |
| Max Fried | PHI | 6.3 | 87.7% | 75.8% | 60.7% | 44.8% | 30.4% | 19.0% | 10.9% |
| Lucas Giolito | DET | 5.8 | 82.9% | 68.6% | 52.0% | 36.0% | 22.8% | 13.2% | 7.0% |
| Triston McKenzie | MIN | 5.8 | 82.7% | 68.3% | 51.7% | 35.7% | 22.5% | 13.0% | 6.9% |
| Frankie Montas | MIL | 5.7 | 82.3% | 67.7% | 51.0% | 35.0% | 22.0% | 12.6% | 6.7% |
| Jesus Luzardo | WSH | 5.7 | 82.2% | 67.6% | 50.8% | 34.9% | 21.8% | 12.5% | 6.6% |
| Taijuan Walker | PIT | 5.5 | 79.4% | 63.6% | 46.4% | 30.8% | 18.6% | 10.2% | 5.2% |
| Logan Webb | LAD | 5.4 | 79.0% | 63.1% | 45.9% | 30.3% | 18.2% | 10.0% | 5.0% |
| Michael Wacha | KC | 5.4 | 78.8% | 62.8% | 45.6% | 30.0% | 18.0% | 9.8% | 4.9% |
| Martin Perez | TB | 5.3 | 77.8% | 61.5% | 44.2% | 28.7% | 17.0% | 9.2% | 4.5% |
| Trevor Richards | BAL | 5.1 | 74.5% | 57.2% | 39.6% | 24.8% | 14.1% | 7.3% | 3.4% |
| Corey Kluber | TEX | 5.0 | 73.5% | 56.0% | 38.4% | 23.8% | 13.3% | 6.8% | 3.2% |
| Josiah Gray | MIA | 4.9 | 72.5% | 54.7% | 37.2% | 22.8% | 12.6% | 6.4% | 2.9% |
| Ranger Suarez | ATL | 4.8 | 71.0% | 52.9% | 35.4% | 21.3% | 11.6% | 5.8% | 2.6% |
| Madison Bumgarner | SD | 4.7 | 68.9% | 50.4% | 33.0% | 19.4% | 10.3% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Marcus Stroman | COL | 4.6 | 67.9% | 49.2% | 31.9% | 18.6% | 9.8% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Dustin May | SF | 4.6 | 66.8% | 47.9% | 30.7% | 17.7% | 9.2% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| German Marquez | CHC | 4.3 | 62.3% | 43.0% | 26.3% | 14.4% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Bailey Ober | CLE | 4.3 | 62.3% | 43.0% | 26.3% | 14.4% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Adrian Houser | NYY | 4.3 | 61.7% | 42.4% | 25.8% | 14.1% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Michael Lorenzen | SEA | 4.3 | 61.6% | 42.2% | 25.7% | 13.9% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Jordan Lyles | TOR | 4.1 | 59.0% | 39.5% | 23.4% | 12.4% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Matt Manning | CHW | 4.0 | 56.1% | 36.5% | 21.0% | 10.8% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Jack Flaherty | CIN | 3.7 | 51.0% | 31.7% | 17.3% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Jon Heasley | BOS | 3.6 | 48.7% | 29.5% | 15.7% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Mitch Keller | NYM | 3.6 | 48.5% | 29.4% | 15.6% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Adrian Martinez | HOU | 3.6 | 48.3% | 29.2% | 15.5% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Justin Verlander | OAK | 3.5 | 46.3% | 27.5% | 14.2% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Justin Dunn | STL | 3.4 | 43.7% | 25.2% | 12.7% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
Daily Batter Home Run Projections
You can view all MLB game and prop odds at MLB odds.
