MLB Betting: Home Run, Strikeout, and Run Total Projections for Friday 9/23/22
Just how likely is a homer from a certain player tonight? How many runs will Team X score? And can the pitcher you're eying go over his strikeout prop?
To find out, I leveraged numberFire's batter and pitcher projections plus team implied totals to try to answer those questions.
Here are today's results to help us navigate daily fantasy baseball and MLB betting opportunities at MLB odds.
(Please note that these projections are subject to change throughout the day and as lineups are confirmed. To see the most current projections, check out our projections pages.)
Team Run Total Projections
| Team | Opp SP | O/U | Implied Total |
5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SD | Ryan Feltner | 11.0 | 6.04 | 56.1% | 40.0% | 26.2% | 15.7% | 8.7% |
| COL | Sean Manaea | 11.0 | 4.96 | 37.7% | 23.2% | 12.9% | 6.6% | 3.0% |
| MIL | Mike Minor | 9.0 | 4.95 | 37.5% | 23.1% | 12.8% | 6.5% | 3.0% |
| LAD | Jose Quintana | 8.5 | 4.80 | 34.9% | 20.9% | 11.3% | 5.6% | 2.5% |
| NYY | Rich Hill | 7.5 | 4.40 | 28.0% | 15.6% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| SF | Tommy Henry | 8.0 | 4.30 | 26.3% | 14.4% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| NYM | Cole Irvin | 7.0 | 4.13 | 23.6% | 12.5% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| PIT | Javier Assad | 8.0 | 4.10 | 23.1% | 12.1% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| HOU | Dean Kremer | 7.5 | 4.06 | 22.4% | 11.7% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| CIN | Eric Lauer | 9.0 | 4.05 | 22.3% | 11.6% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| CHW | Eduardo Rodriguez | 7.0 | 3.92 | 20.2% | 10.3% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| CHC | Bryse Wilson | 8.0 | 3.90 | 19.9% | 10.1% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| TEX | Cody Morris | 7.5 | 3.89 | 19.8% | 10.0% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| PHI | Jake Odorizzi | 7.0 | 3.83 | 18.9% | 9.4% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| TB | Mitch White | 7.0 | 3.75 | 17.7% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| ARI | Carlos Rodon | 8.0 | 3.70 | 17.0% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| STL | Andrew Heaney | 8.5 | 3.70 | 17.0% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| CLE | Jon Gray | 7.5 | 3.61 | 15.7% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| BAL | Jose Urquidy | 7.5 | 3.44 | 13.5% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| TOR | Jeffrey Springs | 7.0 | 3.25 | 11.1% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| ATL | Aaron Nola | 7.0 | 3.17 | 10.2% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| BOS | Gerrit Cole | 7.5 | 3.10 | 9.4% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| DET | Lucas Giolito | 7.0 | 3.08 | 9.2% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| OAK | Chris Bassitt | 7.0 | 2.87 | 7.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Pitcher Strikeout Projections
| Pitcher | Opp | K Proj |
3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerrit Cole | BOS | 7.7 | 94.9% | 88.4% | 78.3% | 65.3% | 50.9% | 37.0% | 25.0% |
| Aaron Nola | ATL | 7.3 | 93.3% | 85.3% | 73.7% | 59.5% | 44.7% | 31.2% | 20.2% |
| Shohei Ohtani | MIN | 7.3 | 93.1% | 85.0% | 73.2% | 59.0% | 44.1% | 30.7% | 19.8% |
| Carlos Rodon | ARI | 7.0 | 91.7% | 82.4% | 69.5% | 54.6% | 39.7% | 26.7% | 16.6% |
| Lucas Giolito | DET | 6.2 | 86.4% | 73.8% | 58.3% | 42.3% | 28.1% | 17.2% | 9.7% |
| Chris Bassitt | OAK | 6.0 | 84.6% | 71.1% | 54.9% | 38.9% | 25.2% | 15.0% | 8.2% |
| Jeffrey Springs | TOR | 6.0 | 84.6% | 71.1% | 54.9% | 38.9% | 25.2% | 15.0% | 8.2% |
| Jon Gray | CLE | 5.7 | 82.3% | 67.7% | 51.0% | 35.0% | 22.0% | 12.6% | 6.7% |
| Andrew Heaney | STL | 5.7 | 82.0% | 67.3% | 50.5% | 34.6% | 21.6% | 12.3% | 6.5% |
| Jose Urquidy | BAL | 5.4 | 78.2% | 62.0% | 44.7% | 29.2% | 17.4% | 9.4% | 4.7% |
| Braxton Garrett | WSH | 5.2 | 75.9% | 59.1% | 41.6% | 26.5% | 15.3% | 8.0% | 3.9% |
| Brady Singer | SEA | 5.1 | 75.0% | 57.9% | 40.3% | 25.4% | 14.5% | 7.6% | 3.6% |
| Sean Manaea | COL | 5.0 | 73.6% | 56.1% | 38.6% | 23.9% | 13.4% | 6.9% | 3.2% |
| Eric Lauer | CIN | 4.9 | 72.2% | 54.4% | 36.8% | 22.5% | 12.4% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
| Josiah Gray | MIA | 4.9 | 71.3% | 53.3% | 35.8% | 21.6% | 11.8% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
| Louie Varland | LAA | 4.6 | 68.1% | 49.4% | 32.1% | 18.7% | 9.9% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Eduardo Rodriguez | CHW | 4.6 | 66.8% | 47.9% | 30.7% | 17.7% | 9.2% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Jose Quintana | LAD | 4.6 | 66.6% | 47.7% | 30.6% | 17.5% | 9.1% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Mike Minor | MIL | 4.2 | 60.5% | 41.0% | 24.7% | 13.3% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Cole Irvin | NYM | 4.2 | 60.3% | 40.8% | 24.5% | 13.1% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Jake Odorizzi | PHI | 4.2 | 59.7% | 40.2% | 24.0% | 12.8% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Marco Gonzales | KC | 4.1 | 59.0% | 39.5% | 23.4% | 12.4% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Javier Assad | PIT | 4.1 | 58.2% | 38.7% | 22.7% | 11.9% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Dean Kremer | HOU | 4.0 | 56.7% | 37.1% | 21.5% | 11.1% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Rich Hill | NYY | 3.9 | 55.1% | 35.6% | 20.2% | 10.3% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Mitch White | TB | 3.8 | 53.1% | 33.6% | 18.7% | 9.3% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Tommy Henry | SF | 3.8 | 52.9% | 33.4% | 18.6% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Feltner | SD | 3.8 | 51.8% | 32.4% | 17.9% | 8.7% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Cody Morris | TEX | 3.5 | 45.9% | 27.1% | 14.0% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Bryse Wilson | CHC | 3.4 | 43.3% | 24.8% | 12.4% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
Daily Batter Home Run Projections
You can view all MLB game and prop odds at MLB odds.
Notes: The "Split Adv?" column refers to whether a batter is starting the game against a pitcher of the opposite handedness. "Home Run PF" refers to home run park factor for the batter's handedness; data from FanGraphs. "xHR Odds" indicate what a player's home run odds should be given the home run probability; this helps seek value.
| Batter | Team | Split Adv? |
HR PF |
Opp SP |