Notes: The "Split Adv?" column refers to whether a batter is starting the game against a pitcher of the opposite handedness. "Home Run PF" refers to home run park factor for the batter's handedness; data from FanGraphs. "xHR Odds" indicate what a player's home run odds should be given the home run probability; this helps seek value.
| Batter | Team | Split Adv? |
HR PF |
Opp SP |
HR Prob% |
xHR Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez | HOU | Yes | 102 | Adrian Martinez | 24.5% | +310 |
| Mike Trout | LAA | Yes | 103 | Robbie Ray | 23.9% | +320 |
| Shohei Ohtani | LAA | No | 108 | Robbie Ray | 23.0% | +335 |
| Aaron Judge | NYY | No | 103 | Adrian Houser | 22.8% | +340 |
| C.J. Cron | COL | No | 103 | Marcus Stroman | 22.3% | +350 |
| Anthony Santander | BAL | Yes | 94 | Trevor Richards | 22.2% | +350 |
| Rafael Devers | BOS | Yes | 93 | Jon Heasley | 21.1% | +375 |
| MJ Melendez | KC | Yes | 93 | Michael Wacha | 21.1% | +375 |
| George Springer | TOR | No | 101 | Jordan Lyles | 21.0% | +375 |
| Jack Suwinski | PIT | Yes | 95 | Taijuan Walker | 20.9% | +375 |
| Manny Machado | SD | Yes | 93 | Madison Bumgarner | 20.8% | +380 |
| Evan Longoria | SF | No | 90 | Dustin May | 20.7% | +380 |
| Joey Meneses | WSH | Yes | 106 | Jesus Luzardo | 20.5% | +390 |
| Ryan Mountcastle | BAL | No | 101 | Trevor Richards | 20.5% | +390 |
| Rhys Hoskins | PHI | Yes | 97 | Max Fried | 20.3% | +390 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | TOR | No | 101 | Jordan Lyles | 19.9% | +400 |
| Seth Brown | OAK | Yes | 102 | Justin Verlander | 19.9% | +405 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | NYY | No | 103 | Adrian Houser | 19.7% | +410 |
| Mitch Haniger | SEA | No | 103 | Michael Lorenzen | 19.7% | +410 |
| Eloy Jimenez | CHW | No | 99 | Matt Manning | 19.6% | +410 |
| Julio Rodriguez | SEA | No | 103 | Michael Lorenzen | 19.1% | +425 |
| Xander Bogaerts | BOS | No | 99 | Jon Heasley | 19.1% | +425 |
| Josh Jung | TEX | No | 94 | Corey Kluber | 18.9% | +430 |
| Oneil Cruz | PIT | Yes | 95 | Taijuan Walker | 18.8% | +430 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | TOR | No | 101 | Jordan Lyles | 18.8% | +430 |
| Lane Thomas | WSH | Yes | 106 | Jesus Luzardo | 18.6% | +435 |
| Christian Walker | ARI | Yes | 93 | Blake Snell | 18.6% | +440 |
| Willy Adames | MIL | No | 103 | Frankie Montas | 18.5% | +440 |
| Albert Pujols | STL | No | 91 | Justin Dunn | 18.4% | +445 |
| Pete Alonso | NYM | No | 98 | Mitch Keller | 18.4% | +445 |
| Taylor Ward | LAA | Yes | 103 | Robbie Ray | 18.2% | +450 |
| Gavin Sheets | CHW | Yes | 94 | Matt Manning | 18.1% | +450 |
| Kerry Carpenter | DET | Yes | 94 | Lucas Giolito | 18.1% | +450 |
| Nolan Gorman | STL | Yes | 97 | Justin Dunn | 18.0% | +455 |