HR Prob% |
xHR Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Cron | COL | Yes | 108 | Sean Manaea | 28.2% | +255 |
| Manny Machado | SD | No | 108 | Ryan Feltner | 27.2% | +270 |
| Austin Riley | ATL | No | 110 | Aaron Nola | 26.6% | +275 |
| Willy Adames | MIL | Yes | 111 | Mike Minor | 26.1% | +285 |
| Stuart Fairchild | CIN | Yes | 111 | Eric Lauer | 26.1% | +285 |
| Bryce Harper | PHI | Yes | 106 | Jake Odorizzi | 26.0% | +285 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | STL | Yes | 107 | Andrew Heaney | 25.9% | +285 |
| Anthony Santander | BAL | Yes | 110 | Jose Urquidy | 25.7% | +290 |
| Yordan Alvarez | HOU | Yes | 110 | Dean Kremer | 25.2% | +295 |
| Rodolfo Castro | PIT | Yes | 95 | Javier Assad | 24.2% | +315 |
| Wilmer Flores | SF | Yes | 93 | Tommy Henry | 24.1% | +315 |
| Shohei Ohtani | LAA | Yes | 99 | Louie Varland | 24.0% | +315 |
| Nolan Arenado | STL | Yes | 107 | Andrew Heaney | 24.0% | +315 |
| Trea Turner | LAD | Yes | 107 | Jose Quintana | 24.0% | +315 |
| Rhys Hoskins | PHI | No | 110 | Jake Odorizzi | 23.9% | +320 |
| Pete Alonso | NYM | Yes | 94 | Cole Irvin | 23.9% | +320 |
| Adolis Garcia | TEX | No | 95 | Cody Morris | 23.8% | +320 |
| Tyrone Taylor | MIL | Yes | 111 | Mike Minor | 23.5% | +325 |
| Mike Trout | LAA | No | 98 | Louie Varland | 23.5% | +325 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | NYY | Yes | 103 | Rich Hill | 23.4% | +330 |
| Aaron Judge | NYY | Yes | 103 | Rich Hill | 22.3% | +350 |
| Eric Haase | DET | No | 106 | Lucas Giolito | 22.3% | +350 |
| Hunter Renfroe | MIL | Yes | 111 | Mike Minor | 21.8% | +360 |
| Bryan Reynolds | PIT | Yes | 95 | Javier Assad | 21.4% | +365 |
| Oneil Cruz | PIT | Yes | 95 | Javier Assad | 21.4% | +365 |
| Kyle Tucker | HOU | Yes | 110 | Dean Kremer | 21.0% | +375 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | TOR | Yes | 94 | Jeffrey Springs | 20.9% | +380 |
| Jose Altuve | HOU | No | 112 | Dean Kremer | 20.9% | +380 |
| Rafael Devers | BOS | Yes | 109 | Gerrit Cole | 20.9% | +380 |
| Juan Soto | SD | Yes | 109 | Ryan Feltner | 20.9% | +380 |
| Evan Longoria | SF | Yes | 93 | Tommy Henry | 20.8% | +380 |
| Salvador Perez | KC | Yes | 92 | Marco Gonzales | 20.6% | +385 |
| Kyle Schwarber | PHI | Yes | 106 | Jake Odorizzi | 20.4% | +390 |
| Francisco Lindor | NYM | Yes | 94 | Cole Irvin | 20.4% | +390 |
| Danny Jansen | TOR | Yes | 94 | Jeffrey Springs | 20.4% | +390 |
| Jeremy Pena | HOU | No | 112 | Dean Kremer | 20.3% | +390 |
| Marcus Semien | TEX | No | 95 | Cody Morris | 20.1% | +400 |
| Aristides Aquino | CIN | Yes | 111 | Eric Lauer | 19.9% | +400 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | TOR | Yes | 94 | Jeffrey Springs | 19.9% | +405 |
| Corey Seager | TEX | Yes | 101 | Cody Morris | 19.7% | +405 |
| Jonah Heim | TEX | Yes | 101 | Cody Morris | 19.7% | +405 |
| Mookie Betts | LAD | Yes | 107 | Jose Quintana | 19.4% | +415 |
| Jack Suwinski | PIT | Yes | 95 | Javier Assad | 19.4% | +415 |
| Kerry Carpenter | DET | Yes | 111 | Lucas Giolito | 19.3% | +420 |
| Rowdy Tellez | MIL | No | 113 | Mike Minor | 19.3% | +420 |
| David Villar | SF | Yes | 93 | Tommy Henry | 19.1% | +420 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | SF | No | 99 | Tommy Henry | 18.9% | +430 |
| Mark Canha | NYM | Yes | 94 | Cole Irvin | 18.7% | +435 |
| Andrew McCutchen | MIL | Yes | 111 | Mike Minor | 18.6% | +435 |
| Josh Bell | SD | Yes | 109 | Ryan Feltner | 18.4% | +445 |
| Jake Cronenworth | SD | Yes | 109 | Ryan Feltner | 18.4% | +445 |
| Luis Rengifo | LAA | Yes | 99 | Louie Varland | 18.3% | +445 |
| Mitch Haniger | SEA | No | 92 | Brady Singer | 18.0% | +455 |
| Nick Maton | PHI | Yes | 106 | Jake Odorizzi | 18.0% | +455 |
| Eloy Jimenez | CHW | Yes | 106 | Eduardo Rodriguez | 18.0% | +455 |
| Andrew Vaughn | CHW | Yes | 106 | Eduardo Rodriguez | 18.0% | +455 |
| Nathaniel Lowe | TEX | Yes | 101 | Cody Morris | 18.0% | +455 |
| Carlos Correa | MIN | No | 98 | Shohei Ohtani | 17.8% | +460 |
| Alex Bregman | HOU | No | 112 | Dean Kremer | 17.8% | +460 |
| George Springer | TOR | Yes | 94 | Jeffrey Springs | 17.6% | +470 |
| William Contreras | ATL | No | 110 | Aaron Nola | 17.6% | +470 |
| Justin Turner | LAD | Yes | 107 | Jose Quintana | 17.4% | +475 |
| Thairo Estrada | SF | Yes | 93 | Tommy Henry | 17.4% | +475 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | KC | Yes | 92 | Marco Gonzales | 17.3% | +480 |
| Cal Raleigh | SEA | Yes | 92 | Brady Singer | 17.3% | +480 |
| Randy Arozarena | TB | No | 94 | Mitch White | 17.2% | +480 |
| Victor Caratini | MIL | Yes | 111 | Mike Minor | 17.2% | +480 |
| Luis Urias | MIL | Yes | 111 | Mike Minor | 17.2% | +480 |
| Jonathan India | CIN | Yes | 111 | Eric Lauer | 17.2% | +480 |
| Chas McCormick | HOU | No | 112 | Dean Kremer | 17.1% | +485 |
| J.T. Realmuto | PHI | No | 110 | Jake Odorizzi | 16.9% | +490 |
| Elehuris Montero | COL | Yes | 108 | Sean Manaea | 16.9% | +495 |
| Oscar Gonzalez | CLE | No | 95 | Jon Gray | 16.8% | +495 |
| Albert Pujols | STL | Yes | 107 | Andrew Heaney | 16.7% | +500 |
| Michael Harris II | ATL | Yes | 106 | Aaron Nola | 16.7% | +500 |
| Michael Brosseau | MIL | Yes | 111 | Mike Minor | 16.5% | +505 |
| Eduardo Escobar | NYM | Yes | 94 | Cole Irvin | 16.3% | +510 |
| Josh Donaldson | NYY | Yes | 103 | Rich Hill | 16.2% | +515 |
| Gleyber Torres | NYY | Yes | 103 | Rich Hill | 16.2% | +515 |
| Joey Bart | SF | Yes | 93 | Tommy Henry | 16.2% | +515 |
| Jose Ramirez | CLE | Yes | 101 | Jon Gray | 16.1% | +520 |
| Tommy Edman | STL | Yes | 107 | Andrew Heaney | 16.0% | +525 |
| Taylor Ward | LAA | No | 98 | Louie Varland | 16.0% | +525 |
| Brandon Drury | SD | No | 108 | Ryan Feltner | 16.0% | +525 |
| Elvis Andrus | CHW | Yes | 106 | Eduardo Rodriguez | 15.9% | +530 |
| Gunnar Henderson | BAL | Yes | 110 | Jose Urquidy | 15.8% | +530 |
| Carlos Santana | SEA | Yes | 92 | Brady Singer | 15.5% | +545 |
| Jonathan Aranda | TB | Yes | 92 | Mitch White | 15.5% | +545 |
| Hunter Dozier | KC | Yes | 92 | Marco Gonzales | 15.4% | +545 |
| J.D. Martinez | BOS | No | 103 | Gerrit Cole | 15.4% | +550 |
| Ben Gamel | PIT | Yes | 95 | Javier Assad | 15.3% | +555 |
| Paul DeJong | STL | Yes | 107 | Andrew Heaney | 15.3% | +555 |
| Mickey Moniak | LAA | Yes | 99 | Louie Varland | 15.2% | +560 |
| Matt Chapman | TOR | Yes | 94 | Jeffrey Springs | 15.1% | +565 |
| Kyle Farmer | CIN | Yes | 111 | Eric Lauer | 15.0% | +565 |
| Sean Murphy | OAK | No | 94 | Chris Bassitt | 14.9% | +570 |
| Anthony Rizzo | NYY | No | 109 | Rich Hill | 14.8% | +575 |