| Rowdy Tellez | MIL | Yes | 101 | Frankie Montas | 18.0% | +455 |
| Kyle Garlick | MIN | No | 99 | Triston McKenzie | 18.0% | +455 |
| Ty France | SEA | No | 103 | Michael Lorenzen | 17.9% | +460 |
| Tyler O'Neill | STL | No | 91 | Justin Dunn | 17.9% | +460 |
| Wilmer Flores | SF | No | 90 | Dustin May | 17.7% | +465 |
| Rodolfo Castro | PIT | Yes | 95 | Taijuan Walker | 17.7% | +465 |
| Danny Jansen | TOR | No | 101 | Jordan Lyles | 17.6% | +465 |
| Bo Bichette | TOR | No | 101 | Jordan Lyles | 17.6% | +465 |
| Chas McCormick | HOU | No | 101 | Adrian Martinez | 17.6% | +465 |
| Jose Ramirez | CLE | Yes | 103 | Bailey Ober | 17.6% | +470 |
| Max Stassi | LAA | Yes | 103 | Robbie Ray | 17.6% | +470 |
| Matt Olson | ATL | No | 100 | Ranger Suarez | 17.5% | +470 |
| Kyle Tucker | HOU | Yes | 102 | Adrian Martinez | 17.5% | +470 |
| William Contreras | ATL | Yes | 97 | Ranger Suarez | 17.4% | +475 |
| Jose Abreu | CHW | No | 99 | Matt Manning | 17.4% | +475 |
| Francisco Lindor | NYM | Yes | 95 | Mitch Keller | 17.1% | +485 |
| Bryan De La Cruz | MIA | No | 106 | Josiah Gray | 17.1% | +485 |
| Cal Raleigh | SEA | Yes | 108 | Michael Lorenzen | 17.0% | +490 |
| Josh Bell | SD | Yes | 93 | Madison Bumgarner | 16.8% | +495 |
| Emmanuel Rivera | ARI | Yes | 93 | Blake Snell | 16.8% | +495 |
| Matt Chapman | TOR | No | 101 | Jordan Lyles | 16.4% | +510 |
| Jake Fraley | CIN | Yes | 97 | Jack Flaherty | 16.2% | +515 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | KC | No | 99 | Michael Wacha | 16.2% | +520 |
| Marcell Ozuna | ATL | Yes | 97 | Ranger Suarez | 16.1% | +520 |
| Tyler Naquin | NYM | Yes | 95 | Mitch Keller | 15.9% | +530 |
| Juan Soto | SD | No | 99 | Madison Bumgarner | 15.9% | +530 |
| Cavan Biggio | TOR | Yes | 94 | Jordan Lyles | 15.8% | +535 |
| Jose Altuve | HOU | No | 101 | Adrian Martinez | 15.8% | +535 |
| Luis Rengifo | LAA | Yes | 103 | Robbie Ray | 15.5% | +545 |
| Gio Urshela | MIN | No | 99 | Triston McKenzie | 15.5% | +545 |
| Trevor Story | BOS | No | 99 | Jon Heasley | 15.5% | +545 |
| Nathaniel Lowe | TEX | Yes | 92 | Corey Kluber | 15.5% | +545 |
| Jonah Heim | TEX | Yes | 92 | Corey Kluber | 15.5% | +545 |
| Austin Riley | ATL | Yes | 97 | Ranger Suarez | 15.5% | +545 |
| Andrew McCutchen | MIL | No | 103 | Frankie Montas | 15.4% | +550 |
| Eugenio Suarez | SEA | No | 103 | Michael Lorenzen | 15.4% | +550 |
| Randal Grichuk | COL | No | 103 | Marcus Stroman | 15.4% | +550 |
| Gleyber Torres | NYY | No | 103 | Adrian Houser | 15.4% | +550 |
| Alex Bregman | HOU | No | 101 | Adrian Martinez | 15.1% | +560 |
| Aristides Aquino | CIN | No | 91 | Jack Flaherty | 15.1% | +565 |
| Mookie Betts | LAD | No | 90 | Logan Webb | 15.0% | +570 |