| Gio Urshela | MIN | No | 98 | Shohei Ohtani | 14.8% | +575 |
| Gary Sanchez | MIN | No | 98 | Shohei Ohtani | 14.8% | +575 |
| Andres Gimenez | CLE | Yes | 101 | Jon Gray | 14.8% | +575 |
| Christopher Morel | CHC | No | 92 | Bryse Wilson | 14.6% | +585 |
| Will Smith | LAD | Yes | 107 | Jose Quintana | 14.6% | +585 |
| Yoan Moncada | CHW | Yes | 106 | Eduardo Rodriguez | 14.4% | +590 |
| Austin Hays | BAL | No | 112 | Jose Urquidy | 14.3% | +600 |
| Nelson Velazquez | CHC | No | 92 | Bryse Wilson | 14.0% | +615 |
| Josh Jung | TEX | No | 95 | Cody Morris | 13.8% | +625 |
| Jeimer Candelario | DET | Yes | 111 | Lucas Giolito | 13.7% | +630 |
| Seth Brown | OAK | Yes | 92 | Chris Bassitt | 13.7% | +630 |
| Austin Slater | SF | Yes | 93 | Tommy Henry | 13.6% | +635 |
| Adley Rutschman | BAL | Yes | 110 | Jose Urquidy | 13.6% | +635 |
| Freddie Freeman | LAD | No | 102 | Jose Quintana | 13.4% | +645 |
| Zach McKinstry | CHC | Yes | 95 | Bryse Wilson | 13.4% | +650 |
| Matt Thaiss | LAA | Yes | 99 | Louie Varland | 13.2% | +660 |
| Brian Anderson | MIA | No | 90 | Josiah Gray | 13.1% | +660 |
| Ha-Seong Kim | SD | No | 108 | Ryan Feltner | 13.1% | +660 |
| Elias Diaz | COL | Yes | 108 | Sean Manaea | 13.1% | +660 |
| Bo Bichette | TOR | Yes | 94 | Jeffrey Springs | 13.1% | +665 |
| Chris Taylor | LAD | Yes | 107 | Jose Quintana | 13.0% | +670 |
| Trayce Thompson | LAD | Yes | 107 | Jose Quintana | 13.0% | +670 |
| Christian Bethancourt | TB | No | 94 | Mitch White | 13.0% | +670 |
| J.D. Davis | SF | Yes | 93 | Tommy Henry | 12.9% | +675 |
| Spencer Torkelson | DET | No | 106 | Lucas Giolito | 12.9% | +675 |
| Trey Mancini | HOU | No | 112 | Dean Kremer | 12.8% | +680 |
| Ramon Urias | BAL | No | 112 | Jose Urquidy | 12.8% | +680 |
| Jorge Mateo | BAL | No | 112 | Jose Urquidy | 12.8% | +680 |
| Julio Rodriguez | SEA | No | 92 | Brady Singer | 12.8% | +685 |
| Xander Bogaerts | BOS | No | 103 | Gerrit Cole | 12.6% | +690 |
| Dansby Swanson | ATL | No | 110 | Aaron Nola | 12.6% | +695 |
| Riley Adams | WSH | Yes | 90 | Braxton Garrett | 12.6% | +695 |
| Joey Meneses | WSH | Yes | 90 | Braxton Garrett | 12.6% | +695 |
| Jesse Winker | SEA | Yes | 92 | Brady Singer | 12.4% | +710 |
| Jarred Kelenic | SEA | Yes | 92 | Brady Singer | 12.4% | +710 |
| Jose Siri | TB | No | 94 | Mitch White | 12.3% | +710 |
| Dermis Garcia | OAK | No | 94 | Chris Bassitt | 12.3% | +710 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | KC | No | 92 | Marco Gonzales | 12.3% | +715 |
| Emmanuel Rivera | ARI | Yes | 93 | Carlos Rodon | 12.2% | +715 |
| Juan Yepez | STL | Yes | 107 | Andrew Heaney | 12.2% | +720 |
| Ty France | SEA | No | 92 | Brady Singer | 12.1% | +725 |
| Martin Maldonado | HOU | No | 112 | Dean Kremer | 12.0% | +735 |
| Ryan Mountcastle | BAL | No | 112 | Jose Urquidy | 12.0% | +735 |
| Christian Yelich | MIL | No | 113 | Mike Minor | 11.9% | +735 |
| Luke Voit | WSH | Yes | 90 | Braxton Garrett | 11.9% | +740 |
| Lane Thomas | WSH | Yes | 90 | Braxton Garrett | 11.9% | +740 |
| Garrett Cooper | MIA | No | 90 | Josiah Gray | 11.9% | +740 |
| Austin Romine | CIN | Yes | 111 | Eric Lauer | 11.8% | +750 |
| Lewin Diaz | MIA | Yes | 92 | Josiah Gray | 11.7% | +755 |
| Wander Franco | TB | Yes | 92 | Mitch White | 11.7% | +755 |