| Carson Kelly | ARI | Yes | 93 | Blake Snell | 14.9% | +570 |
| Corey Seager | TEX | Yes | 92 | Corey Kluber | 14.9% | +570 |
| Carlos Correa | MIN | No | 99 | Triston McKenzie | 14.9% | +570 |
| Adolis Garcia | TEX | No | 94 | Corey Kluber | 14.9% | +570 |
| J.T. Realmuto | PHI | Yes | 97 | Max Fried | 14.8% | +575 |
| Hunter Renfroe | MIL | No | 103 | Frankie Montas | 14.7% | +580 |
| Christopher Morel | CHC | No | 103 | German Marquez | 14.7% | +580 |
| Jorge Mateo | BAL | No | 101 | Trevor Richards | 14.5% | +590 |
| Luke Voit | WSH | Yes | 106 | Jesus Luzardo | 14.4% | +590 |
| Avisail Garcia | MIA | No | 106 | Josiah Gray | 14.4% | +595 |
| Will Smith | LAD | No | 90 | Logan Webb | 14.4% | +595 |
| Tommy Edman | STL | Yes | 97 | Justin Dunn | 14.3% | +600 |
| TJ Friedl | CIN | Yes | 97 | Jack Flaherty | 14.3% | +600 |
| Salvador Perez | KC | No | 99 | Michael Wacha | 14.2% | +600 |
| Oscar Gonzalez | CLE | No | 99 | Bailey Ober | 14.2% | +600 |
| Carlos Santana | SEA | Yes | 108 | Michael Lorenzen | 14.2% | +605 |
| Jo Adell | LAA | Yes | 103 | Robbie Ray | 14.1% | +610 |
| Franmil Reyes | CHC | No | 103 | German Marquez | 14.0% | +610 |
| Cedric Mullins | BAL | Yes | 94 | Trevor Richards | 13.9% | +620 |
| Garrett Cooper | MIA | No | 106 | Josiah Gray | 13.7% | +630 |
| Marcus Semien | TEX | No | 94 | Corey Kluber | 13.6% | +635 |
| Freddie Freeman | LAD | Yes | 87 | Logan Webb | 13.6% | +635 |
| Joey Gallo | LAD | Yes | 87 | Logan Webb | 13.6% | +635 |
| Jorge Alfaro | SD | Yes | 93 | Madison Bumgarner | 13.6% | +635 |
| Lars Nootbaar | STL | Yes | 97 | Justin Dunn | 13.6% | +635 |
| Tommy Pham | BOS | No | 99 | Jon Heasley | 13.6% | +635 |
| Ryan McMahon | COL | Yes | 96 | Marcus Stroman | 13.5% | +640 |
| Dan Vogelbach | NYM | Yes | 95 | Mitch Keller | 13.4% | +650 |
| Bryan Reynolds | PIT | Yes | 95 | Taijuan Walker | 13.4% | +650 |
| Nico Hoerner | CHC | No | 103 | German Marquez | 13.3% | +650 |
| Kyle Schwarber | PHI | No | 100 | Max Fried | 13.2% | +660 |
| Trea Turner | LAD | No | 90 | Logan Webb | 13.1% | +660 |
| Joey Bart | SF | No | 90 | Dustin May | 13.1% | +660 |
| Austin Hays | BAL | No | 101 | Trevor Richards | 13.1% | +660 |
| Sean Murphy | OAK | No | 101 | Justin Verlander | 13.1% | +660 |
| Riley Adams | WSH | Yes | 106 | Jesus Luzardo | 12.9% | +675 |
| Dansby Swanson | ATL | Yes | 97 | Ranger Suarez | 12.7% | +685 |
| Elias Diaz | COL | No | 103 | Marcus Stroman | 12.6% | +690 |
| Yoan Moncada | CHW | Yes | 94 | Matt Manning | 12.6% | +695 |
| Adley Rutschman | BAL | Yes | 94 | Trevor Richards | 12.6% | +695 |
| Lewis Brinson | SF | No | 90 | Dustin May | 12.5% | +700 |
| Nick Pratto | KC | Yes | 93 | Michael Wacha | 12.5% | +700 |
| Mike Toglia | COL | Yes | 96 | Marcus Stroman | 12.1% | +725 |