| Matt Olson | ATL | Yes | 106 | Aaron Nola | 11.7% | +755 |
| Jose Azocar | SD | No | 108 | Ryan Feltner | 11.6% | +760 |
| Randal Grichuk | COL | Yes | 108 | Sean Manaea | 11.5% | +770 |
| Connor Joe | COL | Yes | 108 | Sean Manaea | 11.5% | +770 |
| Dylan Carlson | STL | Yes | 107 | Andrew Heaney | 11.4% | +775 |
| A.J. Pollock | CHW | Yes | 106 | Eduardo Rodriguez | 11.3% | +785 |
| Tommy Pham | BOS | No | 103 | Gerrit Cole | 11.2% | +795 |
| Oswaldo Cabrera | NYY | Yes | 103 | Rich Hill | 11.0% | +805 |
| Ronald Acuna | ATL | No | 110 | Aaron Nola | 11.0% | +805 |
| Brandon Marsh | PHI | Yes | 106 | Jake Odorizzi | 10.9% | +820 |
| Carson Kelly | ARI | Yes | 93 | Carlos Rodon | 10.8% | +825 |
| Austin Barnes | LAD | Yes | 107 | Jose Quintana | 10.6% | +845 |
| MJ Melendez | KC | No | 92 | Marco Gonzales | 10.6% | +845 |
| Riley Greene | DET | Yes | 111 | Lucas Giolito | 10.5% | +850 |
| Austin Hedges | CLE | No | 95 | Jon Gray | 10.4% | +860 |
| Jurickson Profar | SD | Yes | 109 | Ryan Feltner | 10.3% | +865 |
| JJ Bleday | MIA | Yes | 92 | Josiah Gray | 10.3% | +870 |
| Yandy Diaz | TB | No | 94 | Mitch White | 10.3% | +870 |
| Shea Langeliers | OAK | No | 94 | Chris Bassitt | 10.3% | +870 |
| Travis d'Arnaud | ATL | No | 110 | Aaron Nola | 10.2% | +880 |
| Alec Bohm | PHI | No | 110 | Jake Odorizzi | 10.2% | +880 |
| Bryson Stott | PHI | Yes | 106 | Jake Odorizzi | 10.1% | +890 |
| Christian Walker | ARI | Yes | 93 | Carlos Rodon | 10.1% | +890 |
| Luis Gonzalez | SF | Yes | 93 | Tommy Henry | 10.1% | +890 |
| Charles Leblanc | MIA | No | 90 | Josiah Gray | 9.9% | +910 |
| Ian Happ | CHC | Yes | 95 | Bryse Wilson | 9.9% | +910 |
| Javier Baez | DET | No | 106 | Lucas Giolito | 9.9% | +910 |
| Luis Garcia | WSH | Yes | 90 | Braxton Garrett | 9.8% | +920 |
| Alex Call | WSH | Yes | 90 | Braxton Garrett | 9.8% | +920 |
| Yadier Molina | STL | Yes | 107 | Andrew Heaney | 9.7% | +930 |
| Yasmani Grandal | CHW | Yes | 106 | Eduardo Rodriguez | 9.6% | +940 |
| Alejandro Kirk | TOR | Yes | 94 | Jeffrey Springs | 9.4% | +960 |
| David Bote | CHC | No | 92 | Bryse Wilson | 9.4% | +965 |
| Vaughn Grissom | ATL | No | 110 | Aaron Nola | 9.4% | +965 |
| Daulton Varsho | ARI | No | 99 | Carlos Rodon | 9.4% | +965 |
| Jordan Luplow | ARI | Yes | 93 | Carlos Rodon | 9.3% | +970 |
| Edward Olivares | KC | Yes | 92 | Marco Gonzales | 9.2% | +985 |
| Cal Mitchell | PIT | Yes | 95 | Javier Assad | 9.1% | +995 |
| Spencer Steer | CIN | Yes | 111 | Eric Lauer | 9.1% | +995 |
| Josh Naylor | CLE | Yes | 101 | Jon Gray | 8.9% | +1025 |
| Jeff McNeil | NYM | No | 92 | Cole Irvin | 8.8% | +1040 |
| Jose Abreu | CHW | Yes | 106 | Eduardo Rodriguez | 8.8% | +1040 |
| Jake Cave | MIN | Yes | 99 | Shohei Ohtani | 8.7% | +1050 |
| Franmil Reyes | CHC | No | 92 | Bryse Wilson | 8.7% | +1050 |
| Jose Miranda | MIN | No | 98 | Shohei Ohtani | 8.5% | +1085 |
| Zack Collins | PIT | Yes | 95 | Javier Assad | 8.4% | +1090 |
| Miguel Cabrera | DET | No | 106 | Lucas Giolito | 8.2% | +1115 |
| Mike Ford | LAA | Yes | 99 | Louie Varland | 7.9% | +1165 |
| Matt Wallner | MIN | Yes | 99 | Shohei Ohtani | 7.9% | +1165 |
| Cedric Mullins | BAL | Yes | 110 | Jose Urquidy | 7.8% | +1180 |
| Jon Berti | MIA | No | 90 | Josiah Gray | 7.8% | +1180 |