| Josh Donaldson | NYY | No | 103 | Adrian Houser | 11.9% | +740 |
| Seiya Suzuki | CHC | No | 103 | German Marquez | 11.9% | +740 |
| David Villar | SF | No | 90 | Dustin May | 11.9% | +740 |
| Jesse Winker | SEA | Yes | 108 | Michael Lorenzen | 11.9% | +745 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | KC | Yes | 93 | Michael Wacha | 11.8% | +745 |
| Max Muncy | LAD | Yes | 87 | Logan Webb | 11.8% | +750 |
| Martin Maldonado | HOU | No | 101 | Adrian Martinez | 11.7% | +755 |
| Ramon Urias | BAL | No | 101 | Trevor Richards | 11.7% | +755 |
| Corey Dickerson | STL | Yes | 97 | Justin Dunn | 11.5% | +765 |
| J.D. Martinez | BOS | No | 99 | Jon Heasley | 11.5% | +770 |
| Romy Gonzalez | CHW | No | 99 | Matt Manning | 11.5% | +770 |
| Ian Happ | CHC | Yes | 96 | German Marquez | 11.4% | +775 |
| Zach McKinstry | CHC | Yes | 96 | German Marquez | 11.4% | +775 |
| Michael Harris II | ATL | No | 100 | Ranger Suarez | 11.4% | +780 |
| Corbin Carroll | ARI | No | 99 | Blake Snell | 11.3% | +790 |
| Justin Turner | LAD | No | 90 | Logan Webb | 11.2% | +790 |
| Ozzie Albies | ATL | Yes | 97 | Ranger Suarez | 11.2% | +790 |
| Brendan Rodgers | COL | No | 103 | Marcus Stroman | 11.2% | +795 |
| Alan Trejo | COL | No | 103 | Marcus Stroman | 11.2% | +795 |
| Trey Mancini | HOU | No | 101 | Adrian Martinez | 11.0% | +810 |
| Chad Pinder | OAK | No | 101 | Justin Verlander | 11.0% | +810 |
| Yulieski Gurriel | HOU | No | 101 | Adrian Martinez | 11.0% | +810 |
| Randy Arozarena | TB | Yes | 94 | Martin Perez | 10.9% | +815 |
| Jurickson Profar | SD | Yes | 93 | Madison Bumgarner | 10.8% | +825 |
| Jonathan Schoop | DET | No | 99 | Lucas Giolito | 10.8% | +830 |
| Enrique Hernandez | BOS | No | 99 | Jon Heasley | 10.8% | +830 |
| Javier Baez | DET | No | 99 | Lucas Giolito | 10.8% | +830 |
| Luis Robert | CHW | No | 99 | Matt Manning | 10.8% | +830 |
| Andrew Vaughn | CHW | No | 99 | Matt Manning | 10.8% | +830 |
| Connor Wong | BOS | No | 99 | Jon Heasley | 10.8% | +830 |
| Spencer Torkelson | DET | No | 99 | Lucas Giolito | 10.8% | +830 |
| Jose Miranda | MIN | No | 99 | Triston McKenzie | 10.8% | +830 |
| Jonathan India | CIN | No | 91 | Jack Flaherty | 10.7% | +835 |
| Nick Fortes | MIA | No | 106 | Josiah Gray | 10.7% | +835 |
| Charles Leblanc | MIA | No | 106 | Josiah Gray | 10.7% | +835 |
| Andres Gimenez | CLE | Yes | 103 | Bailey Ober | 10.6% | +840 |
| Eduardo Escobar | NYM | Yes | 95 | Mitch Keller | 10.6% | +840 |
| Brandon Nimmo | NYM | Yes | 95 | Mitch Keller | 10.6% | +840 |
| Stephen Vogt | OAK | Yes | 102 | Justin Verlander | 10.5% | +850 |
| Drew Waters | KC | Yes | 93 | Michael Wacha | 10.4% | +860 |
| Mike Ford | LAA | No | 108 | Robbie Ray | 10.1% | +885 |
| Elvis Andrus | CHW | No | 99 | Matt Manning | 10.0% | +895 |
| Michael Chavis | PIT | No | 98 | Taijuan Walker | 10.0% | +905 |
| Ben Gamel | PIT | Yes | 95 | Taijuan Walker | 9.9% | +910 |
| Brian Anderson | MIA | No | 106 | Josiah Gray | 9.9% | +910 |
| Sandy Leon | MIN | Yes | 103 | Triston McKenzie | 9.8% | +915 |
| Alex Verdugo | BOS | Yes | 93 | Jon Heasley | 9.7% | +930 |
| Ronald Acuna | ATL | Yes | 97 | Ranger Suarez | 9.7% | +935 |
| Jose Trevino | NYY | No | 103 | Adrian Houser | 9.6% | +940 |
| Alex Call | WSH | Yes | 106 | Jesus Luzardo | 9.6% | +940 |
| Alejandro Kirk | TOR | No | 101 | Jordan Lyles | 9.5% | +955 |
| Wil Myers | SD | Yes | 93 | Madison Bumgarner | 9.3% | +970 |
| Thairo Estrada | SF | No | 90 | Dustin May | 9.2% | +985 |
| Cody Bellinger | LAD | Yes | 87 | Logan Webb | 9.1% | +995 |
| Jon Berti | MIA | No | 106 | Josiah Gray | 9.1% | +1000 |
| Jerar Encarnacion | MIA | No | 106 | Josiah Gray | 9.1% | +1000 |
| Cody Thomas | OAK | Yes | 102 | Justin Verlander | 8.9% | +1020 |
| Kolten Wong | MIL | Yes | 101 | Frankie Montas | 8.9% | +1025 |
| Christian Bethancourt | TB | Yes | 94 | Martin Perez | 8.6% | +1055 |
| Ketel Marte | ARI | Yes | 93 | Blake Snell | 8.6% | +1070 |
| J.D. Davis | SF | No | 90 | Dustin May | 8.5% | +1070 |
| Owen Miller | CLE | No | 99 | Bailey Ober | 8.5% | +1070 |
| Riley Greene | DET | Yes | 94 | Lucas Giolito | 8.3% | +1105 |
| David Peralta | TB | No | 92 | Martin Perez | 8.2% | +1125 |
| Jake Cronenworth | SD | No | 99 | Madison Bumgarner | 8.1% | +1140 |
| Yan Gomes | CHC | No | 103 | German Marquez | 8.0% | +1145 |
| Jeremy Pena | HOU | No | 101 | Adrian Martinez | 7.9% | +1165 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | WSH | Yes | 106 | Jesus Luzardo | 7.9% | +1170 |
| Wander Franco | TB | Yes | 94 | Martin Perez | 7.9% | +1175 |
| Jose Siri | TB | Yes | 94 | Martin Perez | 7.9% | +1175 |
| Luis Gonzalez | SF | No | 90 | Dustin May | 7.8% | +1180 |
| Stone Garrett | ARI | Yes | 93 | Blake Snell | 7.8% | +1185 |
| Rougned Odor | BAL | Yes | 94 | Trevor Richards | 7.5% | +1225 |
| Jonathan Aranda | TB | No | 92 | Martin Perez | 7.5% | +1225 |
| Max Kepler | MIN | Yes | 103 | Triston McKenzie | 7.4% | +1255 |
| Steven Kwan | CLE | Yes | 103 | Bailey Ober | 7.4% | +1255 |
| Matt Vierling | PHI | Yes | 97 | Max Fried | 7.3% | +1280 |
| Christian Yelich | MIL | Yes | 101 | Frankie Montas | 7.2% | +1280 |
| Brendan Donovan | STL | Yes | 97 | Justin Dunn | 7.0% | +1335 |
| Nelson Cruz | WSH | Yes | 106 | Jesus Luzardo | 7.0% | +1335 |
| Charlie Blackmon | COL | Yes | 96 | Marcus Stroman | 6.9% | +1350 |
| Jeff McNeil | NYM | Yes | 95 | Mitch Keller | 6.8% | +1365 |
| J.P. Crawford | SEA | Yes | 108 | Michael Lorenzen | 6.8% | +1370 |
